The Chief of the Defence Staff: Italia would be particularly hard hit in the event of a blockade of Bab el-Mandeb and the Suez Canal
The Chief of the Defence Staff, General Luciano Portolano, addressed a joint hearing of the Foreign Affairs and Defence Committees of the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate on the missions decree
by Andrea Carli
Key points
- Portolano: ‘The problem isn’t just about Hormuz’
- The effects of a possible blockade of Bāb el-Mandeb and Suez
- The context: ‘The distance between the crisis site and its effects has been reduced’
- Hormuz: ‘We have long been part of a coalition of the willing’
- “We need to coordinate with Atalanta and Aspides”
It is not just the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz that threatens commercial shipping routes and energy supply lines. A potential closure of two other bottlenecks – Bāb el-Mandeb, the strait linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden and thus to the Indian Ocean, and the Suez Canal – would risk triggering a systemic crisis for the international economy and global logistics, ‘particularly affecting Italy and the other countries bordering the Mediterranean Basin, and producing far wider-reaching effects than the energy shocks that accompanied the Gulf Wars’.
This was highlighted by the Chief of the Defence Staff, Luciano Portolano. Speaking on Wednesday 17 June at a hearing before the joint Foreign Affairs and Defence Committees of the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate as part of the joint examination of the Council of Ministers’ resolution concerning Italy’s participation in further international missions for 2026, adopted on 14 May, the general highlighted a number of factors that provide insights into the current geopolitical landscape.
Portolano: ‘The problem isn’t just about Hormuz’
The first: ‘The crisis between Israel, Iran and the United States has highlighted how Tehran is a regional player capable of simultaneously influencing the balance of power in the Persian Gulf and the Middle East, freedom of navigation, and the security dynamics that also directly affect the Wider Mediterranean. In this context, the Strait of Hormuz continues to represent one of the most sensitive points in the entire global economic system,’ he said.
However, he immediately added, ‘The problem is not limited to Hormuz. Access to the Eastern Mediterranean is, in fact, characterised by the passage through two further choke points (literally “bottlenecks”, ed.), Bāb el-Mandeb and Suez, and their potential disruption – even if not simultaneous – would have consequences not only for the energy supply system but also for container shipping, leaving the Mediterranean accessible only via the Strait of Gibraltar’.
The effects of a possible blockade of Bāb el-Mandeb and Suez
“This – continued Portolano – would trigger a systemic crisis affecting the global economy and logistics chains, hitting Italia and the other countries bordering the Mediterranean Basin particularly hard, with far-reaching consequences compared to the energy shocks that accompanied the Gulf Wars. The unfolding conflict between the US, Israel and Iran, which has led to a significant reduction in maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, continues to be characterised by threats relating to the Strait of Bāb el-Mandeb. In this regard, I would like to point out that just under 15 per cent of maritime trade and around 10 per cent of global energy traffic passes through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.”

