German rearmament

Berlin increases military spending by a third to 110 billion: “We cannot defend ourselves against Putin with a balanced budget”

The Government has approved the draft 2027 budget: total public spending rises to 555 billion, with 200 billion in borrowing. Defence spending will reach the NATO target of 3.5 per cent of GDP as early as 2029

Il ministro della Difesa tedesco, Boris Pistorius (al centro a sinistra), e il cancelliere, Friedrich Merz (EPA) EPA

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Germany, which has turned its back on debt restraint, continues to push resolutely for increased military spending. On the eve of the NATO summit in Turkey, where the contributions of European countries and Berlin will come under intense scrutiny from the United States, Friedrich Merz’s government approved the 2007 budget on Monday 6 July, allocating nearly 110 billion euros to defence – a third more than was allocated in 2026.

NATO Target

This refers to military expenditure in the strict sense – that which falls within NATO’s target of 3.5 per cent of GDP by 2035 (to which is added 1.5 per cent of related expenditure, for example on infrastructure and civil protection). Under the Ministry of Finance’s planned trajectory, Germany will rise from 2.8 per cent of GDP in 2026 to 3.5 per cent as early as 2029.

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The allocation just approved exceeds by a few billion that indicated as recently as the end of April in the public finance targets for 2027, which earmarked almost 106 billion from the ordinary budget, compared with 82.7 in 2026. Added to this are 11.5 billion for Ukraine and the resources from the special fund, launched in mid-2022 by the previous government (100 billion in total), which is due to run out next year. Total planned defence spending in Germany thus stands at around 150 billion for 2027.

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‘Defending ourselves against Putin’

By 2030, military expenditure in the strict sense will exceed 183 billion. Between 2026 and 2030, Berlin will allocate a total of almost 784 billion. Under the constitutional reform approved in March 2025, all defence spending exceeding 1 per cent of GDP is exempt from the debt brake, which characterised a long era of austerity. “Peace in Europe is threatened by Putin’s imperialist ambitions. We cannot defend ourselves with a balanced budget,” said Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil.

The draft budget is due to be examined by Parliament in September. Defence accounts for almost a quarter of total public expenditure forecast for 2027 (555 billion euros), with this trend expected to see that figure rise to a third by the end of the decade.

The debt spiral

The projected debt for next year exceeds 203 billion and is set to rise to over 219 billion by 2030. Overall, it will reach 838 billion over the four years, partly as a result of the special infrastructure fund, which was approved last year alongside the defence exemptions.

Public debt will rise to 69.5 per cent of GDP next year, an increase of three percentage points, whilst the deficit will exceed 4 per cent of GDP and stand at 4.2 per cent in 2030.

Due to high levels of debt, interest payments are set to almost double by 2030, rising from nearly 42 billion in 2027 to nearly 81 billion. The German Confederation of Industry (BDI) and the Association of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (DMB) have criticised the budget. “By 2030, almost one in five euros of tax revenue could be spent on interest payments,” said BDI Chief Executive Tanja Gönner.

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