Markets

Stock markets are gaining confidence, as fears over tariffs take a back seat. Banks are performing well in Milan

The quarterly results season continues, with attention also focused on the latest escalation in the Middle East. Oil prices have pulled back following yesterday’s rally. The spread has edged down to 84 points, whilst yields are falling. The euro is trading below 1.14 dollars.

Foto: REUTERS/Jeenah Moon

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) – As we approach midday, the European stock markets are gaining confidence and consolidating their gains, with the FTSE MIB in Milan up by almost one point, as is the CAC 40 in Paris and the DAX 40 in Frankfurt. However, concerns over new tariffs from the US administration continue to linger in the background on the markets. Washington has in fact announced the imposition of tariffs ranging from 10% to 12.5% on its main trading partners, as part of a new series of trade barriers which, according to the Trump administration, are aimed at combating forced labour.

The new tariffs, announced on Thursday by the office of US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, are set to replace President Trump’s temporary 10 per cent across-the-board tariff, which expires on Friday morning. Trump had introduced that temporary tariff in February, after the Supreme Court had struck down most of his across-the-board tariffs.

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Meanwhile, investors remain alarmed by the new front in the war between the US and Iran opened by the Iranian-backed Yemeni Houthis, who are threatening maritime traffic in the Red Sea, fuelling fresh fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East. By declaring a blockade on Saudi oil shipments through the Red Sea and opening fire on two ships, the Houthis have begun to isolate a second key commercial chokepoint, Bab al-Mandeb, the strait linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden and the Indian Ocean. The militant group’s actions risk, amongst other things, drawing in other regional military powers such as Saudi Arabia, Israel and Pakistan.

Amplifon performs well, banks in the spotlight

On the Milan Stock Exchange, Amplifon is making a name for itself, whilst the banks are performing well, led by Intesa Sanpaolo and Banco Bpm , whilst Poste Italiane is performing poorly following its quarterly results. The group reported an increase in profits and revenue in the first half of 2026, confirming its guidance for the full year. Selling pressure continues on Stmicroelectronics , following the previous day’s sharp fall in the wake of its results. As CEO Jean-Marc Chery told La Repubblica, around €2.4 billion will be invested in Catania between 2026 and 2028 to boost 8-inch silicon carbide capacity, and €1.4 billion in Agrate Brianza. It is worth noting that Jefferies has confirmed its ‘hold’ rating on Buzzi , whilst lowering its target price from 49.5 to 46.5 euros, and that Mediobanca has confirmed its ‘outperform’ rating on Unicredit , raising the target price from 92 to 100 dollars

Oil prices pull back after yesterday’s surge

Against this backdrop, oil prices are edging back slightly following yesterday’s surge, which pushed Brent futures above $100 a barrel for the first time in two months. At present, the September Brent contract is trading at $100.15 (-0.5 per cent) and the September WTI contract at $91.45 (-0.8 per cent). European natural gas remains stable at €62 per megawatt-hour.

Euro below 1.14 dollars, Bitcoin on the rise

In the currency markets, the euro is trading at 1.138 dollars (+0.06%). The single currency is also worth 186.48 yen (+0.07%), whilst the dollar-yen exchange rate stands at 163.78 (unchanged). Bitcoin is up slightly at 65,302 (+0.3%).

Spread down slightly to 84 points, yields falling

The spread between BTp and Bund bonds has edged down slightly. The yield spread between the benchmark 10-year BTp and the German Bund of the same maturity stands at 84 basis points, one basis point lower than the 85 basis points recorded at the close the previous day. The yield on the benchmark 10-year BTp stands at 4.03%, down from 4.06% at the previous close.

Tokyo falls, enters correction territory

The Nikkei fell by 2.69% to 64,634.04, whilst the broader Topix index lost 1.28% to close at 4,002.09. Since the start of the month, the Nikkei has fallen by 7 per cent, entering correction territory last week. Its movements have been influenced by South Korea’s Kospi index, which is heavily weighted towards the technology sector, and by the US Philadelphia Semiconductor Index.
In Japan, inflation accelerated in June, in line with expectations, due to the conflict in the Middle East and the weakness of the yen, which is close to its lowest levels in 40 years. Consumer prices (excluding fresh food) rose by 1.6 per cent year-on-year in June, compared with 1.4 per cent in May.

Seoul plunges amid AI uncertainties; Chinese markets fall

South Korean shares have plummeted by 6 per cent, again due to uncertainties surrounding AI, whilst the surge in oil prices to over $100 a barrel has reignited fears of a new inflationary shock. The benchmark Kospi index fell by 6.3 per cent to 6,650.41 points, wiping out most of the gains made over the previous three trading sessions, during which the index had risen by around 9 per cent.
Chinese markets were also down. Hong Kong lost 1.7 per cent and Shanghai 1.2 per cent.

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