Automotive

Gm also cuts and restructures in China: 'Competition too aggressive'

Sales halved since pre-Covid for the Detroit Big. Japanese, from Honda to Nissan, and Westerners, such as Ford, change strategy to avoid succumbing

Mary Barra, ceo di General Motors (Reuters)

3' min read

3' min read

The downsizing and turnaround strategy of Western and Japanese carmakers in China is spreading like wildfire. The decisions are often the result of factors such as market saturation, growing competition from local car manufacturers and the rapid transition to electric vehicles, which is changing the dynamics of the world's leading market: in July for the first time the sum of battery cars and plug-in hybrids exceeded the share of internal combustion engine cars in registrations (50.7%). In absolute terms, sales of total Nevs (full electric plus plug-in hybrids) came close to 5 million (+32%).

Reduction in personnel and capacity

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General Motors, for starters, noted that the record volumes of 2018 are a thing of the past. With historic partner SAIC in the coming weeks, the Detroit-based company will evaluate possible restructuring and capacity cuts as part of a strategic reorientation for its brands in China.

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GM is one of the foreign brands with the longest history in China, present since 1997, second only to Volkswagen. Sales peaked at 4 million in 2017 and fell by almost half to 2.1 million last year. Last quarter, Big USA's sales in the Dragon market plummeted 29% to 373 thousand vehicles, with all US brands dropping sharply (Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet). In contrast, vehicles produced by the SAIC-GM-Wuling Automobile partnership fell by only 12% over the period.

The aggressiveness of local competitors

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The manufacturer led by CEO Mary Barra stated in a recent disclosure to the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that Chinese domestic manufacturers are prioritising market share over profitability, making it more difficult to maintain sales volumes. Hence the need for restructuring.

The 30-year contract with the state-owned SAIC group will expire in 2027. GM intends to return the business to sustained profitability by that time. The goal is to put the partnership in a stronger financial position so that it can finance its operations and vehicle development programmes.

In the latest quarter ended 30 June, GM lost $104 million on its Chinese business, part of a total first-half loss of $210 million. "We want to remain competitive and that means we need to review the business with our partner to make sure we can return it to profitability and sustainable cash flow going forward," said cfo Paul Jacobson. "China remains a good asset for us."

Westerners and Japanese: redesigned strategies in China

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GM is certainly not alone. Faced with declining sales in an increasingly competitive market, Honda and Nissan decided to reduce production in the first half of the year. Also convinced by the evidence that the Rising Sun's market share has shrunk from 21% in 2019 to 12% in the first half of 2024. Honda opted for the closure of two plants for cars with 'thermal' engines, cutting production by around 300,000 units to 1.2 million and opening two sites by 2024, again with Chinese partners Gac and Dongfeng, to produce electric cars and then return to 1.4 million units. And in late July came the news of a all-Japanese alliance between Mitsubishi, Nissan and Honda itself, to collaborate on electric vehicle components and artificial intelligence in software platforms. Costs always in the foreground.

Among the Westerners stands out Volkswagen, Europe's leading manufacturer, selling 3.2 million vehicles in China by 2023 (3.5 a year earlier). During the last Beijing Motor Show in April, VW relaunched its plans with an offensive that includes 44 new models of all brands by 2026, a new architecture in partnership with the Chinese Xpeng (estimated cost savings of 40%) and the launch of the new sub-brand ID.Unix, aimed at the young public. The Wolfsburg giant is chasing the growth of its market share for full electric cars in China. In the first half of the year, Vww recorded a significant increase in percentage terms (+45%, from 62,400 in 2024 to 90,600), which translates into an advance from 2.3% last year to 3% this year (three million Bevs sold in total, of which 726,000 by number one BYD, which recorded a 17% increase).

That the Chinese market is increasingly challenging is also testified to, among other things, by Bank of America analysts' recent recommendation to Ford and General Motors itself to 'leave China as soon as possible' because it is no longer profitable. Ford, however, after the flop of the electric Mustang (Mach-E), has decided not to turn off the investment spigot, but to focus more on exports, as Vice-President Lyle Watters explained during the Beijing Motor Show.

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