Residential market

Transitional rents, rents soar and contracts collapse

According to Immobiliare.it Insights, compared to a year ago, contracts of up to 18 months have fallen by 20 to 40 per cent in large cities. Experts blame rental prices (which have risen by an average of 28 per cent) and falling rates, which once again favour the purchase of property

3' min read

3' min read

Transient rentals in the city are plummeting. What was seen as an emerging phenomenon a year ago - i.e. leases of no less than 30 days and no more than 18 months - with demand growing everywhere, is showing cracks, especially in the big cities. Due in part to prices that have risen exponentially over the past 12 months (Italy's figures show +28% compared to the first half of 2024), demand has plummeted almost everywhere.
This is what emerged from the latest research by Immobiliare.it Insights, the proptech company of the Immobiliare.it Group, Italy's leading real estate portal specialising in market analysis and data intelligence, which analysed trends in demand, prices and supply of transient leases in Italy and in 12 major centres across the country.

Decline in demand

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Compared to a year ago (1st semester 2025 versus 1st semester 2024), the most significant contraction in demand is seen in Florence (-41 per cent), with Venice in second place (-37 per cent). Significant and very similar decreases were also seen in Naples, Verona and Palermo, with -30 per cent, -29 per cent and -28 per cent respectively.
Milan is in the middle of the ranking, experiencing a drop in interest in this type of contract by 20 per cent, just ahead of Bari (-19 per cent). Smaller, single-digit reductions in demand, on the other hand, for Bologna (-9%), Rome (-7%) and Catania (-4%).

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Finally, there are two large centres in Northern Italy, among the 12 analysed, where demand is holding up, and even increasing compared to last year. The most striking case is that of Genoa, which even grew by 78% - and this phenomenon can be attributed above all to a halving of supply in the period (-56%) - but Turin also performed positively, showing a +7% increase.

Prices soar

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Genoa is the city that has experienced the highest price increase in the last year for transient rents (+29%, from 9.3 to 12 euros/sqm), but costs are still well below those of almost all the other areas analysed, supporting an upward trend in demand. Only Catania remains below these figures, with 11.2 euros/sqm and +4.5% over the period.

In second and third place in terms of rent increases are Bologna (+26.5 per cent) and Rome (+23 per cent) respectively. The former thus rose from 19.3 to 24.4 euro/sq.m., the latter from 17.1 to 21.1 euro/sq.m.. Double-digit rises also for Turin (+16%) and Venice (+12%).

In the rest of the areas considered, prices rose by less than +10%. This is the case in Verona (+7.5 per cent), Milan and Palermo (+6 per cent), Catania (+5 per cent), Florence (+4 per cent) and Bari (+3 per cent). Only in one case are no deviations from last year's figures noticeable: this is Naples, which remains stable at an average of 16.7 euro/sqm.

The supply trend

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Compared to demand and prices, the supply of transient rentals, if we look at the ads published on Immobiliare.it, shows a much more varied trend. Among the rises, the most marked is seen in Catania (+75%), but growth is also solid in Bari (+66%) and Naples (+57%). Availability is also growing in Palermo (+39.5%), Florence (+32%), Milan (+26%) and Venice (+8%). By contrast, in five large centres, the stock on offer is contracting. In addition to the figure already mentioned in Genoa (-56 per cent), availability also falls in Turin (-33 per cent), Bologna (-23 per cent), Rome (-21 per cent) and Verona (-16 per cent).

"Like the rest of the rental market in Italy, the transient rental segment is also experiencing a downturn after the strong increase recorded in recent years," says Luke Brucato, chief strategy officer at Immobiliare.it Insights. "This phenomenon is particularly evident in large cities, where there is a return of interest in buying a house, perceived as a more stable and secure solution in the long term. On a national level, however, the drop in demand for this type of contract is contained, with a reduction of just 1% compared to twelve months ago. A figure that signals substantial stability, especially in small and medium-sized towns (up to 250,000 inhabitants), where transient rentals continue to attract interest, helping to offset the more marked drop recorded in metropolitan areas."

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