Market Day

Wall Street from record high after Trump's victory, but Europe does not celebrate. Spread rises to 132

US indices jump after elections, but European market fears protectionist policies. Rain of selling on banks and energy. Dollar strengthens against major currencies, new bitcoin record above $75,000

by Giorgia Colucci and Stefania Blasioli

Aggiornato il 6 novembre alle 22:06

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(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - Trump's policies spooked theEuropean stock exchanges, which closed in the red. After the sigh of relief for the Republican candidate's en plain, which swept away fears of a political stalemate, the markets of the Old Continent reversed course. Thus, Milan (1.54%) ended strongly down, dragged down by banks and utilities. Only Madrid (-2.9%) fared worse, weighed down by the exposure in Mexico and South America of some of its companies, including Bbva and Sabadell. However, Paris (-0.51%), Frankfurt (-1.14%) and Amsterdam (-0.83%) also posted significant losses. London (-0.15%), which had managed to limit losses for most of the session, also went into negative territory at the end. While Wall Street - with the main indices at highs - is celebrating the deregulation policies for banks and oil & gas promised by the taycoon in the election campaign, Europe is looking at the same measures with concern. These measures could lead to increased competition for European companies, especially banks, which are subject to stricter regulations. Moreover, the prospect of a trade war, with high tariffs, risks weakening the European economy. This, explains one trader, together with the fragility of the euro, could force the ECB to accelerate its rate-cutting path, chasing the Federal Reserve. Unless the latter takes a break, given the likely rise in inflation.

Wall Street snaps up new records after Trump triumph

Enthusiasm on Wall Street after Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election. The Dow Jones closed up 3.57 per cent at 43,728.88 points, the Nasdaq advanced 2.95 per cent to 18,983.46 points, and the S&P advanced 2.53 per cent to 5,928.91 points.

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Investors celebrate a clear result, which avoids delays, controversies and legal battles, much feared on the eve. Trump will probably also have the entire Congress on his side: the Republicans should retainthe majority in the House and win back the majority in the Senate. The bitcoin updated its record, rising about 10% to $75,000, and the US dollar - expected to rise by investors in the event of Trump's victory - strengthened, rising to its highest level in five months. Tesla's stock rallied after its CEO, Elon Musk, openly campaigned for Trump, who thanked and praised him in his speech after the victory. The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond also rose to around 4.45%; investors believe that Trump's proposed tax cuts and other spending plans will increase the fiscal deficit and that an eventual trade war against China and the European Union could drive up inflation again.

The banking industry is emerging asa winner from the election. The prospect of looser regulations, tax cuts, rising inflation, and higher interest rates is driving major US financial institutions, investment banks, and even regional banks: JPMorgan, Bank Of America and Citigroup are all up, Wells Fargo & Co , Goldman Sachs Group and Morgan Stanley gained, PNC Financial Services and Capital One. On energy, stocks of oil giants favoured (Chevron) as Trump has already promised to increase oil extraction, while renewable energy companies suffered. With Trump, the battle against companies accused of monopolies and against mergers of large groups will find less space: for this reason, the stocks of Spirit, Frontier and JetBlue in the airline sector, of Kroger and Albertson in retail, of Capri and Tapestry in luxury, and of Live Nation in entertainment are up strongly. For the same reason, Big Tech stocks were up sharply: Apple, Alphabet Class A and Amazon, with the exception of Meta Platforms. Nvidia Corp gains and remains in the lead, ahead of Apple, as themost capitalised company in the world.

Trump media rallying, losses do not deter investors

Volatile session for Trump Media's stock. In premarket, it had gained more than 50 per cent following Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election. The stock is rallying despite a quarterly report released as a surprise after the markets closed on the eve of trading, which showed a loss for the company of $19.2 million in the third quarter. Trump Media owns the Truth Social platform and is controlled by Trump. In the previous five sessions, the stock had lost over 34%, with Democratic candidate Kamala Harris appearing to be recovering in the polls. Over the past month, however, the share price has risen by over 105%.

Milan held back by banks and utilities, rally in US-exposed stocks

In Piazza Affari, the stocks most exposed to Trump's economic policies, such as Tenaris (+6.76%), Diasorin (+5.57%) and Leonardo (+3.46%), took off. The possible brake on green incentives weighed on utilities, with Erg (-3.95%) and Enel (-2.62%) marking the worst positions in the sector. Banks also suffered, with Unicredit (-5.31%) at the bottom of the list. Driving the turnaround in European equities during the session was the performance of banks (Stoxx 600 sub-index at -1.44%). The brilliant quarterly reports of Unicredit, Germany's Commerzbank (-3.65%) and Bpm (-3.04%), among others, were not enough to stem the losses, which feared the effects of Donald Trump's return to the White House and the deregulation policies on the financial sector, celebrated instead by Wall Street institutions.

Dollar soars with Trump, new bitcoin record above $75,000

Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election, which brings the Republican back to the White House after his 2020 victory, gives wings to the greenback and bitcoin. The dollar has strengthened against most other G-10 and Asian currencies: the euro/dollar exchange rate is at 1.073, up from 1.0877 at yesterday's close, the dollar/yen cross is at 153.74, up from 152.26 at the previous close. The bitcoin is also flying, rising 8.6 per cent to break through the $75,000 mark, at a record $75,120. According to Westpac analysts, a Trump victory could 'encourage an extension of the so-called Trump trade. However, the possibility of very heated disputes could increase uncertainty'. Mufg's experts point out that whatever the outcome of the US vote, 'the foreign exchange market is set for high volatility in the short term'.

Gold little moved, remains at record highs

Gold prices moved little with the outcome of the US presidential election. The precious metal changes hands at $2,749 an ounce, up 0.1%. The spot contract gives up 0.1 percent to $2,740.28. Gold had touched a record high of $2,790.15 last week. "This week, the US election is weighing 95 per cent on the price trend, the Federal Reserve 5 per cent," Capital.com's analysts explained, pointing out that "gold is part of what is called the Trump Trade and, in the long term, a Republican victory should benefit.

Spread rises to 132 points at close after Trump, 10-year rate at 3.71%

The BTp-Bund spread closed sharply higher on the day marked by Donald Trump's re-election as US president. On the European bond market, yields on government bonds of peripheral Eurozone countries lost positions to the advantage of core countries, Germany in the lead, reflecting the flight-to-quality that rewarded German Bunds. At the end of the session the yield differential between the benchmark ten-year BTp and the German peer maturity stood at 132 points, up from 125 points on the eve of the session. Also on the rise was the yield on the benchmark ten-year BTp, which ended trading at 3.71 per cent, up from 3.66 per cent at Tuesday's close.

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