Media

Universal Music Group, stock market thud after half-year accounts

The drop in streaming revenues and the halt of the Meta deal weighed heavily. Vivendi and Bolloré Group shares also dragged into the red

US singer-songwriter Taylor Swift performs on stage during her concert, as part of her 'The Eras Tour', at the San Siro stadium in Milan, Italy, 13 July 2024. ANSA/MATTEO BAZZI

3' min read

3' min read

Never since its IPO in 2021. What went up in smoke for Universal Music Group was more than €10 billion in capitalisation, which fell to around €39.7 billion after shares in the global music industry giant, which represents artists ranging from Taylor Swift to Drake, plummeted 23.54 per cent.

It was a slump, but it could have been even worse considering that the stock lost 30% in the morning on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange, dragging the shares of Vivendi (the former parent company that retained 10% of the music major lost 6%) and the Bolloré group (which owns 18% of Umg and 29.9% of Vivendi and lost 5.5%) into the red.

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Yet the world's leading entertainment label posted higher-than-estimated revenues and still exceeded expectations in terms of profitability, generating a net profit of EUR 914 million (compared to EUR 625 million a year earlier) between January and the end of June.

But the slowdown in the subscription and streaming segments, as well as the end of the agreement with Meta, had a strong impact. 'On the platform side, we have changed our licensing agreement with Meta. It previously offered premium music videos on Facebook. This offering has been less popular with Facebook users than other music products and, as a result, Meta will no longer be licensing premium music videos to us as of May of this year,' said the group's chief financial officer, Boyd Muir, during a conference with analysts.

In detail, Umg, owner of the famous Abbey Road studios - where the Beatles, Lady Gaga, Kanye West and Amy Winehouse have worked - posted second-quarter turnover of EUR 2.93 billion (+9.6% in constant currency), surpassing the EUR 2.89 billion expected by analysts according to the Visible Alpha consensus. On the other hand, however, revenues from subscriptions and streaming (worth half of the turnover) grew by +4.1%, which, although an improvement, still represents a slowdown compared to the +7% in 2023 and +19% in 2022.

Within this framework, however, subscription revenues amounted to EUR 1.137 billion: less than the consensus figure of EUR 1.179 billion. But above all, the mole was visible in streaming revenues: down and lower than expected between April and June. We are talking about 343 million against the expected 387 million. The fall in this case was 3.9 per cent in constant values due to 'a slowdown in growth of key partner platforms as well as failures by other platforms in the timing of agreement renewals'. All this while Spotify exceeded its forecasts in premium subscribers, recording 12% growth.

Of course, despite the drop, the group is still worth 23.6 times the expected profit and more than 13 times the equity on the stock exchange. This is also why the CEO Vivendi, Arnaud de Puyfontaine, spoke of 'overreaction' during the presentation of the accounts of the French media company, which distributed 60% of the capital to its shareholders during the listing of the record label, retaining, as mentioned, a 10% stake. Vivendi generated revenues of €9.052 billion in the first half of the year (organic +5.8% due in particular to the performance of Lagardere and Canal+). Adjusted net profit was EUR 329m, compared to EUR 324m in H1 2023.

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