Hackers and chaos

Bomb threats and attacks on fridges are used to test Europe’s NATO defences

Eurocontrol updates its figures: 35 alerts in three days. The absence of explosives or damage to the cold chain must not lead us to brush the issue aside. Every emergency sheds light on a different aspect of how institutions operate: from relations between air traffic controllers and the military, right through to the resumption of services. Hybrid warfare aims to test the limits of EU coordination

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5' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

5' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

On 3, 5 and 6 November , Eurocontrol, the organisation responsible for aviation safety, reported threats against 35 flights: seven on 3 November, fourteen on 5 November and a further fourteen yesterday. Some aircraft were diverted, others inspected; in some cases, military fighter jets were deployed. There is no evidence that the messages originated from an intelligence service, nor that they were coordinated. However, the absence of explosives does not resolve the issue: every emergency reveals a facet of how institutions operate, from the relationship between air traffic controllers and the military to the resumption of services. And this is the point of the hybrid warfare operation currently underway: to test the coordination and technical resilience of the EU and NATO within European borders

Seven out of 26,278 flights were affected by bomb alerts on 3 November, and fourteen out of 28,488 on 5 November. Meanwhile, there were 29,550 flights in European airspace yesterday. In short, this represents a percentage ranging between 0.026 per cent and 0.05 per cent. The agency did not detect any measurable impact on delays across the entire network. There was therefore no paralysis of continental air traffic, although individual airports, flight crews and security forces had to cope with diversions and checks. And it is from this aspect that it is worth beginning a more detailed analysis.

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Coordination of air defence

NATO coordinates integrated air defence through the Allied Air Command in Ramstein and the Combined Air Operations Centres in Torrejón, Uedem and Bodø, which are linked to national commands. The Alliance monitors up to 30,000 aircraft movements daily, whilst also tracking civil air traffic. No threats or combat-ready aircraft. On 23 February 2025, two Italian Eurofighters escorted an American Airlines flight from New York to Delhi to Fiumicino following a bomb threat. The Italian Air Force identified the NATO centre in Torrejón and the Italian facility at Poggio Renatico. This is a concrete example of a multi-tiered response.

European capabilities do exist, but they are spread across different missions

 In France, the permanent air security posture comprises, according to official sources, around 450 personnel and 70 civilian and military radar stations; in 2025, the Ministry of the Armed Forces recorded 452 incidents, not all of which related to hostile threats. In the United Kingdom, the Royal Air Force maintains the Quick Reaction Alert with Typhoons. Germany also deploys Eurofighters on allied missions: the detachment in Romania logged 35 alert take-offs, over 650 flight hours and around 170 military personnel during the operation, which ended in March 2026.

On 10 September 2025, Warsaw reported 19 airspace violations by Russian drones. The response described by NATO involved Polish F-16s, Dutch F-35s, Italian aerial surveillance, German Patriot systems and allied support. Nine days later, three Russian MiG-31s violated Estonian airspace, prompting an intervention by Italian F-35s on Baltic patrol. These are military events, not anonymous threats: they demonstrate that a state’s defence can mobilise resources from multiple allies simultaneously. The problem is that air patrols, civilian assistance and armed incursions are not equivalent measures.

The defence of maritime space

The picture becomes even more complex if we shift the focus of protective operations to the sea. Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania operate as part of the allied air patrol rotations; Romania combines its own F-16s with NATO detachments in the Black Sea and, in October 2026, reported the shooting down of two drones that had entered its national airspace. In August 2026, the United Kingdom reported a 25 per cent increase in maritime surveillance activity in the first seven months of the year compared with 2025. In the Baltic, the NATO operation Baltic Sentry, launched in January 2025, is strengthening the surveillance of underwater infrastructure. In the Mediterranean, Italia and France must reconcile trade routes, ports, civil aviation and naval responsibilities.

The issue is the simultaneous continuity of the functions

The idea of strategic reconnaissance does not come out of nowhere. On 6 March 2026 Eurojust announced the results of an investigation into parcel bombs transported via European logistics networks in 2024, with 22 suspects identified in Lithuania and Poland. Investigators hypothesised a link to Russian military intelligence and identified shipments suspected of being preparatory tests. This represents another theoretical link to the recent bomb scares. However, Lithuanian intelligence has produced a report on Russian interest in allied military movements and the use of intermediaries. It is a concrete lead but one that has yet to be verified.

The material risks of civil sabotage

Recent news reports have highlighted attempts to sabotage the French plasma bank. The FBI, CISA and three other US federal departments have warned that the risks to industrial refrigeration and the cold chain are set to continue. In this case, we are not talking about messages that force a flight to divert, but rather technical interference with temperature-dependent systems. However, the concept is quite similar.

The pillars laid down by NATO

Government continuity, energy, population movement, water and food, healthcare, communications and civil transport are the seven requirements for resilience identified by NATO. In a conflict, the capability of an armed force also depends on the continuity of these services. For Italia, this would mean safeguarding manufacturing, distribution and transport; for Germany, industrial continuity; and for France and the United Kingdom, the interplay between national defence, strategic services and military commitments. The economic cost arises from the disruption of shared functions, not from the elimination of a target. On 27 August 2026, the Polish Court of Auditors, NIK, published an analysis of eight essential service providers: all had inadequate IT measures in place, and six systematically ignored critical alerts between 2021 and 2025. This is neither evidence of the fragility of Poland’s air defence nor a result caused by false alarms. It clearly documents the gap between alert and response. On the other hand, the government in Warsaw has reported that it contained the cyber-attacks on 29–30 December 2025 without any power cuts. A success? In reality, merely one successful piece of a complex jigsaw puzzle.

The test concerns cooperation

Cyber Europe 2026, an exercise focusing on railways and maritime transport, involved over 5,000 participants and more than 100 experts. EU Integrated Resolve 2026 was scheduled between 19 October and 20 November to coordinate responses to hybrid crises. No simulation can guarantee success during a real conflict. However, it serves to test responsibilities and communications without exposing citizens to a genuine emergency. Cognitive warfare, on the other hand, fuels confusion between false alarms, successful attacks and attributions. There is no verified aggregate cost of bomb threats and attacks on the cold chain, but it is virtually certain that the perpetrators are attempting to gauge NATO’s resilience in Europe. Because every incident reveals a fragment of the European response. Audits and records also show where civil protection has room for improvement. This is the purpose behind all these attacks and those that will target other infrastructure.

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