The proposal

EU Budget 2028–2034: negotiations between the 27 Member States face their first test

The Cypriot Presidency is proposing to reduce the total amount by 2% compared with the Commission’s proposal. It is a sort of trial balloon intended to push the negotiations forward, but the first negative reactions are already coming in, from the Netherlands to the European Parliament’s rapporteurs

from our correspondent Beda Romano

La presidente della Commissione europea Ursula von der Leyen  APN

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

BRUSSELS – Following months of technical negotiations, the Cypriot Presidency of the European Union yesterday presented an initial draft of the EU budget for 2028–2034, introducing ‘moderate cuts’ to the proposal put forward by the European Commission in July 2025. The outline will now be discussed by member states. As expected, some governments expressed dissatisfaction yesterday. In many respects, the Cypriot proposal is a trial balloon intended to drive the negotiations forward.

Nicosia has reduced the budget by 2% compared to Brussels’ proposal. In essence, the draft presented to the member states accounts for 1.23% of the Union’s gross national income, or 1.13% if the NextGenerationEU reimbursement is excluded. Cyprus wished to clarify that the cut is not across the board, but has been adjusted item by item. “We wanted to respect the balance set out in the Commission’s proposal,” said Marilena Raouna, the Cypriot Deputy Minister for European Affairs.

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A few figures are useful for understanding the Cypriot proposal. Compared to the Brussels proposal, the budget allocated to cohesion and agriculture falls in current prices from €1,062 billion to €1,057 billion (in 2021–2027 it amounted to €819.9 billion). The budget for competitiveness falls from €589.5 billion to €566.4 billion (in the previous budget it was €220.6 billion). The budget for Europe’s role in the world falls from 215.2 to 206.7 billion (it stood at 119.9 billion in 2021–2027).

It is worth noting that the budget for cohesion and agriculture has been reduced by 0.47%, whilst that for competitiveness has been cut by 3.90%. The proposal comes after member states have expressed their preferences over recent months. Some have insisted on a leaner, less costly budget. Others, however, have emphasised the need to secure funding for the cohesion and agriculture sectors, and the urgency of providing for a more generous budget.

As mentioned, the draft presented yesterday is a trial balloon. Minister Raouna said: ‘These are preliminary figures. The basis for the forthcoming negotiations.’ According to some diplomats, Cyprus’s decision to present a budget that is reduced, but not too much so, despite the challenges facing the European Union, is tactical in nature: to provoke a more or less strong reaction from member states in order to force the EU-27 into a compromise.

“For the Netherlands, this proposal is unacceptable,” explained Eelco Heinen, the Dutch Finance Minister. “It is unsustainable, unbalanced and misguided. The overall volume remains far too high (…) The proposal funds yesterday’s priorities at the expense of tomorrow’s challenges.” The German position is unlikely to be very different. Yesterday, before the Cypriot proposal was presented, Chancellor Friedrich Merz had called for “a radical modernisation of the European budget”.

The aim of the 27 Member States is to reach an agreement by the end of the year. Reaching such an agreement will be difficult because the objectives are ambitious: to fund numerous priorities, ranging from cohesion to defence, from agriculture to competitiveness, and to repay the NextGenerationEU debt, all against a backdrop of tight national budgets. For this reason too, some diplomats expect that a compromise will involve forms of joint debt to finance specific projects.

At the same time, technical working groups have been negotiating the implementing regulations for the next budget for several months now. These focus in particular on national and regional partnership plans, which are intended to channelling EU funds on a country-by-country basis; on the Competitiveness Fund; and on the Global Europe initiative. Initial compromises are on the horizon, although the final go-ahead will inevitably depend on an agreement on the amounts allocated to the budget headings.

In April, the European Parliament adopted a resolution urging member states to adopt a budget for 2028–2034 that is capable of addressing both the EU’s existing and new priorities. The text calls for a budget 10% higher than the Commission’s proposal of July 2025. Yesterday, rapporteurs Siegfried Mureșan (Romanian EPP) and Carla Tavares (Portuguese S&D) described the Cypriot proposal as sending the ‘wrong signal’.

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