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Biden-Trump, TV duel: the president, uncertain and hoarse, disappoints in face-to-face with the tycoon. Panic among Dems

The President misses lunges at issues dear to him such as abortion rights and the 6 January uprising. Trump, amid elusive and misleading responses, appears aggressive but controlled

5' min read

5' min read

An uncertain Joe Biden, fully demonstrating his 81 years and at times looking fatigued and confused. An aggressive Donald Trump, who evaded and misled (and at times continued to repeat falsehoods about the election he lost in 2020 and his own efforts to subvert it). But who often seemed more controlled, disciplined and calm than usual.

The first debate of the US presidential campaign did not reassure American voters - nor the increasingly nervous activists and leadership of the Democratic Party - who were worried about Biden's age and image of fragility. Despite being 78 years old, Trump delivered a performance deemed more determined. The judgment of the big media flowed mercilessly: 'Biden's crash in first debate with Trump', headlined the Wall Street Journal, which pointed out that his rival 'remained composed'. Biden "floundering" wrote the New York Times, despite Trump's "deceptive attacks". Similar terms were used by the Washington Post.

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Biden-Trump, il primo duello in televisione

Photogallery35 foto

The effect on the polls remains to be seen, with the polls still four months away and time for ransom chances. This, however, is at first glance the summary of the face-to-face meeting that took place in the Atlanta TV studios of CNN. Ninety minutes of questions and answers from the candidates to journalists and channel moderators. In the eyes of the experts, Biden, his voice hoarse and weak aggravated by a cold, too often, especially in the first half hour, seemed unable even to finish some of his sentences clearly. Nor did he manage to shine even on the topics he considered most favourable, the defence of abortion rights (attacked by the Republicans) and that of democracy and its values, starting with the denunciation of the assault on Congress on 6 January 2021 by supporters encouraged by Trump. Vice-President Kamala Harris herself later admitted that Biden 'got off to a slow start' in the debate. One of Biden's most effective responses came on foreign policy, on multilateralism, allies and NATO: he accused Trump of wanting to give up Ukraine to Russia and of "being the man who wants to get out of NATO".

Trump, in terms of substance, first attacked on issues familiar to him: immigration, accusing Biden of opening the borders to waves of often dangerous illegal immigrants; and the economy, blaming Biden for excessive inflation. On foreign policy, he said Biden had ruined the US's reputation for strength. And he did not let slip a jab at Biden's slips: 'I really don't know what he said, and I don't think he does either,' he said at the end of a particularly convoluted remark by his rival on migrants. Trump also indicated that he will only accept the outcome of the next election if it is fair and legitimate.

Several Democratic Party officials, behind the scenes, expressed open nervousness about the President's overall performance. "He had one mission: to reassure himself that he was capable of being president for another four years. And he failed it," said one Dem representative. Indeed, Biden needs to mobilise the party's base, which lacks enthusiasm for him, and reach out to small but crucial swathes of undecided and independent voters. Biden, in a post-debate event, tried to harangue supporters by stating that 'we will beat this gentleman', referring to Trump. Among party officials, however, some have even entertained speculation about replacing Biden as the candidate in extramis at the August convention.

During the debate there was no shortage of particularly heated and personal exchanges, fuelling the tense atmosphere. Biden pressed Trump by stating that 'he is the only person on this stage who is a convicted criminal', adding that he has the moral sense of a 'stray cat' and saying that he had an affair with a porn star 'while his wife was pregnant' (the Stormy Daniels scandal). Trump relaunched that Biden's son Hunter 'is a convicted felon of the highest order'. By the count, Trump spent over 18 minutes attacking Biden's person or policies; Biden used over 12 minutes against Trump for this purpose.

The polls reveal the uncertainty so far in the campaign and the need for candidates to try to shake it to their advantage. The national polls indicate a substantial parity, around 46%, but those of the decisive states, really up for grabs in the American system that allocates big voters at the state level to win the White House, so far give an albeit modest lead to Trump in six out of seven cases. Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin are neck and neck, while Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and North Caolina see Trump ahead by four or five points.Age is a crucial node. At 81, Biden is the oldest American president and voters in the polls themselves have shown scepticism, more so than for the 78-year-old Trump. However, he needs to broaden his electorate more consistently beyond the Maga, Make America Great Again movement.

Biden e Trump discutono su età, forma fisica e handicap nel golf

The country picture behind the candidates offers strengths for both, starting with the economy. Economic expansion and employment remain on track, but inflation is stubborn, complicating the Biden's rope. Trump for his part, however, is putting forward controversial proposals, such as an all-out trade war with 10% tariffs on all imports, from allies and rivals, and 60% on Made in China, which analysts say is likely to do far more damage, also in terms of price spirals, than it is helping domestic production in some sectors.Crime is down nationwide, according to FBI statistics, a help to Biden, but the perception of less security is widespread, an aspect that Trump is leveraging on. He also links it to the migrant crisis, with the continuing strong flow of arrivals from the southern border, which is difficult to solve but easy to use politically.Social issues are hot: Biden is counting on defending the right to abortion, which has been severely eroded by the successes of the ultra-conservative Republicans, Trump tries to dodge the issue by merely upholding the position that it is the individual states that should decide the limits. Democracy is another crucial issue: Biden counts on Trump's subversion indictments linked to efforts to overturn the 2020 vote to denounce Trump as a dangerous extremist, Trump defends himself as a political persecuted by the establishment.Foreign policy sees opposing visions of leadership: Biden's multilateralism contrasted with Trump's nationalism tinged with isolationism, which accuses the President of weakness on the international front and of involving America in unwanted conflicts, in particular his support for Ukraine against Russia's unleashed invasion.

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