Cars

Aston Martin goes down in London, sales down and more red than expected in 2025

The company no longer expects to generate positive free cash flow in the second half of this year, volumes expected to decrease

Giuliana Licini

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - Aston Martin's stock violently skidded on the London Stock Exchange after warning that the yearly loss will be larger than expected due to lower-than-expected demand in North America and Asia-Pacific and the impact of US tariffs. The stock of the British luxury carmaker slumped as much as 11% in the early stages of the session. Looking back at the beginning of the year, the share price has fallen about 30%.

In a market update, Aston Martin said that the adjusted EBIT for the 2025 financial year will be worse than "the lower end of the market consensus range", or a loss of £110m. This is a further cut from July's revision, when the company had projected a breakeven, reflecting 'extremely destabilising' US tariffs, while previously expecting a positive result.

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Aston Martin also no longer expects to generate positive free cash flow in the second half of this year and total operating volume is expected to decline by "a high single digit" from 6,030 cars in 2024. The British carmaker explained that it operates 'in a difficult macro-economic environment, including uncertainties over the economic impact of US tariffs and the introduction of a quota mechanism, changes in taxation on the ultra-luxury car in China, and the risk of increased supply pressures following the recent cyber incident' at UK rival Jaguar Land Rover.

The impact of Uk-US tariffs

The US tariff rates system, negotiated between the UK and Washington, has complicated financial planning, Aston Martin explained, adding that it is seeking interaction with the US and GB governments for 'greater clarity and certainty'. The company calls for 'more pro-active support from the UK government to protect the interests of low-volume manufacturers'.

The carmaker points out that it delivered around 1,430 vehicles to dealers in the third quarter, below its target of remaining close to the 1,641 units recorded in the same period last year. Aston Martin also specified that deliveries of its Valhalla supercar will begin in the fourth quarter with around 150 units, a delay compared to initial expectations due to difficulties with the vehicle's design and regulatory approvals. Regular deliveries are expected in 2026.

"An immediate review of capital expenditure and future costs has been initiated by the management team. This will also include the review of future product designs in response to market and regulatory dynamics. It is expected that this will result in lower investment in design and development than planned', i.e. £2 billion in 2025-2029, the company further states.

Finally, 'the group expects profitability and free cash flow generation to improve in 2026 compared to 2025'. Aston Martin's new guidance cut could be the drop that breaks the camel for many investors, Bernstein analysts write. Under a new CEO and with the best set of cars in many years, it seemed to many that things were finally starting to turn the corner.

A key point was positive free-cash-flow generation in the second half of 2025 and the launch of Valhalla in full swing, says the bank. But Aston Martin no longer expects to be free-cash-flow positive in the second half of the year, while the launch of Valhalla is slower than expected. "There may be room for surge to the upside next year, but not before a significant reset today," they conclude from Bernstein. The group will provide further details when it publishes its third-quarter accounts on 29 October.

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