Oil

The fall in Brent and WTI prices is weighing on oil stocks, with Eni bringing up the rear on the Milan Stock Exchange

Saipem has stemmed the decline after securing two contracts in Italia and the Ivory Coast worth a total of around 800 million

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - Hopes of a thaw in relations between the United States and Iran are weighing on energy prices and, in turn, on the performance of energy shares. Consequently, in Milan, Eni , which has fallen by more than four points, and Tenaris , down by more than one and a half points, whilst Saipem is limiting the damage, having secured two contracts in Italia and the Ivory Coast worth a total of around 800 million.

On other European stock markets, TotalEnergies (-2.71%) is the worst-performing share in Paris, whilst Repsol is down 2% in Madrid, Shell 1.96% in Amsterdam and BP 3.41% in London. This comes in the wake of a slump in crude oil prices, with Brent down 6.17% at $90.83 per barrel and WTI down 5.77% at $84.16 per barrel.

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Over the weekend, US President Donald Trump suspended plans to step up military operations in Iran, in order to “make way for diplomacy”, as confirmed by the US Ambassador to the United Nations, Mike Waltz. Furthermore, Tehran has informed mediators from Pakistan and Qatar that it is willing to resume negotiations.

“The ceasefire in the bombings and reports of progress in the negotiations have fuelled expectations of a return to a path of détente, which could lead to a resumption of oil flows,” explain analysts at Mst Marquee. However, the resumption of transit through the Strait of Hormuz “is likely to be slow and partial, as many shipowners remain cautious and require further evidence of the safety of this shipping route”.

Despite the suspension of attacks, fewer than 10 cargo ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz each day over the weekend, according to data from Kpler. Furthermore, yesterday, shipping traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait fell after the Yemeni Houthis attacked Saudi oil facilities along the Red Sea coast. For operators, the situation therefore remains highly uncertain.

Turning our attention to the oil sector on the Milan Stock Exchange, Saipem, as mentioned, is posting moderate declines, whilst analysts are examining the two contracts secured by Eni with a total value of around 800 million. The first, awarded by Eni Côte d’Ivoire and its partners, concerns the Baleine Phase 3 project, the third phase of development of the Baleine oil and gas field, located off the coast of Côte d’Ivoire at depths of up to 1,300 metres.

The second contract, awarded by Enilive, relates to the engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) of a new deoxygenation unit at Enilive’s Venice biorefinery in Porto Marghera. "The amount represents approximately 6 per cent of our estimated order intake for 2026 and brings the order intake announced since the start of the year to around €8 billion, equivalent to approximately 63 per cent of our estimate for the full financial year”, explain the analysts at Equita.

For Intermonte, this is “positive news that confirms the strong momentum in order intake, particularly in the offshore segment”. According to experts, orders received since the start of the year are now expected to “have reached around €8.6 billion (€1.7 billion in the first quarter of 2026, €3.5 billion in the second quarter, €3.4 billion in the third quarter of 2026 to date)”. Consequently, for the 2026 financial year, the investment bank forecasts “total orders secured of 15.7 billion euros”.

Banca Akros emphasises that the two contracts are of “considerable size” and estimates that "the volume of orders secured since the start of the year, including this contract, amounts to approximately €7.5 billion (the order book at the end of March stood at €29.6 billion)". Furthermore, looking ahead to the forthcoming financial results, analysts have “estimates in line with the company’s targets” and expect an improvement in revenue in the second quarter.

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