'We believe in ride sharing where Uber is the leader'
'Other interesting companies include Alphabet, Asml, Roche and Cummins'
Key points
Pierre Mouton, Head of Equity Long-Only Strategies at Ns Partners explains his view of the stock markets, pointing out that further growth is possible, albeit in a more risky situation than in the past.
In recent months we have witnessed a slowdown in global growth but also positive signs on the consumption and labour market side. How do you interpret this macro picture and what are the main drivers for equity markets in the coming months?
The economic context is not particularly rosy, but it is not negative either. Consumption is unevenly affected by the current economic situation: while low-income households tend to limit their spending, wealthier ones continue to be in good shape. Looking ahead, the two main factors that will most influence the macroeconomic picture will be employment and interest rate developments.
What impact has the just-filed shutdown left on the markets?
The US government shutdown, the longest in history, had a relatively modest impact on the markets. According to Congressional Budget Office (Cbo) estimates, the net effect of the shutdown on the economy will only be 0.04% of GDP, with a negative impact in the fourth quarter of 2025 and a recovery in the first quarter of 2026. In any case, this is a marginal and insignificant impact on equity markets.
Central banks' monetary policies remain the focus of attention. How are you reading the Fed's and ECB's moves? And what impact do you foresee on the risk appetite of equity investors?
The ECB seems to have reached the end of its tightening cycle, with rates expected to remain at around 2.0% for the foreseeable future, in line with inflation hovering around that level.


