Middle East

Israel ready to enter Lebanon, last chance for dialogue

In recent days, in response to Hezbollah's intensified raids on the north of the country, Tsahal's generals have moved further divisions into south Lebanon and are not ruling out anything in order to drive the militia and their structures away from the borders

 I profughi riparano le loro tende nel mezzo di una tempesta di sabbia a Beirut, in Libano, il 14 marzo 2026. I profughi stanno abbandonando le loro case nel sud del Libano e nella periferia meridionale di Beirut a seguito dei raid aerei israeliani. Le autorità libanesi segnalano oltre 830.441 sfollati registrati dall'inizio dell'escalation il 2 marzo 2026, anche se il numero reale è probabilmente più alto, dato che molti soggiornano presso parenti o cercano rifugio in zone più sicure.  EPA/WAEL HAMZEH

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Washington and Paris are working to open a negotiating table between the representatives of Israel and Lebanon with direct talks on a ceasefire agreement and arrangements under which the Beirut government would assume responsibility for disarming Hezbollah.

The American and French diplomacies intend to avoid an escalation that would lead to a full-fledged IDF campaign in Lebanon, with an expansion of operations - which to date have been 'expansive' but not an invasion of territory - to stop the Shiite organisation's spate of attacks on Israeli territory.

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In recent days, in response to Hezbollah's intensified raids on the north of the country, Tsahal's generals have moved further divisions into south Lebanon and are not ruling out anything in order to drive the militiamen and their structures away from the borders. Despite ongoing diplomatic efforts.

President Emmanuel Macron called on Israel to accept "the Lebanese executive's willingness to engage in direct talks", at which "all components of society must be represented", offering to "host them in Paris". "I spoke yesterday with President Aoun, Prime Minister Salam and Parliament Speaker Berri. Everything possible must be done so that Lebanon does not descend into chaos,' Macron wrote on X.

However, French diplomacy stated that there is "no French plan" to try to end the war in Lebanon between Israel and the pro-Iranian movement Hezbollah. "France supported the Lebanese authorities' openness to direct talks with Israel and offered to facilitate them. It will be up to the parties, and only the parties, to define the agenda for these talks," the Foreign Ministry said in a statement sent to Afp. The Axios website had previously stated that Paris had drafted a peace proposal that included Lebanon's recognition of the state of Israel.

For his part, Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem declared on Friday that the group is prepared for a long war: 'We have prepared for a long confrontation and, God willing, the Israelis will be taken by surprise on the battlefield,' he said in his second televised speech since the attacks on Israel began.

Despite the severe blows inflicted by the IDF over the past week - targeted assassinations, damage to the missile system, and the killing of a senior commander of the Radwan Force - the Shia organisation "shows no signs of collapse or disintegration, its members obey Qassem without question, and a team capable of managing the system operates at his side", Israeli media reports pointed out.

President Donald Trump's advisor and son-in-law, Jared Kushner is leading the mediation and former minister and close associate of Benjamin Netanyahu, Ron Dermer, is expected to represent Israel. In recent days, Channel 12 reported that the Israeli premier had asked Dermer to coordinate the 'Lebanon portfolio', but Israel would not yet formally accept the invitation.

According to Haaretz, the first meeting could be held as early as next week, probably in Cyprus. "It is hard to believe that a large-scale ground operation in Lebanon can be prevented, and it seems that in the end it will be the IDF soldiers who will have to carry out the difficult task of disarming Hezbollah," said a source close to the dossier speaking to Yedioth Ahronot.

"At the same time, the Lebanese government also wants to disarm the armed wing of the Party of God. We are about to embark on a long and complex campaign against the Shia group,' the source added, indicating that discussions are underway on the possibility of 'a new chapter with Lebanon after the crisis with Iran, similar to the recent developments with Syria'. Put simply, negotiations could proceed in parallel with IDF military operations to dismantle Hezbollah and lead to rapprochement agreements between Lebanon and Israel. According to Channel 12, the final 'political declaration' should include Lebanon's 'initial recognition of Israel and emphasise the Lebanese government's commitment to respect Israel's sovereignty and territorial integrity'.

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