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The Portuguese government against the sale of Novo Banco to Caixa

Spanish banks are already worth a third of Portugal's banking market. French Bpce also in the field to take over 75% of Banco from the Lone Star fund

by Alessandro Graziani

FILE PHOTO: A man uses an ATM at a Novo Banco branch in downtown Lisbon, Portugal September 6, 2017. REUTERS/Rafael Marchante/File Photo

2' min read

2' min read

The list of European governments raising the barricades against bank takeovers is enriched by a new case. This time it is Portugal that opposes the attempted takeover of Novo Banco, the fourth largest bank in the Lusitanian country, by the Spanish group Caixa Bank, which already has a presence in Lisbon controlling Bpi, Portugal's fifth largest group.

Already a few weeks ago, when the interest of Caixa first emerged in a concrete manner, Finance Minister Joaquim Sarmento had pointed out the executive's opposition to the operation, given that 'Spanish banks already represent about one third of the Portuguese banking market', adding that 'it is in the country's interest that there is no excessive dependence or concentration of our banking sector in the hands of a single country like Spain'. The Spanish giant Santander is also already present in Portugal in force.

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The Times

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Then, last weekend, it emerged that both Spain's Caixa and the French group Bpce-Natixis had made formal offers to take over the 75 per cent of Novo Banco's capital held by the US private equity fund Lone Star.

By mid-June, the fund is expected to make the final decision on its exit strategy from the bank, choosing between what so far seemed to be the main hypothesis, i.e. listing on the stock exchange via an IPO, or selling the majority stake to a single bank.

Double track

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Both Novo Banco's top management and the Portuguese government would prefer the IPO, which would maintain the institution's autonomy and avoid combinations that seem undesirable at the moment.

The Lone Star fund does not seem to have a preference and aims to choose the option that will ensure it maximises the proceeds from the sale.

In the event of a sale to a foreign group, from what has been leaked, the Portuguese authorities would prefer Novo Banco to end up with the French Bpce, which, having no significant activities in Portugal so far, would be a less cumbersome presence than Caixa (which would combine the country's fourth and fifth banks).

And just ahead of the final round of strategic decisions on Novo Banco, yesterday rumours emerged in the Portuguese press of new anti-Caixa government barricades. The opposition to the operation would have been officially communicated, through diplomatic channels, to both the Spanish executive and Caixa's top management. And, while admitting that it has no legislative instruments to block the operation, the Lisbon government has leaked that it could block the public subsidies for managing redundancies that were granted to Bpi at the time of the public bailout and then maintained.

In this case, according to analysts' initial estimates, it would cost Caixa between EUR 200 million and EUR 300 million more to merge its two Spanish entities.

Perhaps not an insurmountable financial obstacle for the Spanish. But what is more important is the political signal Lisbon is sending to the Spanish: their strengthening in the Spanish market is not welcome.

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