Americas

Trump announces duties on Mexico, Canada and China: rising trade tensions

The president-elect said he wants to target countries he holds responsible for illegal immigration and drug trafficking. But one of the goals is the renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement

by Marco Masciaga

Trump su Truth: "Dazi del 10% a Cina contro traffico di droga negli Usa"

3' min read

3' min read

From our correspondent

NEW DELHI - US President-elect Donald Trump announced overnight tariffs of 25 per cent on all products imported from Mexico and Canada and a further 10 per cent on those coming from China, thus targeting his country's three main trading partners that alone are worth a third of everything the US trades with the rest of the world. The tariffs," Trump wrote in a series of posts on his social network Truth, "will be ratified as soon as he takes office in the White House and will remain in force until the countries in question stop the flow of illegal migration and drug trafficking into the US.

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An announcement in open violation of the treaties

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"On 20 January, in one of my first several executive orders, I will sign all the necessary documents to impose 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada on ALL products entering the United States," Trump wrote, later calling the two countries' borders "ridiculous". The announcement, the most specific on trade since his election victory, appears to be in open violation of the Usmca, the free trade treaty between the US and the two neighbouring countries signed by Trump himself in 2020. According to William Reinsch, a former president of the US National Foreign Trade Council, Trump's threats could aim to renegotiate the treaty before July 2026, the stipulated date for reviewing its contents.

If Trump followed through on his threats, the duties would have a huge impact on the two neighbouring countries: more than 83% of the products exported from Mexico take the route to the US, while for Canada the figure is 75%. Immediately after the announcement, the dollar strengthened against the currencies of the two countries, with the peso losing 2% and slipping to its lowest level in a year and the Canadian dollar hitting its lowest level since May 2020.

Automotive paralysis risk

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Among the side effects of such high tariffs - net of retaliation and rising inflation in the US - is the risk of crippling a number of economic sectors, from food to automotive, since North American markets have been highly integrated for more than 30 years, with a large number of US companies dependent on Mexican and Canadian supply chains.

Speaking to the 'New York Times', the president of the Canadian Automotive Parts Manufacturers' Association, Flavio Volpe, explained that 'half of the cars produced in Canada are made by American companies and half of the components used in all cars manufactured in Canada come from US suppliers. In addition, more than half of the raw materials come from the United States. We are more than partners. We are almost as inseparable as family'.

Not to mention the possible trade retaliation of the two countries targeted by Trump.

Chinese reaction: no-win war

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The reference to Beijing and the hypothesis of adding an additional 10% tariff on all Chinese products entering the United States drew an immediate reaction from the Chinese embassy in Washington, which, through a spokesperson, pointed out that 'China believes that economic and trade cooperation between China and the United States is by its nature mutually beneficial. No one will emerge victorious from a trade or tariff war'.

Similar reactions took place in Mexico, where the president of the lower house of parliament Ricardo Monreal wrote on the social network X that 'the escalation of trade reprisals will only hit people's wallets, without solving the underlying problems'. Following the announcement, according to sources quoted by the Reuters news agency, there was a telephone conversation between Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.

The fentanyl issue

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If the words on the need to stop the entry of illegal immigrants into the United States were addressed to Mexico and Canada, the reference to drug trafficking was addressed to Mexico and China. And it particularly irritated Beijing, because in 2023 the Asian country had opened a dialogue with the US on the subject, at the end of which it had announced that it would stop the export of components used in the production of fentanyl, an opioid that has been the main cause of overdoses in the US for years.

"The idea that China would allow the export of fentanyl precursors to the US is contrary to fact and reality," explained the Chinese embassy spokesman in Washington. "China's representatives," Trump's post read, "told me they would apply the maximum penalty, the death penalty, for any drug dealer caught doing this, but, unfortunately, they never kept their promise.

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