Computing power

The energy challenge posed by supercomputers that push the boundaries

Energy challenges and technological innovations are at the heart of the race to develop next-generation supercomputers

(AdobeStock)

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

1000000000000000000000. A trillion (according to the long-scale numbering system), a thousand billion billion, 21 zeros. A number that is difficult to write, describe or even imagine, but one that is set to become the new benchmark for supercomputer processing speed within the next five years.

Japan is aiming, in fact, to develop the world’s first supercomputer capable of 1 zettaFLOPS by 2030 – that is, one capable of performing a trillion calculations per second. This represents a threshold that has not yet been reached.

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The operational phase of the project officially began in recent weeks. On 18 June, the Japanese multinational Fujitsu Limited announced that it had secured a contract from the Japanese research and development institute RIKEN to design the next-generation supercomputer. This initial basic design phase is scheduled to run until 27 February 2026.

The new supercomputer, provisionally named FugakuNEXT, represents the next generation of Fugaku, which currently ranks seventh in the list of the world’s most powerful supercomputers.

At the top of the TOP500 list are three US supercomputers: El Capitan, Frontier and Aurora, installed at the US Department of Energy’s laboratories. El Capitan can perform up to 2,746 million billion operations per second. As explained in Lab24’s in-depth article, if every person on Earth were to perform one operation per second for a year, they would carry out ‘only’ 258 million billion operations.

What makes FugakuNEXT different from these models? The answer lies in the figures: today’s most powerful supercomputers exceed the exaFLOPS threshold – that is, one trillion (1 followed by 18 zeros) calculations per second. FugakuNEXT will be 1,000 times more powerful, paving the way for much faster training and inference for large-scale artificial intelligence models.

A key prerequisite for becoming global leaders in the field of artificial intelligence is therefore the availability of an effective, secure and high-capacity digital infrastructure, including adequate computing power. In this respect, the current position of Europe and Italia gives cause for optimism.

DOVE SI TROVANO I 500 SUPERCOMPUTER PIÙ POTENTI AL MONDO?

Top 10 paesi per percentuale sul totale di supercomputer ospitati nei confini nazionali

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If we look at the aggregate data from the latest edition of the TOP500 list, four of the ten most powerful supercomputers in the world are located in the European Union, two of which are in Italia.

When the analysis is extended to the full list of the 500 most powerful supercomputers, Italia ranks sixth in the world in terms of its share of the total, and fourth in terms of installed computing power.

There is also another cause for optimism on the Old Continent: of the five systems at the top of the TOP500 list, the most energy-efficient is JUPITER, located at the Jülich Supercomputing Centre in Germany.

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Energy efficiency is, in fact, one of the greatest challenges that Japanese engineers will face in the construction of FugakuNEXT. It was estimated in 2023 that, based on the technologies available at the time, a zetta-class supercomputer would have consumed around 21 gigawatts, equivalent to the energy produced by 21 nuclear power stations.

Given that the energy efficiency of supercomputing – that is, gigaflops per watt – doubles every two years, FugakuNEXT’s current power consumption would be around 10 gigawatts. By 2030, this would fall to 500 megawatts – which is still eight times JUPITER’s current power consumption.

In conclusion, the transition from 18 to 21 zeros in computing speed represents one of the key challenges for achieving leadership in the field of artificial intelligence, but also a fundamental building block in the future global energy balance.

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