Trade war

Tariffs, South Korea holds back on 350 billion investment promised to Trump

In an interview with the Reuters news agency, Finance Minister Koo Yun-cheol said without mincing words that it is 'unlikely' that there will be any investment in the first half of the year

by Marco Masciaga

(Alamy Stock Photo)

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

From our correspondent

NEW DELHI - At the very least, it will be some time before South Korea starts investing in the United States the $350 billion it promised last November to the Trump administration in exchange for a reduction to 15% of tariffs on its exports. Seoul does not seem, at least for the moment, willing to back down from its onerous commitment to end a trade negotiation conducted in extortionate tones. But in an interview granted to the Reuters news agency, Finance Minister Koo Yun-cheol said without mincing words that it is 'unlikely' that there will be any investment in the first half of the year.

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Referring to a clause in the agreement whereby South Korea would invest a maximum of USD 20 billion per year, Koo explained that 'even if, for example, a nuclear power plant project were selected, procedures would have to be followed for site identification, plant design, and construction, so the initial cash flows would be much smaller' than the ceiling set with the US president's negotiators.

A formula that behind a technical explanation hides a criticality and a hope. The first has to do with the recent precipitous depreciation of the won, which has already lost more than 2% against the dollar since the start of the year and during yesterday's session fell to its lowest level in 16 years, before retracing.

Today 16 January Koo said that with these exchange rates 'no big investments can be made, at least for this year', adding that the South Korean authorities have no intention of overdoing regulatory interventions to curb the currency's decline.

The reasons lie in a promise - which at this juncture is proving particularly useful for exporters - made last June by President Lee Jae Myung, shortly after he took office. Lee set himself the goal of having South Korea granted 'developed market' status by Morgan Stanley Capital Investment (Msci) and thus contribute to the internationalisation of the won, a goal that would become unattainable in the event of excessive regulatory interventionism. At the same time, however, Seoul is working to stabilise the currency markets and prevent a currency meltdown that the Americans would not like in the first place.

The other big question mark over the feasibility of the South Korean promise to pour hundreds of billions of dollars into an economy, the US economy, in which Seoul's big companies have already invested a lot concerns the legal status of Trump's tariffs. Koo explained that his government does not intend to back down and will ask parliament to discuss a proposal to create a fund specifically for investing in the US. But he added that the process could be slowed down by the court proceedings that will have to decide on the legality of Trump's tariffs.

What is certain is that while Donald Trump's imperial presidency has soured relations with Seoul, it is prompting it to set aside its stormy past with neighbouring countries and forge closer relations with both China and Japan. Two countries now divided and looking for shores. And, not by chance, both visited in the last two weeks by South Korean President Lee.

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