Interventions

Trump's tariffs drive us to technological development

ANSA

3' min read

3' min read

In the fairy-tale economic theory that drives the White House, tariffs should contribute to the reindustrialisation of the United States. But in a classic example of the heterogenesis of ends, if we seize the opportunity they could instead stimulate European technological development.

It is well known that Europe's trade surplus in the industrial and agricultural sectors intersects with a deep deficit in the services sector. A significant part of these services - and, as the Draghi report points out, of the competitiveness differential between the US and the EU - is made up of the highest value technology sectors. We sell machines and import cloud computing.

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This is why the best response to the US administration's extraordinary act of self-defeat is not to seek symmetrical, duty-for-duty confrontation, but instead, as in jiujitsu, to redirect the opponent's move to one's own advantage. This, for instance, is the case with regard to deepening trade relations between Europe and the rest of the world in response to the US market closure. But the central part of such a strategy lies in developing true European technological sovereignty. In other words, freeing the old continent from the colonisation of American Big Tech.

Our economic prosperity as much as our continental security depends on it. Google and Microsoft now control two thirds of the European cloud computing market.

What would happen if one day, on Donald Trump's orders, they decided to pull the plug or grant US security agencies the right to monitor our companies' data? Or what would happen if platforms like TikTok or X became sites of disinformation and interference with European democratic processes? US Vice-President Vance's recent support for Russian electoral interference in Romania seems to justify just such a scenario. Or just think that until a few weeks ago, Italy was seriously entertaining the idea of entrusting its military satellite communication to Starlink, a private American company run by the erratic and politicised Elon Musk.

Duties and regulations are a fundamental part of a new strategy of technological autonomy. China, on the other hand, teaches us: it would not have been possible to develop an alternative and competitive digital ecosystem with the American one without the use of defensive barriers to protect its growth. There would not be Baidu, WeChat and Alibaba today if the Beijing government had not made life difficult for Google, Facebook and Amazon. But if, until now, it would have been rude for liberal Europe to follow the Chinese example, Donald Trump's economic aggression instead presents an opportunity to do whatever is necessary to finally acquire and develop a European technology sector that is competitive with the American and Chinese.

An important group of European companies - including Airbus, Aruba and Dassaut - recently wrote to the European Commission supporting the EuroStack platform, which aims to develop an independent European digital ecosystem. Among the proposals are once 'irritating' practices such as the request to direct public subsidies to companies that make use of digital technologies Made in Europe. The use of public spending as an instrument of European industrial policy, on the other hand, is also beginning to make inroads into military spending.

Regulation itself, of which Europe is the champion, could be understood as an instrument of industrial policy. This is the case, for instance, with privacy laws: the legality of data flows between the US and Europe is questionable to say the least, especially now that Elon Musk's cutbacks have rendered the Privacy and Civil Liberties Oversight Board, the body the US had set up precisely to make its cloud computing services exportable to the EU, impotent.

While we figure out how to solve the damage to our industrial or agri-food exports, we should seize the opportunity to accelerate the construction of a new European digital industry. Instead of lamenting the decline of yesterday's world, we should seize the opportunity for our continent to build and play a leading role in tomorrow's world.

Director Berggruen Institute Europe

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