The day

EU stock markets edge up cautiously; gold hits a three-month high. The banking crisis fails to boost the Milan stock market

Precious metals are surging on the back of the massive debt buyback programme launched by the US Treasury. On the Milan Stock Exchange, attention is focused on the dual public offer launched by MPS for Banco BPM and Banca Generali. Oil prices remain high, despite a slight dip.

Borsa in un minuto

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - European European stock markets are trading cautiously in the final session of the week, whilst scepticism is growing amongst investors regarding the massive plan by debt buyback launched by the US Treasury. The bond market remains under pressure, with Treasury yields unchanged (the 30-year yield stands at around 5.2 per cent), despite US Secretary Scott Bessent emphasising to CNBC that the buybacks could exceed $4 billion per transaction. The US Treasury’s move is driving up gold prices, which are returning to near three-month highs. In Milan , the banking crisis is failing to boost the FTSE MIB : the market has reacted rather coolly to the two takeover bids launched by MPS for Banco BPM and Banca Generali, worth a total of 34 billion euros. The first is trading at a discount of around 0.6 per cent, whilst the second is trading at a premium of 10 per cent.

Then there remain the tensions in the Middle East, following the escalation of economic threats from the United States towards Iran and the lack of progress towards de-escalating tensions between Washington and Tehran. Consequently, the CAC 40 in Paris, and the DAX 40 in Frankfurt and other European stock markets.

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In Milan, the focus is on banking risk

On the Milan Stock Exchange, all eyes are on the banks following the two public offers launched by Banca Monte Paschi Siena on Banco Bpm and Banca Generali for a total value of 34 billion euros. Rocca Salimbeni has officially unveiled the two-pronged deal devised by CEO Luigi Lovaglio to fend off the takeover bid by Intesa Sanpaolo and approved the previous day by a majority of the board of directors. These consist of two voluntary public exchange offers, which are simultaneous and parallel, and consist entirely of shares: the offer for BPM will be worth approximately 25.3 billion, and the one for Banca Generali approximately 8.7 billion.

Prysmian in the spotlight, oil shares fall

As for other shares, tech stocks are in the spotlight, with Stmicroelectronics and, above all, Prysmian. In the spotlight: Avio , with the Advent funds considering the purchase of further shares on top of the stake of almost 7 per cent they will hold following the planned reserved capital increase. Good news for Stellantis and Ferrari are performing well. By contrast, oil stocks are slipping, with Tenaris, Saipem and Eni .

Crude oil down slightly, gas remains at around 65 euros

On the energy front, the price of oil remains high, although it has fallen slightly, with the Brent at around $93 a barrel and WTI above $86. Gas prices in Amsterdam are also down slightly, though they remain close to 65 euros per megawatt-hour. On the currency market, the dollar is weakening further, with the single currency trading at around 1.17. Bitcoin continues to surge, breaking through the 75,000-dollar mark.

Gold nears three-month highs following US Treasury move

Gold prices are surging, hitting their highest levels in nearly three months, buoyed by the weaker dollar and the US Treasury’s decision to increase its buybacks of government bonds. The precious metal is thus trading at around $4,580 an ounce on the spot market. The weakening of the greenback has boosted not only gold but all precious metals, with spot silver close to $70 and platinum at $1,360. “The weak dollar is helping the sector; ETFs have resumed buying gold on a massive scale, with inflows not seen since last January,” commented analysts at MPS. All eyes are on the Fed’s next meeting in September: although gold is generally considered a hedge against inflation, higher interest rates tend to reduce the metal’s appeal, as it offers no yield.

Spread stable, 10-year yield on the rise

The spread between BTp and Bund on the MTS secondary market remains stable: the yield spread between the benchmark 10-year BTp and the German bond of the same maturity stands at 81 basis points, unchanged from the previous day’s close. The yield on the benchmark 10-year BTP has risen slightly, to 4.07%, from 4.06% previously.

Tokyo closes 0.3 per cent lower in the wake of Wall Street

The Tokyo Stock Exchange closed lower, following the losses recorded on Wall Street the previous day, due to growing doubts about the effectiveness of the US Treasury Department’s government bond buyback programme. The Nikkei index closed down 0.30% at 66,016.36 points, weighed down by shares in the technology and machinery sectors.

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Japanese inflation accelerates to +1.9% in July

Meanwhile, on the data front, figures on inflation and the PMI index have been released from Japan: in July, the consumer price index rose by 1.9 per cent year-on-year, accelerating from the 1.6 per cent increase recorded in June. The ‘core’ index (which excludes fresh food) rose by 1.8 per cent year-on-year, whilst remaining below the 2 per cent target set by the Bank of Japan. Meanwhile, according to S&P Global, the preliminary manufacturing PMI rose to 55.1 points in August from 54.5 in July, whilst the services PMI rose from 51.2 to 52.3; the survey highlights a steady pace of growth, despite persistent cost pressures.

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