Market Day

Stock exchanges, uncertainty prevails between shutdown and rates. Gold rises above $4,000 an ounce

Piazza Affari closes below par, little movement in Paris and Frankfurt. Wall Street in negative after record highs. Euro pays for the political crisis in France. Banks weak in Piazza Affari, investors wonder about an axis on the bancassurance front between Unipol and Unicredit

La Borsa, gli indici del 8 ottobre 2025

5' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

5' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - Uncertainty is the protagonist on the markets, with equities in the doldrums and new records for gold. European stock exchanges, after a weak start, took the path of an upturn only to slow down again in the wake of caution on Wall Street and closed the session in no particular order. In Piazza Affari, the Ftse Mib dropped 0.17%, just above 43,000 points, Paris and Frankfurt were on parity, Amsterdam and Madrid were in the red.

Concerns generated by the political chaos in France and the shutdown in the United States held the headlines. New records for the price of gold, with futures surpassing USD 4,000 an ounce for the first time.

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Wall Street down after records

Si sono mossi in calo gli indici a Wall Street dopo un tentativo di rialzo in avvio e dopo i record della vigilia, con i trader che attendono sviluppi da Washington sull'attuale shutdown, in corso da una settimana. Alla chiusura delle contrattazioni il Dow Jones segna un -0,2%, l’S&P 500 perde lo 0,38% e il Nasdaq chiude a-0,67 per cento. Le speranze di una riapertura del governo, alla vigilia, sono state infrante dal Senato, che non è riuscito, per la quinta volta, ad approvare una proposta di legge della Camera che avrebbe finanziato il governo fino al 21 novembre. Lo shutdown ha finora impedito la pubblicazione di dati economici chiave, come il rapporto sull'occupazione di settembre, previsto per venerdì, e di conseguenza ha ridotto la quantità di informazioni disponibili per la Federal Reserve in vista della prossima decisione sui tassi di interesse. Il blocco, abbinato a questo blackout dei dati, arriva in un momento in cui i rischi per il mercato del lavoro e l'inflazion

Le Borse oggi, 7 ottobre 2025

on the stock market, the Canadian mining exploration company Trilogy Metals gained over 200% after the US government announced the acquisition of a 10% stake in the company. Amd was positive after the company's rating was upgraded by Jefferies following its 47% rally in the wake of the OpenAI deal. Ibm was also positive after the company announced a strategic partnership with Anthropic to accelerate the development of enterprise-grade artificial intelligence by integrating Anthropic's Claude, one of the world's most powerful large language model (LLM) families, into Ibm's software portfolio.

Paris holds despite crisis, French spread aligns with Italian one

Stopping just above parity is the Cac40 of Paris, despite the uncertainty that opened up after that premier Sebastien Lecornu put his resignation on the table, abandoning the president, Emmanuel Macron. At this point, the opposition is strongly calling for the dissolution of the assembly and thus new presidential elections.

On the bond market, the Italian spread stood at 85.18 points at the end of the day, beaten by the French one, which rose as a result of selling pressure on French ten-year government bonds (Oats) whose yield has now reached the 3.57% area, just above the Italian ten-year.

Gold exceeds $4,000 an ounce for the first time

Gold surpassed USD 4,000 per ounce in futures contracts for the first time in its history. It is yet another record high: in 2025, the precious metal has already gained more than 50 per cent and is on track to record its best year since 1979. The Fed's anticipation of new rate cuts, coupled with doubts about the resilience of the US economy - with the shutdown causing a blackout in employment data - has reduced the attractiveness of the dollar and US government bonds as safe haven assets.

Finally, yesterday's resignation of French Prime Minister Lecornu has further destabilised the European political landscape and dragged the euro down. In this uncertain landscape, gold is emerging as a "strategic reserve for both sovereign nations and institutions," explains Ryan McIntyre of precious metals specialist Sprott. While, private investors are using it as a "diversification tool," giving impetus to the rally.

Luxury in the spotlight, Moncler runs in Milan. Eyes on Unipol

Sul listino milanese gli investitori hanno premiato Moncler (+2,35%) e Brunello Cucinelli (+2,14%) in scia allo sprint dei titoli del lusso francesi. A tenere banco stato ancora il risiko, che questa volta potrebbe però coinvolgere il settore assicurativo. I riflettori, in particolari, sono puntati su Unipol (+2,01%) con l’ipotesi ventilata da Il Sole 24 Ore di un interesse da parte di Unicredit (-0,57%) per un'alleanza di bancassurance con la compagnia bolognese. L’istituto guidato da Andrea Orcel starebbe vagliando tutte le strade possibili, sia in Italia che all’estero, e ha creato una struttura appositamente dedicata al mondo assicurativo, anche in vista della prossima scadenza (2027) della partnership con Allianz nel Danni. Nel frattempo, è sempre più in dubbio la trattativa di Generali (+0,55%) con i francesi di Natixis per la creazione di un polo nell'asset management. In caso di fallimento, la compagnia starebbe valutando di agganciare una grande banca it

As for the rest, investment management stocks came to the fore, with Finecobank (+1.23%) and Azimut (+2.12%) leading the FTSE Mib, after good results in September inflows. Leonardo (-0.87%) fell after Le Figaro reported that negotiations with Airbus (+0.67% in Paris) and Thales (-0.76%) on the creation of a European satellite champion had stalled

Euro weak with French crisis, remains below $1.17

The euro remains weak against the dollar after the unexpected resignation of French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu, announced a few hours after the presentation of his new government, a resignation that - say analysts at MPS - has "shocked the markets and weighed on the single currency, which has lost ground against the main currencies". The cross against the dollar has thus plummeted to one-month lows, falling below 1.1645, only to partially recover. Bitcoin is slowing down, moving at USD 124,000.

On the macro front, meanwhile, it emerged in Europe that Germany's real new orders in the manufacturing sector fell by 0.8 per cent in August compared to July and by 1.5 per cent year-on-year. However, the German Statistical Office also revised the July figure, with new orders falling by 2.7 per cent compared to June 2025 (provisional figure was -2.9 per cent).

Oil in slight decline

A minus sign for crude oil prices, with Brent crude just below $65 per barrel and Wti just above $61. The cartel of producing countries, Opec+, at the weekend decided on a production increase of 137,000 barrels per day, starting in November. The market had expected a larger increase, but the decision shows that the group remains cautious in view of a possible production surplus in the fourth quarter of this year as well as next year.

European gas traded in Amsterda rose slightly above EUR 33 per MWh, after rebounding on the eve of the event (+5.3%) from the lows, partly due to the expected falling temperatures in France and Germany.

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