Pension provision

Pensions: payments set to fall from 2027 as life expectancy rises

The new conversion factors for the total contributions will result in smaller pensions than those paid out in 2025–26

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

In 2027–28, contributory pensions, or the contributory portion of pensions calculated using the mixed method, will be less generous than they are at present. This is a consequence of the application of the new coefficients contained in the ministerial decree issued by the Ministries of Labour and the Economy on 16 October and published on 19 October. Under the contributory calculation method, the pension amount is determined by applying coefficients to the total contributions accumulated by a worker at the time of retirement.

Coefficients and requirements

The coefficients are updated every two years on the basis of changes in life expectancy and the actual trend in the long-term rate of change in gross domestic product relative to trends in incomes subject to social security contributions. Since the contributory method of calculating pensions aims to ensure that the total amount of benefits paid throughout retirement corresponds to the accumulated balance, if remaining life expectancy increases, the coefficient becomes less favourable, because the pension will have to be paid out over a longer period.

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This is the case for the 2027–28 period compared with 2025–26, a period for which a rise in the retirement age has already been decided, which is also linked to life expectancy: whilst now the retirement age is 67, next year it will be 67 years and 1 month, and the year after that 67 years and 3 months. Furthermore, for the same reason, within the same two-year period, the coefficients vary according to the retirement age, as those who retire earlier will receive their pension for a longer period.

Examples

In 2026, a total contribution base of 250,000 euros will result in a gross monthly pension (thirteen monthly payments) of 1,078 euros for a 67-year-old; the pension will commence in 2027 will be €1,060 for the same total contributions. For a 63-year-old, the amount will fall from 954 to 935 euros. Over the next two years, however, the different retirement ages will have the following effects on the amount: still assuming a total contribution of 250,000 euros, whilst a 67-year-old will receive 1,060 euros, a 64-year-old will have to make do with 963 euros, and a 71-year-old will receive 1,227 euros. These latest figures show how, under the contribution-based calculation method, the retirement age affects the amount of the pension, rewarding those who delay the end of their working life.

COME CAMBIANO GLI IMPORTI

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As a general rule, this system is used to determine:

  • the full pension for those who began paying contributions from 1996;
  • a portion of the pension from 1996 onwards for those with fewer than 18 years’ contributions as at 1995;
  • the portion from 2012 onwards for those few who now have at least 18 years’ contributions as at 1995.

If, as part of the forthcoming Budget Bill, the proposal championed by the Lega – to allow retirement from the age of 64 under a fully contribution-based calculation, even for those who paid contributions before 1996 – were to be introduced, those affected will need to take into account the resulting impact on their pension amount, which will be affected simultaneously by two decisions: the transition from the mixed calculation method (which provides for an earnings-related component for years up to 1995 and a contribution-based component from 1996) to the fully contribution-based system, plus the choice to retire at 64 rather than 67.

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