Tehran: agreement with the US on principles for the nuclear programme
The good news, the encouraging news, is that Iran and the United States have reportedly reached an understanding on the basic principles to try to reach a new agreement on the nuclear programme. At least that is what Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has announced. The less good news is that these basic principles still seem to have different forms and hierarchies depending on who interprets them. They are therefore still approximate.
The second round of indirect negotiations between Iran and the United States, held yesterday in Geneva and mediated by Oman, seems to have thwarted the threat of an imminent US military operation in Iran, although the Pentagon continues to send new air forces to the region (yesterday another 50 fighter planes).
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran will meet again for a third round of negotiations. The date and location are yet to be determined.
Being the shrewd diplomat that he is, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi emphasised the progress and overshadowed the sticking points: 'We were able to reach broad agreement on a set of guiding principles, on the basis of which we will move forward and begin work on the text of a potential agreement,' he told state television, calling the new round of talks 'more constructive' than the 6 February session in Oman. "This does not mean that we will reach an agreement soon," he said, "but the path has begun."
The Iranian minister's diplomatic balancing acts, however, find a stumbling block difficult to circumvent in the facts on the ground. The parties are still entrenched in their mutual positions, made up of non-negotiable conditions. Those of the United States, whose officials yesterday still spoke of several points of distance, were essentially three, and still seem to be (all to be incorporated into the negotiations) iran's probable renunciation of the uranium enrichment process - if indeed Iran wants to develop nuclear energy, it will have to import enriched ore -; a major downsizing of its ballistic missile programme and its arsenal of long-range missiles; and the renunciation of continuing financial and political support for the pro-Iranian Shia regional militias, otherwise known as the 'Axis of Resistance'.


