Market

Transient rent, demand up 200% since 2019

Letting market. In five years, contracts covering one to 18 months are those in which demand, supply and rents have increased the most, combining needs for stability and flexibility

TRIESTE, ITALY - JULY 22: General view of people visits on Grand Canal of Trieste on July 22, 2023 in Trieste, Italy. Trieste is an Italian municipality of 198 168 inhabitants, capital of the Italian region Friuli-Venezia Giulia with a special statute.In its history, Trieste was the first imperial city and capital of the Austrian coast. It has been a bridge between central and southern Europe for centuries. (Photo by Stefano Guidi/Getty Images)

4' min read

4' min read

Can't find a house to rent with a traditional '4+4' contract? Blame short rentals, tourists flocking to cities of art and landlords attracted only by greed and fear of defaulting tenants. There is certainly much truth in the tug-of-war between supply and demand in the rental market in Italy (but it is a common trait throughout Europe and beyond).

Yet on the rental market, the reality is more complex. Not so much a crossroads between very short or very long stays, but, increasingly, a threefold situation. In Italian cities, between a stay of less than 30 days to a commitment of up to eight years, the so-called 'transient rent' is growing the most. This is a type of short-term lease, usually less than 18 months. It is ideal for those with temporary study needs or a fixed-term work commitment. But also for landlords who, in this way, combine tenant stability but can dispose of their property again after less than two years.

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The analysis

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According to Immobiliare.it Insights - which analyses data from 2019 on its portal - the numbers confirm the pressure on renting, both in terms of values and the demand/supply imbalance for traditional rents.

In Rome, the former grows by 72 per cent and the latter falls by 52 per cent; in Trieste, demand exceeds 100 per cent but availability falls by -1 per cent. Without active housing policies, the market alone is not enough to balance the demand-supply 'tug-of-war'.

But while traditional rents have grown, on average, by 16 per cent, short rentals by 50 per cent, the values of transient rentals have increased by as much as 88 per cent. On the supply side, while the first two types of contract have dropped by -36 and -7 per cent respectively since 2019, transient rentals have increased by 49 per cent. The same trend for demand: since 2019, that of short-term rentals has grown by 4 per cent, that of traditional rentals by 61 per cent, but that of transient rentals is close to 200 per cent (+199 per cent in five years).

LA SITUAZIONE IN ITALIA

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Growing phenomenon

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"Short-term renting remains an important component of leasing, especially in cities of art or areas with a strong tourist vocation," explains Antonio Intini, chief business development officer of Immobiliare.it, "but we believe that the phenomenon has already reached its peak and is now experiencing a stabilisation phase, as well as some rethinking, even by landlords, after the post-pandemic boom.

There are management costs if the owner entrusts the asset to a specialist in management. If you manage it yourself, you have to clean it, give the keys every few days, do direct maintenance. All charges that when money was cheap were incurred. Now that the mortgage has a cost, every subsequent burden is weighed. What shows a drop in supply in the cities under review (except Milan) are the figures themselves, while demand remains positive.

"The transitory contract, on the other hand," Intini said, "especially in the cities (not just Milan and Rome) is growing because it balances the needs of stable and regular rents for some owners, who can return to possession of the flat in 18 months, with those of tenants who do not want to or cannot tie themselves down for a long time. It concerns students, both Italian and foreign, of master's degrees and specialisation schools, young workers, trainees, managers, relocators and, increasingly, young couples or families with children, people waiting for mortgages to fall in order to buy a home'.

"Transient rentals," added Vincenzo De Tommaso, head of Idealista's research office, "do not only concern large cities and are gaining more and more importance at the expense of classic rentals. In the second quarter of 2024, this typology accounted for 23 per cent of the market, with an increase in the annual offer of 29 per cent. In contrast, the supply of permanent rentals grew by only 6 per cent over the same period. The capital city with the highest percentage of transient rentals out of the total supply is Venice (45 per cent). Also in Genoa, Pisa, Salerno and Verbania, the supply of transient rentals reaches 30 per cent. This is followed by Milan (28 per cent), Naples, Lucca, Trento and Rome (all 27 per cent)".

20% of the stock for rent

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Also confirming the structural pressure on renting is the 2nd Observatory on the Real Estate Market 2024 carried out by Nomisma, according to which in Italy the total number of dwellings rented or used free of charge as a dwelling or residence (excluding those used as a main dwelling) accounts for around 20% of the entire residential stock.

Against this backdrop, the decline in new contracts signed continued in the first quarter of 2024, due to the low supply on the market - with a trend of -1.8% - while the market for transient and student leases continued to perform well, with an increase in the number of contracts signed, which, however, did not absorb the drop recorded in ordinary contracts;

Overall, about half of all landlords claim to have homes currently rented out; almost one in three have not yet rented out their properties but plan to do so soon; one in 10 use their homes for short tourist rentals and the remaining 10% of landlords do not think about it at all.

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