Transition

What are carbon credits and why are they important for Cop30

After the EU Council's decision to expand their use, a new boost in demand is expected from Belém. Today, however, potential demand exceeds supply by a factor of 14

by Sara Deganello

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

A carbon credit is a certificate of reduction or capture of CO2 equivalent, awarded to a project. However, not all projects that reduce and capture emissions are automatically eligible to become credits. They must meet minimum criteria: the reduction or capture must be permanent, real, measurable, the project must have regulatory additionality (i.e. not simply meet a legal obligation) and economic additionality. That is, it must demonstrate that the sale of the environmental benefit is its fundamental livelihood.

Carbon credits are used to offset the greenhouse gas emissions of a producer, company or country. By purchasing them, they finance projects that reduce, avoid or remove emissions from the atmosphere. The credits are issued by third parties and certified by specialised bodies. The International Emissions Trading Association maintains a list of standards recognised internationally as the most reliable. One credit is equivalent to one tonne of CO2 equivalent avoided or removed from the atmosphere. In purchasing, it responds to market rules.

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The solutions

"Carbon credits have their origin in the Kyoto Protocol, which was adopted in 1997 and came into force in 2005. With the aim of cutting emissions, the idea was to optimise resources by rewarding - among all available technologies - the solution with the lowest marginal cost of CO2 abatement. A mechanism that implies simple projects, with low initial prices, which will grow as demand increases, allowing more expensive technologies to enter the market,' explains Andrea Ronchi, founder and CEO of the consultancy firm CO2 Advisor .

A few examples of projects that generate carbon credits: "They are nature- or technology-based," answers Ronchi: "They range from the prevention of deforestation, for example, and the conservation of wetlands, which are low-cost solutions, to sustainable fuels, renewable energy, electric mobility, reforestation and nature restoration actions, to activities such as generative agriculture, carbon capture and storage (Ccs) and biochar, i.e. charcoal to be stored on the ground. All these solutions do not have to enjoy state incentives, given for environmental benefit, which cannot be counted twice'.

The Story

Carbon credits are first framed in Article 6 of the 2015 Paris Agreement, which establishes mechanisms for voluntary cooperation between countries to achieve climate goals, including carbon markets and other non-market-based solutions. At Cop29 in Baku a version defining more precise rules was approved, "at Cop30, which opens in Belém in Brazil on 10 November, we expect further implementation, with a reference scheme that can be used by all countries to make agreements. All the more so after the EU Environment Council's recent decision to extend the use of credits for member countries to achieve decarbonisation targets with a 5% share for Europe plus a further 5% for each country, again with respect to 1990 levels," Ronchi stressed.

The Outlook

What are the consequences? "There will be a jump in demand, which is low at the moment," replies the CEO of CO2 Advisor: "Under today's conditions, the potential global demand is 14 times the current supply, we find ourselves with a very short market. There will therefore be an increase in prices, with estimates predicting an increase that could exceed $150 per credit already by the 2030-2040 decade. On the one hand, this will allow more expensive technologies to enter the mechanism. On the other hand, it will be a problem for companies, which will face additional costs.

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