Trade and green transition

Electric car clash: China threatens duties on large EU diesels

Beijing government discussed restrictive measures with domestic industry groups: the response to Brussels' tariffs rises in tone

by Gianluca Di Donfrancesco

3' min read

3' min read

European cars with large diesel engines are the next step in Beijing's retaliation in the clash on electric vehicles with Brussels. The Chinese Ministry of Commerce discussed the increase in tariffs (now 15%) on cars imported from the EU with representatives of the domestic automobile industry. This was reported by the state-run Xinhua news agency. The response to the tariffs launched by the European Commission thus rises in tone, compared to the threat of anti-dumping measures on the European dairy sector, with the investigation announced in recent days into EU subsidies.

The numbers

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For now it is only a signal, albeit a heavy one. Under consideration in Beijing are restrictive measures on passenger vehicles with engines over 2.5 litres: in 2023, China imported 196 thousand from Europe, up 11% year-on-year, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association. In the first four months of 2024, imports amounted to 44 thousand cars, down 12% on the same period in 2023.

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EU car shipments to China reached a value of EUR 19.4 billion last year, while the bloc bought EUR 9.7 billion worth of e-cars made in China, according to Eurostat.

The threat of duties on cars is in addition to the anti-dumping investigation on dairy products, the one on pork and the WTO appeal against the Brussels squeeze.

Germany in the Crosshairs

The development had been in the air since June, when Brussels announced countervailing duties on electric cars, which were confirmed in August. The main target of retaliation would be Germany. China accounts for about 30 per cent of the sales of German car manufacturers, which are by far the biggest exporters of vehicles with engines of 2.5 litres or more in the country, with $1.2 billion in shipments to China since the beginning of the year, according to Chinese customs data.

Mercedes Benz's GLE Class large SUV, Porsche's S Class sedans and the Cayenne are the three most popular imported cars from Europe in the country. Slovakia is the fourth largest supplier of cars with large engines in China and the second in the EU.

The US, UK and Japan also export cars with engines larger than 2.5 litres and could expand their market share in China if tariffs on EU cars are increased. Chinese manufacturers suggested in June to raise tariffs to 25 per cent from the current 15 per cent. However, it should be remembered that the US has imposed 100% tariffs on Chinese electric cars: a clash on this front could also open up.

EU duties

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The Twenty-Seven must vote in October on the final adoption of provisional tariffs of up to 36.3% against electric vehicles made in China (in addition to the 10% already in force on all imported cars). To block the measure, a qualified majority of 15 member states representing 65% of the population is needed. Germany, together with Finland and Sweden, abstained from the advisory vote on whether to support the permanent adoption of the tariffs. France, Italy and Spain supported the proposed tariffs and are among the countries that would be most affected by any retaliatory tariffs resulting from trade investigations initiated by China.

On Friday 23 August, the German government reiterated that it considers it 'central' that Brussels and Beijing find a solution to avoid tariffs on the car industry and the risk of a spiral.


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