Intense heat until mid-August, with a possible change in the weather after the 17th

Showers will remain confined almost exclusively to the Alpine circle and the Apennine ridge, whilst the coastlines and much of the lowlands will continue to enjoy uninterrupted sunshine throughout the day. The Ferragosto weekend will largely follow the same pattern, bringing stable weather and intense heat from north to south.

To see a potential shift in atmospheric circulation, we will have to wait until next week, specifically from 17–18 August (Monday and Tuesday).

The mathematical models are, in fact, beginning to show the first signs of a possible weakening of the high-pressure system, although the time frame involved calls for extreme caution before drawing any definitive conclusions.

However, the possible influx of cooler air into an overheated body of water would represent a potential cause for concern: the surface temperatures of the Italian seas have in fact already reached, and in some cases exceeded, the critical threshold of 30°C, recording values entirely comparable to those of tropical seas. This enormous amount of accumulated energy could, upon its first thermal encounter with colder upper-level currents, trigger particularly violent weather phenomena.