Letter to the saver

Fineco wants to increase private banking revenues and exploits artificial intelligence

Credit. The institution exploits artificial intelligence, albeit gradually. Priority for organic expansion. The risk of new technological competition

class="dinomecognome_R21"> Vittorio Carlini

(Fotogramma)

6' min read

6' min read

On the one hand, the aim is to increase private banking revenues, thus also helping to push the consulting business forward. On the other hand, through the use of artificial intelligence, to continue along the path of operational efficiency. These are among the priorities of Finecobank, whose top management the Letter to the Saver heard from, in support of the business.

Social Object

.

Yes, the business. The institution divides the integrated business model into three areas. Firstly Banking (58% of revenues at the end of 2023). This represents the 'traditional' world - albeit underpinned by the group's technological approach - of banking: from current accounts to the payment and issuing of debit cards to the provision of mortgages, overdrafts and personal loans. Then there is Brokerage (15%). That is: the financial intermediation activity, under which - among other things - the institution's internalisation is included. Finally: Investing (27%). In other words: the offering - together with advice - of a range of asset management products and asset management.

Loading...

TRIMESTRI A CONFRONTO

Loading...

Private banking

.

Well, precisely with regard to Investing Fineco has a priority. That, precisely, of pushing into the world of private banking. The effort on this front - not as of today - is clearly visible when analysing the trend in customer segmentation in relation to total financial assets. The share of those with more than half a million in wealth (private segment) represented 37% of total financial assets (Tfa) in 2018. It then gradually increased, reaching 46% of Tfa last year and settling at 47% in the first quarter of 2024. The goal? To continue to increase the incidence of these customers who, again as at 31/3/2024, on the one hand have a low (10%) share in deposits (of their assets) and, on the other, have a 50% share of assets under management (AuM). Which for Fineco, which obviously relies on management and advisory fees, is a positive aspect.

DINAMICA DEI CLIENTI

Loading...

The competition

.

All as easy as drinking a glass of water, then? The reality is more complicated. The saver points out that private banking is a bit of an Eldorado for many financial institutions in Italy. Put differently: competition is very strong and this creates limits to expansion in the sector. Fineco, inviting a more nuanced analysis, disagrees. The institution recalls that, growing more than the reference industry, it has gained market share over the years. Its market share - is the indication - was worth 2.9% in 2016 and reached 4.7% last year. This is a dynamic - Fineco always says - which, on the one hand, demonstrates its capacity for expansion; and on the other, is a consequence (also) of a diversified and quality offer in relation to the cost of the service. Not only. The group points out that a generational change is taking place in Italy, with the consequent passing on of assets. A context - Fineco concludes - that facilitates the world of private banking and, therefore, the institution itself.

But it is not only a matter of private banking. Remaining within Investing, the group is betting (also to develop the same private) on Fineco Asset Management (Fam). Over the past year, the ratio of Fam retail to the institution's stock of assets under management has risen. The ratio rose from 32.2% (March 2023) to 35.1% at the end of April. The company aims - while maintaining an open product architecture approach - at increasing interaction between the collective management company (and product factory) and the advisory network in order to intercept customers' needs (and thus increase their number). This is a strategy which, among other things, must contribute to the growth of the Investing world. In this sense Fineco confirms, for the whole of 2024, its estimate of revenue growth in the division in question at a low double-digit percentage (10-15%).

ANDAMENTO DEL PRIVATE BANKING

Loading...

Intermediazione

From Investing to Brokerage. The latter, and net of the desire to expand in absolute value in all three areas, is the division - together with Investing - that has priority for Fineco. Here, net commissions, both at the end of 2023 and at 31/3/2024, were higher than at the end of 2022 and in the first quarter of last year. Is this a twofold trend from which it can be inferred that the 'net fees' of 2024 will be higher than those of 2023? Fineco, first and foremost, emphasises that - given the variable markets - it is not possible to offer precise guidance. That said, however, the institution expects, more generally, that brokerage revenues will remain strong with a structurally higher "floor" than in the pre-Covid period.

IL COSTO DEL RISCHIO DI CREDITO

Loading...

The Banking

.

So far, some considerations regarding the trend in Investing and Brokerage. The saver, however, also turns his gaze towards Banking. In 2022, the world of 'banking' was marked by an acceleration. The boost was due, in the wake of the ECB's tightening of monetary policy and the concomitant jump in market rates, to an increase in the interest margin. The accounting item had settled at EUR 332.6m in 2022 and reached EUR 673.3m as at 31.12.2023. Weaker, on the contrary, were net commissions, which fell from EUR 56.2m (2022) to EUR 55.3m (2023). The trend continued in the first quarter of the current financial year. Net interest income amounted to 172 million (154.9 a year earlier), while net fees were 12 million (14.6 in the first quarter of 2023). Against this backdrop - and taking into account that the European Central Bank is likely to start reducing the cost of money from the beginning of the second half of the year - savers are wondering about the prospects for the interest margin itself. On this front Fineco, which similarly to Brokerage offers no guidance, indicates that 'net interest income' is seen to be stabilising. With regard, then, to "banking fees", the institution points out that these are expected to remain stable with respect to 2023.

Economic braking

.

Yes, 2023. In the past financial year, reference rates have risen, leading (also) to a slowdown, albeit spotty, in Europe. A weak economy which - savers fear - can lead to financial problems for households. A situation that, by inducing financial difficulties, risks impacting Fineco's credit quality. The institute does not consider the danger to be real. First of all, it is reminded, lending is a secondary activity. Also, the company says, lending is done prudently and only to group customers. Finally, Fineco concludes, the cost of credit risk on the one hand, as of 31/3/2024, is 5 basis points; and on the other, it is estimated to move in 2024 between 5-10 basis points. That is to say: numbers assessed as absolutely low and satisfactory.

From credit to efficiency. The latter is among Fineco's priorities. Despite the fact that operating expenses are expected to rise by around 6% in the current year (net of Fam and marketing expenses), the Cost/income - again in 2024 - is estimated at below 30%. That is, a value that is considered satisfactory and which, albeit indirectly, also follows from the search for greater efficiencies. The theme is transversal and, among other things, exploits Artificial Intelligence (AI) itself. An example? Customer acquisition on digital: the cost, thanks to the new technology, drops by 23%. Not only that. They can also remember, checks and analyses to prevent fraud. Or the detection of anomalies. A front where, again, AI - although its use in general is gradual - makes its contribution. In short: Fineco looks to continuous efficiency, also by focusing on technological development. That innovation which, given the same acceleration linked to generative AI, could cause Fineco itself some delay. On this front, the institute professes tranquillity. Firstly because, is the indication, the company has always made technological evolution its atout. Then because, by developing hi-tech solutions in house, the institute has full control over them. Finally, because - says the company - being a 'first mover' in such sectors is not always a good thing. In conclusion, therefore, the group does not see any particular problems with the issue at hand.

Stock performance

Stock technical analysis

Copyright reserved ©
Loading...

Brand connect

Loading...

Newsletter

Notizie e approfondimenti sugli avvenimenti politici, economici e finanziari.

Iscriviti