The accounts

Eni, quarterly accounts above expectations. UK government green light for Hynet project funds

CEO Descalzi flies to London to seal the financial closure of the UK agreements. Quarterly profit at EUR 1.4bn: mitigation actions of EUR 2bn prepared in response to macroeconomic risks and uncertainties over duties

by Celestina Dominelli

L’impianto Eni di trattamento del gas di Point of Ayr che sarà parzialmente dismesso e riconvertito al trasporto di CO2 verso i siti di stoccaggio offshore situati nella Liverpool Bay

6' min read

6' min read

On the day of the quarterly results, closed by Eni with numbers above analysts' expectations despite the still very complex economic situation, the group led by Claudio Descalzi has achieved a fundamental milestone on one of the central planks of the business, namely the development of carbon capture and storage (CCS). In fact, the CEO flew to London to announce, during the 'Summit on the future energy security', co-organised by the British government and the Iea (the International Energy Agency), together with the Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero, Ed Miliband, the financial closure of the Liverpool Bay Ccs project, through which the company operates CO2 transport and storage activities within the Hynet Industrial Consortium. Thanks to the agreement, the project now enters the executive phase of realisation and will benefit from a slice of the £21.7 billion allocated by the London government for the country's first two Ccs clusters, one of which is represented by Hynet.

Miliband: today we fulfil promise to launch clean energy industry

"Today we deliver on our promise to launch a completely new clean energy industry in our country," Miliband commented, "focused on CO2 capture and storage, with the goal of creating thousands of highly skilled jobs and revitalising our industrial communities.

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Descalzi: strategic agreement paves the way for Ccs development on an industrial scale

For Eni's CEO Claudio Descalzi, 'the strategic agreement reached with the UK government paves the way for the development of CCS on an industrial scale, a sector in which the UK confirms its leadership by promoting a regulatory environment that aims to strengthen its development and make it fully competitive in the market'.

Quarterly accounts

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The closure of the circle for Hynet came, as mentioned, immediately after the release of the quarter's results, which confirmed the group's "solidity", as stated in the press release issued after the board meeting, and which benefited from the significant performance of the E&P (exploration and production) and the growth of both the GP (global gas & amp; LNG portfolio) and the satellite model capable of enhancing the value of activities linked to the energy transition (from Plenitude to Enilive). In a context that remains, therefore, very complex, the group is showing itself to be resilient and capable of reacting to the possible implications of geopolitical risks and uncertainties arising from duties by exploiting the flexibility of its assets. It does so, as the note points out, by putting in place a series of countermeasures with compensatory actions of more than EUR 2 billion in 2025 that allow it to confirm its dividend policy for the current year.

Earnings at 1.4 billion

The quarter therefore ended with adjusted net profit (i.e. adjusted for extraordinary items) at €1.41 billion, down 11% compared to the same period in 2024, while the reported figure was €1.17 billion (-3%). Adjusted pro-forma operating profit was €3.68 billion, also down 11%, but Eni points out that, in a similar reference scenario, the bar was raised by 36% on a sequential basis. Hydrocarbon production was down 5% in the quarter to 1.64 million barrels per day.

Descalzi: solid first quarter results

"The solid first quarter results are the result of the steady execution of our strategy, despite the uncertain macroeconomic environment. We maintain the financial discipline and determination to leverage our competitive advantages based on exploration, proprietary technologies and innovative business models, to execute the transformation and generate value for our shareholders," commented Descalzi, the group's CEO. "The extraordinary exploration successes open up new market opportunities and returns. With Petronas we are creating a new, self-financed, peer-to-peer upstream satellite with the aim of exploiting the huge potential of our discoveries offshore Indonesia'.

The CEO emphasises the 'dual exploration' model 'which has been applied in the agreements with Vitol, anticipating the monetisation of Eni's significant Baleine and Congo FLNG projects with expected revenues of $2.7bn. The growth and value creation strategy based on transition-related satellites is gaining momentum; Enilive and Plenitude have finalised further investments, while the new satellite dedicated to CO2 capture/storage activity is being finalised. It is precisely on this latter ground that Eni will today receive the UK's final go-ahead for the Ccs Hynet project in England, which aims to decarbonise industrial plants in the HyNet North West industrial hub of Liverpool and Manchester.

