Not just Hormuz

The Chief of the Defence Staff: Italia would be particularly hard hit in the event of a blockade of Bab el-Mandeb and the Suez Canal

The Chief of the Defence Staff, General Luciano Portolano, addressed a joint hearing of the Foreign Affairs and Defence Committees of the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate on the missions decree

by Andrea Carli

Hormuz, Europa pronta alla missione: Francia, Italia e Londra in campo

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

It is not just the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz that threatens commercial shipping routes and energy supply lines. A potential closure of two other bottlenecks – Bāb el-Mandeb, the strait linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden and thus to the Indian Ocean, and the Suez Canal – would risk triggering a systemic crisis for the international economy and global logistics, ‘particularly affecting Italy and the other countries bordering the Mediterranean Basin, and producing far wider-reaching effects than the energy shocks that accompanied the Gulf Wars’.

This was highlighted by the Chief of the Defence Staff, Luciano Portolano. Speaking on Wednesday 17 June at a hearing before the joint Foreign Affairs and Defence Committees of the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate as part of the joint examination of the Council of Ministers’ resolution concerning Italy’s participation in further international missions for 2026, adopted on 14 May, the general highlighted a number of factors that provide insights into the current geopolitical landscape.

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Dopo l'intesa Usa-Iran traffico navale ancora bloccato a Hormuz

Portolano: ‘The problem isn’t just about Hormuz’

The first: ‘The crisis between Israel, Iran and the United States has highlighted how Tehran is a regional player capable of simultaneously influencing the balance of power in the Persian Gulf and the Middle East, freedom of navigation, and the security dynamics that also directly affect the Wider Mediterranean. In this context, the Strait of Hormuz continues to represent one of the most sensitive points in the entire global economic system,’ he said.

However, he immediately added, ‘The problem is not limited to Hormuz. Access to the Eastern Mediterranean is, in fact, characterised by the passage through two further choke points (literally “bottlenecks”, ed.), Bāb el-Mandeb and Suez, and their potential disruption – even if not simultaneous – would have consequences not only for the energy supply system but also for container shipping, leaving the Mediterranean accessible only via the Strait of Gibraltar’.

The effects of a possible blockade of Bāb el-Mandeb and Suez

“This – continued Portolano – would trigger a systemic crisis affecting the global economy and logistics chains, hitting Italia and the other countries bordering the Mediterranean Basin particularly hard, with far-reaching consequences compared to the energy shocks that accompanied the Gulf Wars. The unfolding conflict between the US, Israel and Iran, which has led to a significant reduction in maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, continues to be characterised by threats relating to the Strait of Bāb el-Mandeb. In this regard, I would like to point out that just under 15 per cent of maritime trade and around 10 per cent of global energy traffic passes through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.”

The escalation of the conflict between the US, Israel and Iran, which has led to a significant reduction in maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, therefore continues ‘to be characterised by threats linked to the Strait of Bāb el-Mandeb’. In this regard, I would like to point out that just under 15 per cent of maritime trade and around 10 per cent of global energy traffic passes through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. This strait, however, is the gateway to the Suez Canal, through which approximately 40 per cent of Italia’s trade passes. No less significant are the seabed areas of the Red Sea, which host 15 of the main digital backbones of the global cable network, rendered vulnerable by the concentration imposed by these two chokepoints. Similarly, the situation in the Middle East continues to require particular attention.”

The context: ‘The distance between the crisis site and its effects has been reduced’

More generally, Portolano emphasised that the tensions in the Middle East ‘have required certain contingents to strengthen their operational posture and the deployment of naval and air defence assets designed to contribute to the security of NATO’s regional partners and the protection of freedom of navigation, whilst the events affecting the British bases in Cyprus and the US base at Incirlik, in southern Turkey, have confirmed, if confirmation were still needed, that the geographical distance between the location where a crisis unfolds and the areas where its effects are felt has been greatly reduced’.

Hormuz: ‘We have long been part of a coalition of the willing’

The Chief of the Defence Staff also provided an update on the Strait of Hormuz. “For some time now, we have been part of and have been working within a sort of coalition of the willing, currently led by the UK and France,” he said. In this context, there is a sort of precautionary planning in place, a precautionary plan which must, however, be firmly anchored in a framework of stability in the region and a peace agreement between the parties. We are ready, but only following Parliament’s endorsement of the mission should it subsequently be authorised. This mission would involve, on the Italian side, the deployment of two minesweepers that we have pre-positioned in Djibouti, as well as an escort vessel and a logistical support vessel, which would then coordinate and cooperate with all the units and all the maritime components within this ‘coalition of the willing’”.

‘We need to coordinate with Atalanta and Aspides’

“Of course,” added Portolano, “from a military point of view, I have emphasised to my colleagues in the ‘coalition of the willing’ the need for close coordination between this operation and those already underway in the European Union area; I am referring to Operation Atalanta and Operation Aspides. Close cooperation with them, as well as, at national level, a strong link with the entire Italian defence contingent currently deployed in the Gulf coastal states to support those countries that have requested an increase in their air defence capabilities; it is therefore a complex and coordinated system that would ultimately form the framework of this mission.”

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