Towards the Budget Bill

Income tax, the housing bonus and the full implementation of the car tax exemption: the tax authorities’ 10 key points on the budget agenda

The decision to make the abolition of road tax on cars up to 80 kW and motorbikes permanent, following the initial exemption for 2027, has been added to the list of measures already in the pipeline. Also on the agenda is a reduction in taxation on thirteenth-month bonuses.

6' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

6' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Lower taxes for the middle class, incentives for young people, a new push for energy efficiency in homes, and tax relief for property owners and the self-employed. But also the renewal of measures already trialled this year, such as the discount on thirteenth-month bonuses and tax relief on overtime and public-holiday pay. Added to this is the latest move played by the Government at Wednesday’s Council of Ministers meeting: the abolition of road tax for small cars and motorbikes from 2027, to be made permanent in subsequent years. There are at least ten tax measures that could enrich what is now widely regarded as the ‘electoral Budget Bill’. This is also because it cannot be overlooked that the nature of the measures proposed so far by the ruling coalition represents a clear call to vote.

The government intends to introduce at least 10 fiscal measures designed to support consumption, investment and purchasing power. However, these are still proposals on the table as part of the 2027 budget process, and there is a major hurdle to overcome: that of funding, which, for at least two measures – personal income tax (IRPEF) and the abolition of road tax – will need to be structural.

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The 33 per cent IRPEF rate for incomes up to 60,000 euros

The measure on which the entire majority is united – and which came close to being approved last year – is the extension of the 33 per cent personal income tax rate to incomes of up to 60,000 euros (it currently applies to incomes between 28,000 and 50,000 euros). The aim is to ease the tax burden on a further segment of taxpayers in the so-called ‘middle class’, who, once they exceed the €50,000 threshold, are subject to the 43 per cent rate. This was reiterated yesterday at the ANIF conference by the Deputy Minister for the Economy, Maurizio Leo: ‘We want to help the middle class, so everything we are doing is geared towards establishing a new relationship between the tax authorities and taxpayers and reducing the tax burden’.

Flat tax for VAT-registered businesses: higher threshold for turnover or employees

Judging by the majority’s repeated announcements, a recurring theme of the forthcoming budget will be the flat tax. The League is calling for the threshold for revenue or remuneration – within which the flat tax of 15 per cent, or 5 per cent for new businesses, can be applied – to be raised from 85,000 to 100,000 euros. The stumbling block here is not only the issue of funding but also the need for approval from Brussels, which would require a bespoke amendment to the EU directive (No. 2006/112). Forza Italia is also looking at an ‘extra-large’ flat tax for VAT-registered individuals, proposing in this case to raise the limit on income from employment from 35,000 (the limit set until 2026) to 40,000 euros for income from employment, so that individuals can register for a VAT number and opt for the flat tax – or rather, the flat-rate scheme.

Lower taxes for young people

The Minister for the Economy, Giancarlo Giorgetti, has also repeatedly proposed a new flat tax, in this case at 5 per cent. The idea that the Ministry of Economy and Finance’s experts are working on is that of reduced taxation on pay rises awarded to younger workers. This measure, adopted in consultation with the business community, aims to boost the pay of the younger generation and tackle both excessively low wages and the phenomenon of skilled workers leaving the country.

Flat tax on contract renewals

Staying on the subject of flat-rate taxes, there are also those due for renewal, including the one relating to collective agreement renewals. In practice, pay rises paid to private-sector employees in 2026, pursuant to collective agreements signed between 1 January 2024 and 31 December 2026, will be subject to a substitute tax (in lieu of personal income tax and local surcharges) of 5 per cent if the 2025 income threshold does not exceed 33,000 euros. According to the technical report accompanying the 2026 Budget, approximately 3.8 million workers are potential beneficiaries of the 5 per cent substitute tax on pay rises paid to private-sector employees in 2026, in implementation of the collective agreements signed between 1 January 2024 and 31 December 2026. Both Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and the Minister for Labour, Marina Calderone, have expressed their intention to renew the measure in the budget as part of a package of measures to support pay packets and productivity.