The thrust of E&P

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Returning to the numbers and performance of the various businesses, E&P achieved pro-forma adjusted ebit of EUR 3.3 billion in the first quarter, up about 20% on a sequential basis due to the higher contribution of countries with more profitable production and generalised lower costs. The Ggp division achieved pro-forma adjusted ebit of EUR 310 million, thanks to the maximisation of the value of the gas/NGL portfolio.

As mentioned, the performance of the 'satellites' was positive. Enilive's adjusted pro forma ebit of 95 million almost doubled on a sequential basis, supported by the higher contribution from retail activities, while it was down on 2024 due to lower biofuel margins. Plenitude achieved a pro-forma adjusted ebit of EUR 241m, in line with 2024. Adding up the results of the two companies, the pro forma adjusted ebitda of the two satellites was 0.17bn for Enilive and 0.36bn for Plenitude.

Refining and chemical losses

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The refining business closed with a pro forma adjusted loss of EUR 91m, worsening the comparison, the group explained, "both compared to the first quarter of 2024 and on a sequential basis, due to the continued deterioration in margins". The chemicals business posted a loss of EUR 0.24bn due to prolonged weakness in the European sector as a result of lower demand and pressure on margins from operators with more advantageous cost positions.

Decline in debt

Adjusted cash flow before working capital movements amounted to EUR 3.4bn, exceeding gross capital expenditure requirements by EUR 1.9bn. Organic free cash flow of €1.5bn and net proceeds from divestments of around €3bn, mainly related to Kkr's 25% investment in Enilive, allowed shareholders to be remunerated with €1.2bn (including the third tranche of the 2024 dividend of €0.76bn) and net debt to be reduced by around €1.8bn to €10.3bn compared to 2024.

The mitigation plan

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As noted above, the company has put in place some mitigating actions in response to macroeconomic risks and trade tariff uncertainties, which are expected to offset more than EUR 2 billion of negative scenario effects. As a result of this move, gross capital expenditure for 2025 was revised down by EUR 8.5bn from an initial forecast of EUR 9bn. Investments net of divestments are expected to be below EUR 6 billion compared to an initial estimate of EUR 6.5-7 billion. The debt ratio, on the other hand, is expected to be in the range of 0.15-0.2.

Cash flow and production estimates

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Assuming the updated scenario of $65 per barrel for the Brent oil price, €40 per megawatt-hour for the spot gas price at Ttf, $3.5 per barrel for the Eni SERM refining margin and a euro/dollar exchange rate of 1.1, cash flow from adjusted group operations is now expected at €11 billion, a better result than the change in scenario parameters would imply. Hydrocarbon production is still expected at 1.7 million barrels of oil equivalent per day under the Brent scenario of USD 65 per barrel.

The expected business trend

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As for the businesses, Ggp's pro-forma adjusted ebitda is confirmed at EUR 0.8 billion, increasing to over EUR 1 billion in the event of a positive outcome of negotiations and a favourable reference scenario. For Enilive and Plenitude, adjusted pro-forma ebitda is expected at EUR 1 billion and EUR 1.1 billion, respectively. By the end of 2025, installed capacity from renewable sources expected to be over 5.5 GW (100% Plenitude), while biorefinery processing capacity expected to be 1.65 million tonnes per annum (Mtpa), plus about 1 Mtpa under construction.

The confirmation of the dividend

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The group then confirms the 5% increase in the 2025 dividend to EUR 1.05 per share and the start of the EUR 1.5 billion share buy-back programme. The fourth tranche of the 2024 dividend of EUR 0.25 per share will be paid on 21 May. And the shareholders' meeting, which will be held on 14 May, will be called to approve the 2025 dividend of €1.05 per share to be distributed in four tranches and to renew the authorisation for the buyback programme.

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