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EU stock markets rebound, with tech stocks leading the way in Milan. Bitcoin hits a three-month high

Stock markets are shaking off fears over the consequences of ‘Economic D-Day’ and are awaiting Nvidia’s results. Oil prices are falling, but Brent remains above $90 a barrel

 zchris22 - stock.adobe.com

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - The European stock markets are gradually shaking off fears over the consequences of "economic D-Day" announced by the US against Iran and are thus trading higher, following the previous day’s falls. The strategy of sanctions and economic isolation announced by the US Treasury Secretary against Tehran – which aims to strike at all of Iran’s financial links – has ‘proved less dramatic than expected, with a wide gap between rhetoric and substance’, according to analysts at Rystad Energy. The FTSE MIB in Milan, the CAC 40 in Paris, the DAX 40 in Frankfurt, where in August, the Ifo index – which measures business confidence in Germany – rose to its highest level in a year at 88.8 points.

The markets are thus turning their attention back to the key events coming up this week. Among these are the US consumer price figures (Wednesday 26 August), which will provide important guidance to the Fed regarding its next moves on interest rates. In any case, further clues as to the trajectory of the Fed’s monetary policy are likely to emerge on Friday 28th with a speech by Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole symposium. On the technology front, all eyes are on the financial results of the Californian giant Nvidia (scheduled for the 26th).

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Tech takes centre stage in Milan, whilst luxury takes a back seat

On the stock market, tech shares are standing out on the Milan Stock Exchange following the previous day’s sell-off: Prysmian has thus shot to the top of the index, whilst Stmicroelectronics is also performing well. Buying in the oil sector with Tenaris and Saipem. The banking sector remains in the spotlight, with moves by Banca Monte Paschi Siena failing to meet the ‘targets’ in recent days Banca Generali and Banco Bpm. Furthermore, later today, the board of directors at Piazza Meda will be called upon to assess Monte’s offer. Luxury stocks are down, with Moncler, Ferrari and Brunello Cucinelli.

In Paris, all eyes are on Essilorluxottica following Leonardo Maria Del Vecchio’s decision to step down from all his roles within the company to focus on new business ventures.

Oil prices fall, gas prices remain steady at around 70 euros

On the foreign exchange market, the euro/dollar exchange rate remained largely unchanged at 1.16. On the energy front, the price of oil is falling, with the October WTI futures contract at around 84 dollars per barrel and the contract with the same expiry date for Brent at around 91 dollars. Natural gas prices in Amsterdam natural gas in Amsterdam is flat, though it remains close to 70 euros per megawatt-hour, its highest level since January 2023. Gold is largely unchanged, with spot delivery at around 4,650 dollars per ounce.

Bitcoin rises back above $80,000

Bitcoin has risen back above $80,000, a level not seen for over three months, buoyed by the weakening of the dollar in the wake of the US Treasury’s massive buyback on the bond market. The cryptocurrency has been on the rise since last week, when US President Donald Trump called on Congress to pass a bill providing clearer definitions for the growing cryptocurrency sector. In August, Bitcoin’s gains thus exceeded 28 per cent, putting the cryptocurrency on track for its biggest monthly gain since November 2024.

The Treasury’s recent announcement, on the other hand, “prompted buyers to flock to physical and digital assets, whilst fears resurfaced regarding the ‘debasement trade’ (a phenomenon stemming from fears that inflation and public debt are eroding the value of the dollar, thereby favouring gold and bitcoin)”, say analysts at IG. “A sustained break above this level” for bitcoin “would pave the way for a move towards $95,000–$100,000”.

Spread down slightly; 10-year yield also falls

The spread between BTp and Bund has narrowed slightly: the yield spread between the benchmark 10-year BTp and its German counterpart stands at 81 basis points, down from 82 points at the close the previous day. Also down is the yield on the benchmark 10-year BTp has fallen to 4.05 per cent, from 4.07 per cent in the previous reading.

Tokyo closes up 0.5 per cent; the market awaits Nvidia’s results

The Tokyo Stock Exchange closed on a positive note. The Nikkei index rose by 0.50 per cent, closing at 65,856.43 points, recouping its initial losses caused by a sell-off in technology shares due to concerns over investment in artificial intelligence. Investors are awaiting the release of Nvidia’s second-quarter results and, for the time being, do not appear to be paying much heed to the new sanctions against Iran announced by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. On the data front, Japan’s leading index stood at 116.5, unchanged from May and higher than the preliminary reading of 116.4, according to the Cabinet Office.

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