Night shifts and working on public holidays

With a view to supporting wages and productivity, the list of measures under consideration for inclusion in the budget also includes the confirmation of a flat-rate tax of 15 per cent for private-sector employees, up to an annual limit of 1,500 euros, on supplements and allowances for night work, surcharges and allowances for work carried out on public holidays and weekly rest days, shift allowances and other emoluments related to shift work (as provided for in national collective labour agreements). Last year’s budget, which had introduced the measure for 2026 only, had limited its scope to private-sector employees with an income not exceeding 40,000 euros (using 2025 as the reference period).

Tax relief on 13th-month bonuses

Another tax concession currently seeking funding and concrete implementation is the exemption of the thirteenth-month bonus from tax, which would also be implemented via a flat tax. The political intention is that this would provide further relief for those on the lowest incomes. With a rate of 15 per cent for incomes up to 15,000 euros, the measure would cost half a billion. However, in recent days, Marco Osnato, chair of the Chamber of Deputies’ Finance Committee, has emphasised that further investment in this area could be envisaged by adjusting both the substitute tax and the income threshold. The attempt to ease the tax burden during the Christmas period had already been ‘put in place’ in 2024 with the one-off €100 bonus for employees with an income of up to €28,000 and at least one child who is a tax-dependent: a measure that had been adopted precisely pending ‘the introduction of the substitute tax regime’ provided for in the tax authorisation bill. Now, the budget provides extra time to implement and ensure the continuity of a measure designed as part of the tax reform to reduce the tax burden on employees and thus boost purchasing power, thereby supporting demand during the Christmas period.

Flat-rate tax for small shops

On the issue of property taxation, however, Deputy Minister for the Economy Maurizio Leo has indicated an openness to the idea of extending the flat-rate tax on rents to include retail premises. Leo’s key condition is that ‘the necessary resources must be found’. The measure, “if the right balance is struck”, will be “limited to certain categories”, he explained. There is already a precedent: the (as yet isolated) case of the application of the flat-rate tax scheme envisaged for 2019. Only for tenancy agreements entered into in that year was it stipulated that rents for properties in category C/1, with a floor area not exceeding 600 square metres and owned by private individuals, could be taxed at a flat rate of 21 per cent instead of the standard personal income tax (Irpef). Among the proposals circulating is also the idea of reducing the floor area requirement, which, as it stood in the 2019 version, potentially covered 1.5 million private individuals who own property. It should be noted that it was the tax delegation that had reignited hopes of a preferential tax rate on commercial properties let to businesses and professionals, but the measure remained unimplemented precisely due to a lack of resources.

The renewal of building grants

Still on the subject of housing, among the measures awaiting confirmation is the current framework for building grants for renovation work. Without intervention, in fact, the subsidy rate would fall to 36 per cent for the main residence and to 30 per cent for other properties (such as second homes and vacant properties). An extension of the current scheme would, however, guarantee a 50 per cent subsidy for work on the main residence and 36 per cent for other properties. To this could also be added a confirmation of the furniture and white goods tax relief, which expires on 31 December and currently offers a 50 per cent tax deduction for all homes, subject to an annual spending limit of 5,000 euros.

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The new 65 per cent eco-bonus under consideration

A new 65 per cent ‘eco-bonus’ could also be introduced as part of the building incentives scheme, which might ‘draw on’ a portion of the 14 billion budget flexibility linked to the energy transition. A range of works could therefore be eligible for a higher incentive than the current level of tax relief (50 per cent on the main residence and 36 per cent on second homes until 31 December 2026). This would mark a return to the past, when energy efficiency improvements were eligible for a more substantial bonus.

The full exemption from vehicle tax

The Council of Ministers meeting on 16 September provided for an exemption from road tax for cars with an engine capacity of up to 80 kW or motorbikes for 2027. The Government’s stated aim is to bring this measure, which will cost 2.3 billion euros, into full effect. The budget bill could already provide an opportunity to honour these commitments and, as some members of the ruling coalition have already suggested, to see if further action can be taken.

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