The Esmo Award

Cancer: Award goes to researcher behind the ‘cancer glucose monitor’ that can predict relapses

The aim of his research is to move away from simply chasing cancer relapses towards predicting their course

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

A simple blood test could one day help to detect the invisible traces of a tumour, monitor the effectiveness of treatment and detect a recurrence long before traditional tests can. This is the new frontier in oncology envisaged by Dan A. Landau, Professor of Computational Systems and Biomedicine at Weill Cornell Medicine in New York, who was honoured this year at the European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) Congress with the ESMO Award for Translational Research 2026. The aim of his research is to move from chasing cancer relapses to predicting their next moves. But the road to large-scale implementation is still an uphill struggle.

Monitoring tumour progression

Landau’s hope is to be able to monitor the progression of a tumour as easily as a person with diabetes monitors their blood sugar levels, using a sort of ‘cancer glucose meter’. A device capable of repeatedly measuring the presence and progression of the disease in the blood, thereby helping doctors to decide when to intervene, when to adjust a course of treatment, but also when to avoid unnecessary treatments. It is a radical shift in perspective: not waiting for the tumour to manifest itself, but anticipating its movements in advance.

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It will certainly not be an easy task, because cancer is a moving target: it constantly changes and evolves in order to survive. This is the hard lesson that research in this field has learnt over the years. Not to mention that cancer cells can alter their behaviour even without changing their DNA, thanks to epigenetic mechanisms that regulate gene activity (without altering their molecular sequence). This plasticity represents yet another weapon in cancer’s arsenal for survival. Just as with bacteria and antibiotic resistance, in short, cancer cells too can become resistant to treatment through these evolutionary mechanisms.

However, new molecular analysis technologies already make it possible to study genetic mutations, gene activity and certain epigenetic characteristics simultaneously within a single cell, whilst also enabling us to reconstruct the disease’s evolutionary history. It is a sort of biological time machine, enabling us to trace the tumour’s origins and, in the long term, to make predictions about its future behaviour.

Research into minimal residual disease (MRD)

After surgery, how can we tell whether a patient is actually tumour-free or whether there are still cells in the body capable of causing a recurrence? This is a fundamental question, which can influence the decision on whether or not to administer adjuvant chemotherapy (i.e. after surgery). In the absence of tools capable of dispelling this doubt, many patients end up receiving demanding treatments of uncertain benefit.

Liquid biopsy seeks to provide answers by analysing fragments of circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) in the blood. In some haematological cancers, monitoring residual disease is already standard clinical practice. In solid tumours, however, the field is still at an earlier stage of development.

The innovation Landau is working on is to make this monitoring increasingly sensitive, accessible and suitable for large-scale use. At present, many tests require a genetic analysis of an individual patient’s tumour in order to develop a personalised test capable of detecting mutations in the blood. However, this is a sophisticated and costly process, and therefore not feasible on a large scale.

The new frontier lies in using standardised platforms that can be easily applied to a large number of patients, rather than developing a bespoke test for each individual patient. However, the reliability of these tools across different cancers and clinical situations remains to be demonstrated, and, above all, it remains to be seen whether basing treatment decisions on their results provides a real benefit in terms of survival and quality of life.

Artificial intelligence will help predict cancer’s next move

The second key player in this revolution is AI. A test capable of collecting extensive genomic information, in accordance with standardised procedures, could feed into large databases. And algorithms, trained on this information and on clinical outcomes, could learn to recognise increasingly early signs of disease progression, resistance or recurrence.

This is the ‘virtuous circle’ of data: the more high-quality information that is collected, the greater the models’ ability to identify biological patterns that are difficult to detect using traditional methods. But even here, having large amounts of data at one’s disposal does not guarantee accurate predictions: independent validation, rigorous checks and prospective clinical trials are required.

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But Landau goes even further. In the future, molecular blood tests could help not only to monitor the progression over time of a tumour that has already been diagnosed, but also to identify people at particularly high risk of developing one. This would make it possible to tailor screening programmes and, in selected cases, to consider preventive measures before the disease develops.

Moving from treating cancer to detecting it before it appears. This is the most fascinating prospect, but also the one that calls for the greatest caution. Identifying molecular markers associated with ‘risk’ is not the same as predicting with certainty that a tumour will develop in the future. And offering large-scale screening to the general population, without having demonstrated its accuracy and usefulness, could lead to false alarms, unnecessary tests and unnecessary treatments.

This is why the ‘cancer glucose meter’ is not a device you can buy from a chemist’s, ready for home use, nor is it a universal test capable of diagnosing any type of cancer. The aim is to transform cancer monitoring from a series of check-ups spaced out over time into a molecular assessment carried out much more frequently, in a personalised manner. Perhaps not too far in the future: Landau envisages that the convergence of molecular biology and artificial intelligence could transform medicine over the next 10–15 years.

The next revolution in oncology will lie in getting to know the tumour so well that we can anticipate it, rather than chasing after it.

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