The word from the manager: AllianceBernstein

"Let's take a close look at the Beijer Ref title"

'The company benefits from structural trends such as energy efficiency. We are also interested in Asml and 3i'

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Invest in growth stocks but with a long-term horizon without being influenced by episodes of volatility. This is the suggestion of Thorsten Winkelmann, co-manager of AllianceBernstein's AB European Growth Portfolio.

In this market phase, which sectors of the European stock market are most attractive for a growth strategy?

Over the past year, the value style has prevailed in Europe, thanks mainly to banks and defence. This opens up interesting opportunities today: quality growth stocks trade at a discount to more cyclical growth and have one of the lowest premiums compared to the overall market in the last twenty years. The moment may therefore become interesting for those who invest patiently and with a truly long-term horizon. We see in the European industrial sector several cases of solid and improving earnings growth, which are not cycle-dependent. In addition, opportunities may exist in the specialty chemicals sector, with several manufacturers increasingly outsourcing distribution to reduce costs and increase efficiency.

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How do you balance your growth strategy with risk management?

Maintaining a long-term perspective is key to managing risk: by focusing on fundamentals and avoiding giving in to the temptation to react to short-term movements, investors can position themselves to seize future growth opportunities and benefit from the capitalising effect of yields in recovery phases.

How do geopolitical tensions influence your choices?

They can create risks, but also opportunities. Over the years, we have found that sticking strictly to our philosophy and looking at the long term is the best way to navigate geopolitically induced volatility.

What impact do macroeconomic and monetary variables have?

One of the key aspects of being a long-term investor, in quality companies with a bottom-up approach, is that macroeconomic dynamics often matter less than one thinks. Over the past five years, for example, European growth has been weak, but companies with leading products or services, strong management teams, pricing power and strong barriers to entry have had more control over their growth dynamics than the macro cycle or policy choices.

What are the most interesting sectors?

Today, we see many opportunities in the industrials sector, a sector that is often not associated with growth stocks, but linked to cyclical trends. Our analysis suggests that it is precisely in industrials, a sector in the Msci Europe Growth Index, that the largest number of companies with profitability and earnings growth above the median of the European growth market are concentrated. There is, however, a distinction to be made between a 'growth' industrialist and an industrialist who is, in reality, mainly exposed to the cycle. Companies that lead industrial niches with little competition tend to express more regular growth, because they can rely on robust market shares and hard-to-replicate competitive advantages, often underlying real pricing power.

How do you protect yourself against volatility?

In volatile environments, investors' attention can easily be captured by short-term noise and geopolitical dynamics. We focus on fundamentals with consistency and discipline.

Are there countries or market segments in Europe that offer more growth opportunities than the US?

We believe there are structural dynamics that give more support to Europe than to the US. After 15 years of flows into US equities, which resulted in an underweight of Europe in the major global indices, investors are now turning their attention back to certain areas of the Old Continent market. Europe, for its part, is home to a number of interesting companies, including in the tech branch, with strong global business models and leading positions in their respective fields.

The companies you find most interesting?

An interesting company is the Dutch Asml, a leader in the semiconductor business with a significant competitive advantage in Euv technology (extreme ultraviolet lithography): this, together with control over the supply chain, provides the company with a solid basis for long-term growth. Another example to watch out for is Beijer Ref, active in the distribution of Hvac solutions (heating, ventilation and air-conditioning systems), which has a significant share of recurring revenues linked to maintenance and spare parts, a dynamic that provides greater visibility on growth and reduces exposure to economic cycles. It also benefits from structural trends, such as energy efficiency and the transition to more sustainable refrigeration systems, which supports demand. Finally, we look favourably on London-based 3i: its main holding, the discount chain Action, has, in our view, a broad growth path in the markets it already serves, while maintaining high levels of profitability.

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