Court of Auditors

Court of Auditors: investigations into current accounts set to triple and tax audits set to increase in 2025

The tax authorities have stepped up their scrutiny of the state accounts: spot checks have risen by 18 per cent, whilst in-depth audits of the self-employed have increased by 11.3 per cent

by Marco Mobili and Gianni Trovati

SEDE CORTE DEI CONTI IMAGOECONOMICA

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Compliance is all very well, and all incentives to encourage voluntary compliance with tax obligations are important. But audits remain at the heart of the fight against tax evasion. And the tax authorities clearly understand this, even if the issue is often sidelined in the political narrative.

It is the figures that are bringing it back into the spotlight. In the report on the general accounts published yesterday, together with the Court of Auditors’ approval of the State budget, the Court of Auditors sets out a whole host of them. They are damning.

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Routine checks on the rise

Firstly: there has been a marked increase in ‘routine audits’, that is, targeted checks (as opposed to automatic checks such as those on medical expenses and tax returns) which ‘enable the identification of undeclared income, omissions, irregularities and tax avoidance schemes, ensuring the recovery of taxes due and contributing to the fairness of the tax system’, as summarised by the joint audit committees.

In 2025, there were 223,647 such cases, representing an 18% increase on the previous year, and they led to the recovery of an additional 16.46 billion in tax (here, the annual increase was 11.4%).

The acceleration is clear, and the tables show this clearly. Although the Court regards this as merely a first step on a path which, ‘given the sheer number of cases of tax evasion’, should lead to a further increase in the frequency of checks, particularly for activities at greater risk of tax evasion, including through greater use of the data available in information systems.

Financial investigations

In the databases, the information to be cross-referenced comes from electronic invoices issued and received, electronic sales receipts (which, once linked to POS terminals, revealed 5.3 billion in taxable income in just a few months) and transactions recorded in the Financial Transactions Register.

It is precisely in this latter area that one of the sharpest rises in the tax authorities’ activity has been observed. Financial investigations – those in which the Agency and the Guardia di Finanza scrutinise current account data – totalled 6,566 last year and resulted in assessments amounting to 256 million euros. It is a drop in the ocean of tax evasion, of course: but the number of operations is more than triple that recorded in 2024, and demonstrates the tax authorities’ efforts to delve into this sensitive area when risk analyses indicate that it is warranted.

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VAT numbers

The number of VAT registration checks is also on the rise. Last year, there were 103,449 substantive audits of self-employed individuals subject to the tax reliability indices (ISA), representing an increase of 11.3% on the previous year and 18.1% on 2023. But even in this case, the scope remains vast, and there is still ample room for further increases. The latest figures show that the audits covered 3.8 per cent of VAT numbers, with the intensity of these checks – in an attempt to quell the unquenchable volcano of building tax credits – peaking at 4.6% in the construction sector and reaching 4.1% in the related sector of painting and home improvements. At the other end of the scale, among the main business sectors are doctors’ practices (1.6% audited), which are, however, the category least at risk according to the ISA (80.2% of 2025 tax returns deemed reliable; *Sole 24 Ore*, 28 May).

More generally, the ratio of audits to VAT-registered businesses identified as high-risk on the basis of tax performance reports would yield higher figures, suggesting a real likelihood of being audited for those submitting flawed tax returns. However, for the Court, ‘the frequency of substantive audits in relation to the number of taxpayers’ remains ‘a critically important figure’: and calls for the pace to be stepped up further.

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