Voting in America

Trump's victory and the impact on chips: Intel up, TSMC down

The isolationism promised by the new president and his phrases on Taiwan have their first real effects on the semiconductor market

2' min read

2' min read

Donald Trump's victory is the market mover of the moment, and it could not be otherwise. The new President of the United States of America (who will take office in January 2025) expressed very clear foreign policy concepts during his election campaign, which is why his election is moving the stock markets. Also and especially the semiconductor sector, which is highly stratgic for the United States of America.

In the pre-market, Intel jumped up (gaining almost 5%), but all tech stocks ran. While Elon Musk's Tesla literally flies).

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On the other hand, Taiwan's TSMC, the global chip leader, is marching in negative tact. And the reason seems clear enough: Trump's words and plans on Taiwan. We wrote about it here.

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Trump's accusations against Taiwan

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Last July, during an interview with Bloomberg Business Week, the tycoon had made it clear that US support for Taiwan in its dealings with China would no longer be a priority, should he win. Trump, in fact, had explained that it is unfair that Taiwan does not pay the US for the protection (from China) it has provided over the years. And then he had criticised Taiwan's own chip industry, finding it guilty of stealing technology from the US.

"Taiwan took away our chip business," Trump had said in that interview. "I mean, how stupid are we? They took away our entire chip business. They are immensely rich."

All accusations that the new president reiterated a few days ago in 'The Joe Rogan Experience' podcast

Now, those who know the world of semiconductors, one of the most strategic sectors of this era, are quite aware that today, giants such as Nvidia and Apple, to name but a few, depend on the future of the Taiwanese giant TSMC. That is why if Taiwan's future were to hang in the balance, i.e. without the shield - at least relational - of the United States of America, TSMC's could creak, creating an uncontrollable domino effect. Not least because Trump has made no secret of the idea that he could impose tariffs on chips coming from Taiwan.

Why Intel flies

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For all these reasons, Trump's victory pushed Intel's stock up. The American manufacturer is making huge (and financially heavy) efforts to achieve autonomy from Taiwan. A long-term strategy, that of Intel, which is working to build numerous foundries throughout the western world, although finances have placed doubts and limits. Trumpian isolationism could reward precisely companies like Intel, which are highly strategic for the United States of America. Instead, it could hurt TSMC, which lost around 2% in the premarket.

The Leap of Tesla

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It's nothing to do with the chip market, but it's certainly part of the technology lobby, Tesla. The electric car company, founded and led by Elon Musk, is absolutely to be considered a 'Trump stock'. Immediately after the election of the new president, Tesla's stock gained over 15% in the premarket. The Musk effect - Trump's first supporter in this election campaign - was felt.

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