Private capital

AI, capital raised in Q1 exceeds entire 2025

Private companies raised a total of EUR 226 billion in the first three months of this year

by Monica D'Ascenzo

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

In the first quarter of 2026, the global artificial intelligence market for private (unlisted) companies experienced unprecedented growth, with the total amount raised amounting to $226 billion in 1,965 deals globally. A level that, in just three months, surpasses the entire amount raised during 2025 of $217 billion in 8,170 deals, marking a significant acceleration in capital flows to the sector.

The mega deals

A single transaction was the key driver of the market: the $122 billion round closed in early April by OpenAI for a post-money valuation of$852 billion, which alone accounted for 54% of the quarter's total funding. Net of this round, first-quarter funding would stand at $104 billion, still up 45% quarter-on-quarter, compared to $72 billion in the final quarter of 2025.

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The period was dominated by mega-rounds: deals in excess of USD 100m catalysed 94% of capital raised, up from 80% in the previous quarter. This dynamic pushed the average deal size since the start of the year to $159.9m, more than four times the annual average of $38.2m recorded in 2025.

The most active sectors

On the sector front, the dominance of large language models (LLM) persists. In addition to OpenAI, Anthropic (USD 30 billion in a Series G round in February for a total valuation of USD 380 billion) and xAI (closed a USD 20 billion round in January, bringing the valuation to USD 200 billion) also completed multibillion-dollar deals, confirming the centrality of model developers in catalysing investments.

Alongside this strand, the 'physical AI' segment is emerging with increasing significance. In the quarter, 11% of all transactions in the AI segment involved companies active in robotics, defence technologies and autonomous systems, signalling a broadening of industrial and infrastructure applications of artificial intelligence. The quarter also confirmed the pace of global unicorn growth seen in the last 2025 quarters: 21 new companies surpassed the billion valuation mark, bringing the total number to 390 at the end of March.

Supported M&A activity

M&A activity also remained strong. In the first quarter of 2026, 266 M&A deals were concluded, a90% increase year-on-year, despite a 9% decline from the previous quarter. However, the decline appears moderate when put in context: the previous three quarters had seen the highest levels of M&A activity in IA ever observed. Driving the market are in particular the large technology groups, which are accelerating acquisitions to strengthen their capabilities in artificial intelligence. Target companies acquired by the leading incumbents have an average time to exit of 4.5 years, significantly shorter than the 7.6-year average recorded for AI M&A deals in the quarter as a whole. This reflects increasing competition for rapid access to strategic technologies and expertise.

The geographies of operations

Geographically, the US represents an unreachable market for the rest of the world, counting the 206 billion raised in the first three months of 2026 compared to Europe's 10.5 billion and Asia's 8 billion. The proportion is different if instead of the amount one looks at the number of deals: the US is worth 50% of the market, compared to Asia's 22% and Europe's 22%.

Overall, the picture that emerges from the quarter thus shows three main trends: quarterly revenues already exceeding the 2025 annual total, driven by model developers; the entry into a consolidation phase for 'physical AI'; and intense M&A activity by big tech, reflecting the growing strategic urgency to strengthen positioning in artificial intelligence.

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