Preliminary estimate

Istat, May inflation breaks through the 3% ceiling year-on-year, 0.4% month-on-month

The acceleration of inflation was mainly influenced by the acceleration of prices in Unregulated energy (from +9.6% to +12.6%), Regulated energy (from +5.3% to +5.8%), Transport-related services (from +0.6% to +1.8%) and Recreational, cultural and personal care services (from +2.6% to +3.0%)

by Rome Editorial Staff

L’Istat ha pubblicato la stima provvisoria dei prezzi al consumo di maggio. ANSA

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Istat published the provisional estimate of consumer prices for May. Il cost of living accelerates sharply, and breaks through the 3% year-on-year ceiling. According to preliminary estimates, in May 2026 the national consumer price index for the entire community (NIC), gross of tobacco products, recorded a change of +0.4% on a monthly basis and +3.2% on an annual basis (from +2.7% in the previous month).

Unregulated energy commodities race

The acceleration of inflation was mainly influenced by the acceleration of prices for Non-regulated energy (from +9.6% to +12.6%), Regulated energy (from +5.3% to +5.8%), Transport-related services (from +0.6% to +1.8%) and Recreational, cultural and personal care services (from +2.6% to +3.0%).

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In May 'core inflation', net of energy and fresh foodstuffs, increased its pace of growth (from +1.6% to +1.8%), as did inflation net of energy goods only (from +1.9% to +2.1%).

The prices of goods and services accelerated year-on-year by the same amount (from +3.1% to +3.5% and from +2.4% to +2.8%, respectively). As a result, the differential between the services and goods sectors remains unchanged from the previous month, at -0.7 percentage points.

The trend rate of change in the prices of Food, Household and Personal Care remained stable at +2.3%, while the rate of change in the prices of High Frequency Products rose slightly (from +4.2% to +4.5%).

The year-on-year change in the overall index mainly reflected price increases in Recreational, Cultural and Personal Care Services (+1.4%), Unprocessed Food (+0.6%), Regulated and Unregulated Energies (+0.5% for both), Processed Food and Non-durable Goods (+0.3% for both); prices for Transport-related Services decreased (-0.5%).

Istat estimates acquired figure for 2026 at +2.6%

The inflation assumption for 2026 is +2.6% for the general index and +1.6% for the core component.

In based on preliminary estimates, the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) changed by +0.4% on a monthly basis and +3.3% on an annual basis (from +2.8% in the previous month).

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