Energy

In Paris, buying into Air Liquide; the Elliott fund takes a stake in the company

The group’s profitability is under scrutiny. A comparison with Linde

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - Buying interest in Air Liquide shares at Paris Stock Exchange, following news that the US investment fund Elliott Investment Management has acquired a stake in the group, and is now reportedly pushing the French multinational to improve its margins. The share price of the company – one of the leading suppliers of gas to heavy industry – is trading at its highest levels since late July, whilst the CAC 40 in Paris is trading lower. It should be noted that the share price has risen by more than 20 per cent since the start of the year, but the Elliott fund, renowned for its ‘activist’ stance, is clearly aiming for stronger performance and greater operational efficiency, particularly given the improvements made in this regard by the German company Linde Plc .

According to sources close to the matter, as reported by the Financial Times, New York-based Elliott is said to have already entered into discussions with Air Liquide in recent weeks after acquiring a stake in the company. At present, however, the British newspaper states, neither the exact size of the stake nor Elliott’s demands are known. In any case, Air Liquide – which, with a market capitalisation of 108 billion euros, is France’s eighth-largest company – would represent Elliott’s most significant target on the Euronext stock exchange. Not only that, given the global energy landscape – where gas plays a particularly central role both in supporting the clean energy transition without causing too much damage to industry, and in light of the gradual halt to all imports from Russia and the impasse in Hormuz – it is clear that Air Liquide holds particular strategic importance for the whole of Europe.

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It is important to note, however – and this is perhaps the reason that prompted Elliott to take action – that the French group’s margins have for some time shown a significant gap in margins compared with its main German competitor, Linde, which reached 225 million following – according to some observers – a different strategic path to that of Air Liquide. This path saw the German company, following a merger agreement with the US firm Praxair eight years ago, use the deal as a springboard to reorganise and optimise its operations.

Against this backdrop, analysts predict that the margin gap between the two competitors will remain stable until 2030. Indeed, as the Financial Times points out, Air Liquide has never launched a large-scale share buyback programme, returning just €14 billion to investors over the last decade. Over the same period, Linde has returned €45 billion to investors. Air Liquide also has a division dedicated to electronics, which is the world’s leading supplier of natural gases used in the production of artificial intelligence chips, generating 10 per cent of the group’s revenue.

Ahead of Air Liquide’s Capital Markets Day scheduled for October, analysts have called for further information and targets on how this business unit might benefit from the influx of cash resulting from the artificial intelligence boom; according to Bank of America’s projections, this segment could grow by between 15 and 20 per cent a year.

In its latest financial update at the end of July, Air Liquide expressed confidence in its ability to increase its operating margin by 100 basis points and to achieve recurring net profit growth, at constant exchange rates in 2026. The group, the statement further notes, is confident in its ability to improve the margin by +100 basis points in 2027, bringing its total target to +560 basis points over the 2022–2027 period.

Elliott, which manages assets worth $80.3 billion, has been very active in Europe in recent years, making investments in the British company BP, as well as in the German energy company RWE.

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