The Week

Chaos on the markets: European stock markets down, Wall Street positive, gold up and dollar falling

The stock markets file a schock eighth week hanging on Trump's announcements and China's countermove. Euro tops since 2022 against the greenback, gold still a record. Wall Street closes higher, DJ +1.56%, Nasdaq +2.06%. For S&P 500 best week since 2023

by Laura Bonadies and Stefania Blasioli

5' min read

5' min read

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - In a heart-stopping week for the European stock exchanges due to the trade war triggered by Donald Trump's US administration, especially with regard to China, with a series of announcements and stop-and-go, the Old Continent's stock markets ended the eighth week all in negative territory. Paris was the worst performer, leaving 2.3% on the ground, followed by Milan (-1.8%) and Frankfurt (-1.3%). Most European sectors were down, with the oil and gas sector down 7.2%, followed by autos (-4.1%) and utilities (-2.9%), which were impacted by the sharp drop in oil prices, which fell 2.3% in the eighth quarter. Italy's utilities sector also suffered the most, dropping 5.1%. Banks, on the other hand, fared well (+2.7%) always in the spotlight as far as the sector's resurgence is concerned. The euro/dollar exchange rate was up 3.3%, with the greenback moving to a three-year low against the single currency.

Turning to individual Italian equities, Nexi was the best performer (+5.9%) with Cdp (shareholder with 18%) not ruling out "any option" regarding its presence in Nexi. On the second step of the podium Unicredit (+5.6%) grappling with the offer launched for Banco Bpm and approved by 99.88% of the shareholders in Piazza Gae Aulenti. Lastly, Leonardo closed the eighth quarter up 5.4%, galvanised by the meeting on the satellite dossier with EU antitrust chief Teresa Ribera, together with Airbus and Thales. The three groups have long been in talks to consider a combination of their respective satellite activities. On the opposite side for Stellantis (-12.6%), which paid the price for the US trade war and also for global delivery estimates for the first quarter that were below expectations. Eni was down 11.9% and Tenaris 10.9% under pressure from the tariff effect on steel.

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Friday's session uneasy between US-China escalation and dollar fall

In Friday's session, Beijing's response to Washington's tariff increase generated unease on the European stock markets, which also ended the last session of the week down. Milan fell 0.73%, Paris 0.3% and Frankfurt 0.94%. Investors were unnerved by China's decision to raise tariffs on US goods from 84% to 125%, in response to US President Donald Trump's decision to raise tariffs on imports from the People's Republic to 145%. For its part, Beijing has made it known that it does not want to continue with further increases, "not even if the US were to continue imposing higher tariffs: it would no longer make economic sense and would become a joke in the history of the world economy". Meanwhile, investors' eyes are on the late evening when S&P will comment on the sovereign ratings of Italy and Great Britain, Moody's will rate Belgium and France, and Fitch on Spain.

I Mercati a metà seduta

Gold record

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Another record close for gold, which today gained $67, or 2.12%, to $3,222.20 an ounce. On the week, it gained 6.98 per cent. This was the fourth consecutive week on the rise, the thirteenth in the last fifteen.

Wall Street closes higher, DJ +1.56%, Nasdaq +2.06%. For S&P 500 best week since 2023

Wall Street closed positive. The Dow Jones rose 1.56 per cent to 40,212.47 points, the Nasdaq advanced 2.06 per cent to 16,724.46 points, and the S&P 500 advanced 1.81 per cent to 5,363.26 points.

The S&P 500 posted its best week since 2023, rising 5.7 per cent. The jump followed a slowdown in recent hours in pressure on the dollar and treasuries after Boston Fed President Susan Collins said in an interview with the Financial Times that the central bank is ready to help stabilise markets.

Producer prices were published today, down 0.4 % on a monthly basis, for a marked annual slowdown from 3.2 % to 2.7 %.

US consumer confidence falls in April, University of Michigan index below estimates

In April, Americans were less optimistic about the economy than in the previous month, mainly due to confusion and uncertainty over President Donald Trump's policies and declines in the stock markets. The preliminary reading of the confidence index compiled monthly by the University of Michigan came in at 50.8 points, the lowest since June 2022, following the 57-point final reading in March. Expectations were for a figure of 54.6 points. The component measuring expectations for the future fell from 52 points in the previous month to 47.2. The component on the current situation dropped from 63.8 to 56.5. Regarding inflation, one-year expectations rose from 5% to 6.7%, the highest since 1981; five-year expectations rose from 4.1% to 4.4%. In February 2020, before the start of the coronavirus pandemic, the index was at 101 points.

U.S. quarterly reports, JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley above estimates

US banks' quarterly reports surprised on the positive side. JpMorgan Chase ended the first quarter with profits and revenues up and above expectations, but CEO Jamie Dimon warned of 'significant turbulence in the economic environment' and the potential negative effects of a trade war. The New York-based bank in the three months to March reported profits of $14.64 billion (+9%) and revenues of $45.31 billion (+8%). Morgan Stanley reported net income of $4.3 billion, up about 26% (above estimates), and net sales of $17.7 billion, up from $15.1 billion a year ago, a figure it called 'record' in a note. Wells Fargo profit grew in the first quarter of 2025 thanks to the performance of its wealth management business. Net income rose to $4.89 billion, or $1.39 per share. This figure improved by 6% from USD 4.62 billion, or USD 1.20 per share, in the previous year. Lastly, US giant BlackRock posted net income for the first quarter of the year down to $1.51 billion, but total assets under management rose to $11.580 billion at the end of March from $10.470 billion at the end of 2024.

Friday in Piazza Affari good for Diasorin and St, weak for banks

In Milan rebounded Stmicroelectronics , after earlier declines and while the spotlight remains on tensions with the Italian government over governance, while it beat the Stellantis , after the publication of estimates for first-quarter worldwide deliveries, which fell 9%. Also among the best performers were Recordati and Diasorin . Banks were weak, with Unicredit , Banco Bpm and Banca Mediolanum which suffered the biggest declines.

Dollar falls, euro tops since 2022

Dollar still down, with the index measuring the greenback's performance against a basket of major currencies down 1.83%, which if confirmed at the close would be the worst daily decline since 2022. U.S. President Donald Trump's aggressive tariffs policy and fears that investors, in response to the unfolding trade war, may flee U.S. assets weighed. The single currency rose to a high of $1.1412, a level not seen since February 2022, before falling back to $1.1331, still up 1.2 per cent from the previous close. The dollar/yen traded at its lowest level since December 2023 at 143.465, down 0.7 percent from its eve's close. Also up was the pound at $1.3069 (+0.75%) and the Swiss franc at 1.2249, record levels.

Oil little moved, gold still record high

The price of oil rose slightly: the May Wti future gained 0.22% to $60.2 per barrel, while the June Brent at $63.37 (+0.09%). Up on gas (+1.37%) to 33.75 euros per megawatt hour. Gold continued its upward march to record highs: the futures gained 2.13% to $3,222.50 an ounce, while the spot gained 1.88% to $3,235.78. Finally, Bitcoin rose 2.84% to $81,970.

Spread closes up at 127 points, 10-year yield steady at 3.80%

Closing on the upside for the spread between BTp and Bund amid a general decline in yields on the euro curve. The underperformance of Italian bonds compared to their German peers (which have returned to being a refuge for euro liquidity) pushed up the spread between Italian and German paper. At the end of the session, the yield differential between the benchmark ten-year BTp and the German Bund of the same duration thus stood at 127 points, up from 122 points at yesterday's close. On the other hand, the yield on the benchmark ten-year BTp was stable at 3.80%, unchanged from yesterday's close.

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