Conjuncture

Wood furniture, stable exports in March. Awaiting Trump's tariffs

FederlegnoArredo data based on Istat show a -0.4 per cent of exports in the first quarter, but a +3.3 per cent for the United States

by Giovanna Mancini

Carpenter applying protective varnish on a wooden surface in a furniture factory

3' min read

3' min read

Despite the constant announcements and counter-announcements (or perhaps because of them), the US tariffs that Trump has once again postponed from 9 July to 1 August have already had an effect on exports of Italian furniture and wood products: in the first quarter of this year, sales to the USA rose by 3%, after the 0.1% drop recorded in the January-February period, perhaps in an attempt to anticipate the application of the tariffs announced by Trump, who just yesterday signed the executive order extending the deadline from 9 July to 1 August.

The expectations for the US market

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This effect was all in all expected, as explained by Claudio Feltrin, president of FederlegnoArredo, who released data on the sector's exports between January and March this year, which indicate an overall -0.4% compared to the same period last year and +0.1% in March compared to March 2024.

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Conversely, companies are likely to expect a slowdown in the US market in the following months, either as a result of a rebound from this 'glut' (retailers have been hoarding products to secure stocks at current prices but will now have to deplete these stocks), or as a consequence of the tariffs that will be applied, or as a result of the devaluation of the dollar, which is now worth 13.5 per cent and reduces the purchasing power of Americans.

Looking for new markets

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All that remains is to look elsewhere and continue to invest in developing and consolidating or relaunching other markets. But which ones? "The situation is not easy,' says Feltrin, commenting on the export data for March. 'Europe is still in trouble, with France and Germany, our main partners, lagging behind, partly compensated by the good performance of Spain, which scores +7.4%, and the United Kingdom, which grows by 3.3%.

The United Arab Emirates is doing very well, posting +11% to add to its excellent performance in 2024 (+25%), but the numbers in this market still remain small. Just as small are the numbers of another potentially strategic country, India, but which still presents many problems: "Consumer taste is still far from that of our design," Feltrin observes, "and it is a complex market from the distribution point of view, where, moreover, there is already a system of customs tariffs. Moreover, a new certification (the Furniture Quality Control Order) is due to come into force next February, imposing a series of standards on furniture entering the country, creating de facto non-tariff tariffs that will certainly not help Italian furniture exports.

Entering into the details of the data released by Fla, the European Union is confirmed as the first reference market for Italian wood-furnishing, with a stationary trend -0.2%), while exports to non-EU countries grew by 1.7%, reaching 690 million Euro.

The furniture system recorded -1.1% with EUR 3.4 billion in exports, with a more pronounced slowdown for kitchens (-8.3%) and offices (-9.8%), while the wood macrosystem recorded + 1.6% for a value of EUR 1.25 billion, due to the good performance (+9.7%) of furniture products and finishes for the building industry.

Imports, China's advance

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Feltrin also emphasises the significant increase in imports from China, which grew by 25 per cent in March compared to March 2024, while the cumulative figure for the quarter even shows an increase of 38.2 per cent. However, ISTAT data for April 2025 reports a 3.5% drop in imports for furniture, which could indicate a small positive sign, but we need to wait for the coming months to see what the trend is. "The advance of the Chinese giant should not make us feel too comfortable," says Feltrin. It is no coincidence that, for the climate of confidence expressed by companies in May, the balance of judgements on orders stood at -24.1%, worse than the -20.2% in April.

The data processed by FederlegnoArredo's Study Centre based on Istat data in fact photograph a sector that, like many others, is 'forced to stand by the window', waiting to really understand what will happen in terms of tariffs and what path Trump intends to take. "As has been the case for almost a year now, for different but all highly complex reasons," adds Feltrin, "being able to imagine even the near future is truly impossible, but the clear fact is that while we are at the mercy of the US president's declarations, the negative trend of the main countries that import our products also continues.

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