War and diplomacy

Trump: 'In two days new talks with Iran'

The US president announces the resumption of negotiations 'in Islamabad and then in Europe' to reopen Hormuz and end the conflict. China's plan to restore stability in the Middle East

by Luca Veronese

Il president americano Donald Trump alla Casa Bianca EPA

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Negotiations between the US and Iran to end the war in the Middle East will resume soon, 'within a couple of days in Islamabad' and then 'continue in Europe'. The confirmation, after many rumours spread by both Washington and Tehran, came from Donald Trump. While from the Gulf countries, all the way to India and even China, mediation efforts multiplied. "Something might happen in the next couple of days in Pakistan regarding the negotiations. We are inclined to follow that direction,' the US president told the New York Post, provoking a positive reaction from the financial markets and a drop in oil prices. "It is very likely and do you know why? Because the field marshal is doing a great job, he's fantastic," Trump added in reference to the Pakistani Chief of Staff, Asim Munir.

The United States and Iran will pick up where they left off: the reopening of Hormuz, the truce also in Lebanon, sanctions, Iranian assets and above all the nuclear programme. It was precisely the clash over the Iranian nuclear programme that caused the break-up in the first round of talks on 7 April in Pakistan: the US wanted to impose a total halt of 20 years, while Tehran was willing to accept a halt for only five years.

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Over the past week, US diplomacy has nevertheless kept the channels of communication with Tehran open and continued to work under the radar, at least with part of the Iranian regime, to find a way out of a war that is increasingly difficult for the White House to sustain. At the same time, in order to overcome the double closure of Hormuz - the Iranian one and the one decided by the US - which is overwhelming the financial markets and global economies, many countries have taken urgent action by putting pressure on Trump to reactivate negotiations: the usual Turkey, Emmanuel Macron's France, the Arab Emirates and Qatar, Saudi Arabia (worried about the possible blockade of naval traffic also in the Red Sea), Egypt, India, and even China - which has been very harsh in condemning the US and Israeli attacks from the outset - have organised meetings and made statements to ease the tension.

"The international order is collapsing into chaos," said Xi Jinping, who nominated China as a "stabilising force" in a world disrupted by Trump's unpredictable approach, in trade and foreign policy, as in armed conflicts. The Chinese president - in a summit with Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Khaled bin Mohammed - insisted on the need to maintain the "fragile ceasefire" in Iran, reiterating that China will nevertheless continue to play "a constructive role" in the Middle East. Xi, already the great director of Pakistan's mediation that led to the current truce, then outlined a four-point (fairly generic) proposal for peace and stability in the Middle East: respect for the principle of peaceful coexistence; respect for the sovereignty of countries; respect for international law; and promotion of development and security.

Between Xi and Trump, who are expected to meet in Beijing in mid-May, dialogue remains difficult The Chinese president has promised to respond with 'appropriate countermeasures' to new US threats of tariffs on trade, yet another US move to strike at China-Iran ties and business.

Trump's umpteenth ultimatum granted two weeks of truce and thus set 21 April as the deadline by which Iran must reopen Hormuz, a crucial junction through which a fifth of global oil and gas supplies passed before the war. Subsequently, the White House decided to block Iranian ports in the Strait, including therefore those authorised by Tehran, threatening to bombard ships attempting to pass through. To put further pressure on Tehran, the Trump administration is also reportedly willing to let the waiver that temporarily authorised the purchase of predefined quantities of Iranian crude oil expire this weekend in an attempt to mitigate the energy shock.

The US military announced that so far "no ships have managed to get through the blockade" and that "six merchant ships have obeyed the order to turn back to Iranian ports in the Gulf of Oman". However, the US explains that the blockade 'affects ships entering or leaving Iranian ports, while other ships transiting through Hormuz enjoy freedom of navigation'. Maritime traffic data provided by Iran showed that at least nine ships, including a Chinese tanker, passed through Hormuz. The ayatollahs' regime - according to sources quoted by Bloomberg - would in any case have decided to limit traffic through the Strait in order not to provoke further escalation and to facilitate the upcoming talks.

"We have now found the right interlocutors in Tehran," Trump assured . His deputy JD Vance, also set to lead the upcoming talks, was less optimistic: 'The ball,' he said, 'is in Iran's court, there is progress, but it's up to them'.

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