Voting in the East

German ultra-right wins its first regional election, Afd first party in Thuringia

The German ultra-right Afd achieved a clear victory in the regional elections in Thuringia, while the government parties suffered a heavy defeat. The Cdu remains the only traditional party to hold out. Head-to-head in Saxony. Boom of Sahra Wagenknecht's red-browns

by Gianluca Di Donfrancesco

Aggiornato il 1° settembre alle 23:24

Il candidato di destra di Alternativa per la Germania (AfD) Bjoern Hoecke nel giorno delle elezioni in Turingia. REUTERS/Wolfgang Rattay

2' min read

2' min read

Historic success of the German far-right in the elections in eastern Germany: Afd is on its way to a clear victory in Thuringia with almost 33% (up from 23.4% in 2019), according to projections by German public broadcasters. This is the first triumph of a far-right party in a state since World War II, although it is highly unlikely that it will be able to form an executive. In Saxony, it is neck and neck with the Cdu: projections give the Christian Democrats, who have led the Land since 1990, at 32% (stable compared to 2019), about one point ahead of Afd (which was at 27.5).

Voter turnout was high, around 74%.

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The traffic light coalition goes out

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According to the projections, the parties of the government led by Olaf Scholz are taking a beating: all together they poll less than 15% in the two states. The chancellor's SPD is projected at 6.5% in Thuringia (down from 8.2% in 2019) and 7.5% in Saxony (down from 7.7%). The Greens, never particularly popular in the East, are below 4% in Thuringia (and exiting parliament, they were at 5.2% in 2019) and around 5% in Saxony (from 8.6%). The liberals of the Fdp collapse to 1% in both Länder. (They were at 4.5% in Saxony and 5% in Thuringia).

Although the electoral trends in eastern Germany are very different from the rest of the country, one year before the national elections, the pressure is mounting on Scholz and his policies on immigration and support for Ukraine, issues that have dominated the election campaign, especially after the Solingen bombing on 23 August, which has already prompted Berlin to a crackdown on asylum and expulsions.

Among the traditional parties, only the Cdu is holding. In Thuringia, again according to projections, it is second at around 24% (up from 21.7%). In Saxony, it is above 31%.

Höcke ready to rule in Thuringia

'We are ready to take on the responsibility of government'. That's what the leader of the ultra-right in Thuringia, Björn Höcke, said he would invite the other parties to talks on the formation of a regional executive. 'It is a good tradition that the strongest party invites the others to talks after an election,' he explained.

It will be difficult: all other political groups, including the left-wing populists of the Bsw, have ruled out agreements with Afd: a cordon sanitaire similar to the one that barred the way for Marine Le Pen in France.

Sahra Wagenknecht's winning bet

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The new far-left party, the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (Bsw), exceeded 15% in Thuringia and 12% in Saxony, according to projections. Founded only in January after Wagenknecht's split from Die Linke, Bsw has positions overlapping with Afd on many points: anti-Nato, anti-immigration and proximity to Russia. The red-browns are the real novelty of this election round: they could play a key role in the attempts of the traditional parties to keep the ultra-right out of government in Thuringia.

The Linke, absorbed by Bsw, collapsed: in Saxony they fell to 4.5% from 10.4%, and in Saxony, where they were the leading party with 31%, they collapsed to 13%.

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