Mediobanca Research Area

Tlc, global revenues up but Europe lags behind and slows investment

On the Old Continent, the overcrowding of players in the sector weighs heavily. Only one European group in the global top 10: Deutsche Telekom

by Antonella Olivieri

China Mobile è il primo gruppo mondiale per ricavi nel settore delle tlc

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

The survey by Mediobanca's Study Area on the large telecommunications groups - 34 realities at global level with a turnover in excess of 9 billion euro - still highlights the problems weighing down the sector, particularly in the Old Continent, where revenues are more stagnant and the competitive arena overcrowded. In Europe, with a population of 593 million, there are 34 infrastructure operators and more than 350 virtual operators; in the US, with a population of 340 million, there are only three operators and around 70 virtual operators; in China, with a population of 1.4 billion, there are four operators and around 15 virtual operators.

The latest trends

In the first half of this year, global turnover increased by 2.9%, while growth in Europe was only 1.1%. Chinese operators slowed their pace on the revenue front (+0.4%), but improved their operating profitability by 5.6%. The aggregate net operating margin rose by 5.3%, but with large differences: +10.3% in Asia Pacific, +4% in the Americas, -3% in Europe, where, however, the figure is influenced by Orange's agreement to manage jobs and career paths aimed at supporting the evolution of roles and skills and accompanying employees in declining roles towards new opportunities. Excluding Orange, the Mon of European telcos would be up 4.2%.

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During the six-month period, investments increased by 1.8 per cent, with peaks of 12.3 per cent in Japan and 6.6 per cent in the US, while they contracted by 0.4 per cent in Europe, despite the fact that 5G coverage is still lagging behind: only 2 per cent of the population is in a position to use 5G exclusively.

Last year the European telco sector had already shown signs of slight improvement. In 2024, Germany remained the leading market by revenue with EUR 61.1bn (+2.2% on 2023). Italy ranks fifth with EUR 28bn in revenues, up 3.4% on 2023, but down 2.2% on 2020. The Ebit margin (16.3% the aggregate average) was higher for Deutsche Telekom, which is at 21.2% on revenues of EUR 115.8 billion. The German company, which originates two thirds of its revenues in the USA, is the only European telco in the top 10. Unmatched, however, are the margins of India's Bharti (32.2%), which dominates the profitability ranking.

LA TOP 20 DELLE TLC GLOBALI

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The semester in Italy

In the first half of the year, the domestic revenues of the main Italian operators grew by 1.6%. Iliad Italia's performance was strong (+9.2%). Tim's domestic unit was up 1.6% compared to 2.7% for the group, with Brazil and Tim enterprise up 4.8% and 4.7% respectively. Tim's Italian business generated 10.1 billion in revenues last year (+1.5% on 2023), ahead of Vodafone (4.9 billion), Wind Tre (4 billion), Fastweb (2.8 billion). Iliad was sixth with 1.2 billion preceded by FiberCop, the former Telecom network company with 2.6 billion.

The Tim case

Tim placed 20th in the size rankings, where the 2024 proforma without the network records revenues of 14.4 billion (still including Sparkle). Next year, however, it will be overtaken by Swisscom, which, with the acquisition of Vodafone Italia completed on 31 December last year, would have shown revenues of EUR 15.4 billion in pro forma 2024. The acquisition of Vodafone Italia, which cost 8 billion, has increased the debts of the Swiss group which, again in the pro forma 2024, would show a ratio of financial debts to shareholders' equity of 144%, a leverage that is nevertheless lower than the European average of 152.2%.

Conversely, Tim, which sold the network to the Kkr-led consortium on 1 July last year, reduced leverage to 114.3% from 183.3% a year earlier. Best in class, however, is Vodafone which, with Spain and Italy gone, improved its debt-to-equity ratio to 98.6%.

On the opposite side, Iliad holding shows a leverage of 2,507.7% (debts equal to 25 times equity) increased from 215.6% in 2020 to finance expansion. In the consolidation of Xavier Niel's group, financial debts are 6 times Mol, the highest level in Europe behind only Altice (7.8 times in 2024), which recently had to restructure its debt. Last year Altice also showed the highest incidence of interest expenses on revenues, 19.1%, while Iliad holding was at 8.9%, behind Tim with 11.7%.

Tim, which last year recorded interest expenses of EUR 1.68 billion, will save up to EUR 800 million in charges thanks to the sale of the network. The effects of the transaction are also significant on other fronts, allowing the Italian company to align itself with international standards. In fact, revenues per employee have risen from 372 thousand to 608 thousand euros, compared to an Emea (Europe, Middle East, Africa) average of 584 thousand euros; the per capita net operating margin has jumped from 33 thousand to 72 thousand euros, higher than the Emea average of 56 thousand euros.

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