Mind the Economy / Incentives 2

The logic of incentives in the face of the complexity of work. This is why practice is so different from theory

'Incentives are the essence of economics'. So wrote some time ago in the prestigious Journal of Economic Literature, Chicago economist Canice Prendergast

8' min read

8' min read

'Incentives are the essence of economics'. So wrote the Chicago economist Canice Prendergast some time ago in the prestigious Journal of Economic Literature,. The centrality of incentives in economic thought and particularly in the organisational sphere is justified by the fact that their use proves to be fundamental in solving two important problems that plague labour relations. The first is that of motivation and the second is that of opportunism. The first issue concerns the fact that work generally represents a source of disutility. "Work makes you tired!" it is said. This means that in order to convince a worker to do what is needed for the organisation in which he is placed, he must be persuaded to bear the cost of what he is asked to do. A cost that generally increases as the level of commitment increases. The second theme, that of opportunism or, more technically, moral hazard, stems from the fact that the interests of individual workers and those of their employers are generally not perfectly aligned. Typically, one imagines that an employer prefers on the one hand to collect higher profits and on the other hand to pay lower wages, while a worker aims at higher wages and minimising effort and fatigue. This conflict of interest is aggravated by the fact that a strong information asymmetry exists between the two parties. The employer can, in fact, only imperfectly verify the level of effort put in by the worker. It is possible, for example, to ascertain his presence in the workplace, but it is very complicated to measure precisely how much effort he is actually putting in and how much enthusiasm, creativity, willingness to communicate and cooperate with colleagues. This is information known only to the worker. It is the existence of this information asymmetry that creates room for opportunistic actions by workers. They could, in fact, be induced by the difficulties of verifying their behaviour, to do shirking, as they say in these cases, that is, to 'beat around the bush'. Traditionally, managers who are trained in business schools halfway around the world learn to imagine: "Management institutions and practices (...) designed as if people were exclusively motivated by their pure self-interest and were rather skilled and totally unscrupulous in pursuing their goals. This model of human behaviour (...) in fact considers the possibility that people are particularly adept at finding ways through which they can promote their interests and that they will act in a fundamentally amoral manner, ignore rules, transgress agreements and use fraud, manipulation and deception if they realise that this can be to their advantage' (Milgrom, P., Roberts, J., Economics, Organisation and Management. Prentice Hall, 1992, p. 42).

The systematic use of incentives can be an effective answer to both of these problems, that of motivation and that of opportunism. Compensation schemes, in fact, are nothing more than mechanisms through which employees receive remuneration for their work and, in general, bonuses or additional shares that are made contingent upon the achievement of certain pre-set objectives. Technically we speak of 'incentive contracts'. The remuneration system incorporated in incentive contracts is based on the logic of pay-for-performance, the traditional 'piecework'. The additional remuneration is tied to the performance of the employees, both to motivate them and to give them responsibility, thus inducing them to exert the level of commitment desired by the employer.

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The main drawback of incentive contracts is that they result in inefficient risk-sharing between employer and employee. While it is true that better performance is determined by higher levels of commitment, it is also true that there may be cases in which, despite a high level of commitment, this is not followed, for reasons beyond the employee's control, by sufficiently positive results. This implies that if remuneration is conditional on performance, it may happen that a worker who has made a considerable effort is not financially recognised because the expected results, for reasons beyond his control, have not arrived. If that worker were paid a fixed or hourly wage, the risk associated with disappointing results would fall entirely on the company. If, on the other hand, he is paid through an incentive contract, then the worker will share, together with the employer, a certain share of that risk. This is a problem because generally, while companies are risk-neutral, workers tend to prefer prudence. So if we want to convince them to sign an incentive contract, we will have to pay them an additional sum. A real 'risk premium'. This results in a strong inefficiency, because in order to achieve the same performance as in the absence of information asymmetries, the employer will now have to pay higher wages by incurring higher costs.    

So far the theory. But what happens in practice? How do companies behave? A first question that is important to ask concerns the effectiveness of these incentive contracts in actually increasing the performance of workers. Edward Lazear, a Stanford economist, was one of the first to convincingly identify the link between incentives and productivity. In a major study published in 2000 in the American Economic Review, Lazear analysed data collected on three thousand workers between 1994 and 1995, the years in which the management of the Safelite Glass Corporation, a windshield factory decided to switch from the hourly wage scheme to the pay-for-performance system. The results that emerge from the data considered by Lazear are quite clear: the average level of productivity per worker grows over the following 19 months by 44%. Behind this growth are actually two different phenomena. Approximately half of the increase can be attributed to the effect of the new pay scheme on the commitment of workers (incentive effect), while the other half stems from the fact that the existence of this type of contract attracts new, more productive aspiring workers on average (screening effect). That is, the new contract serves as a 'filter' to keep out the less productive aspirants and attract the more skilled ones. The increased revenues from the new pay scheme are partly shared with the workers who now receive, on average, a 10% higher salary. The data also show an increase in the variability of productivity. When pay was determined on an hourly basis, the most ambitious workers had no reason to differentiate themselves from others. This is the case with contingent remuneration.

These results therefore show that incentive contracts increase productivity. This does not necessarily mean that their use is convenient for all companies. Because while productivity may increase, control and monitoring costs may also increase and, in some cases, there may also be negative effects on product quality.

A second controversial issue concerns the efficiency of incentive contracts when the link between workers' behaviour and observable results is not direct and these can easily be influenced by factors outside the responsibility of the workers. The quantity and quality of a field's harvest will certainly depend on the farmer's efforts but also on the weather conditions of the season. The turnover of a certain division will certainly depend on management decisions but also on the general health of the market in which it operates. The success of a new product will be linked to the capabilities of the marketing department, but also to the launch of similar products by competitors. An important result in this respect, demonstrated in 1979 by Bengt Holmström and Steven Shavell is the so-called 'informativeness principle'. This principle tells us that an incentive contract should always make remuneration conditional on all results that can potentially provide information about employees' actions. We know, for example, that the actions of a manager influence the share price of his company, but not necessarily the share prices of other companies. Does this mean that the manager's remuneration should only depend on the share price of his company? According to the 'informativeness principle', the answer is 'no'. Since share prices reflect many other factors in the economic environment that are outside the manager's control, tying his remuneration solely to the value of his company's shares will only reward him for his good luck or punish him for his bad luck. From this point of view, then, it would be better to tie the remuneration to the value that the shares have acquired in relation to the value of the shares of other firms operating in the same market. In this way it will be possible to take into account the effects of luck and misfortune on the results achieved and to bring out more clearly the true responsibilities of the manager.

Sometimes it is not only complicated to identify the causal link between the worker's actions and the results achieved, but also to specify precisely all aspects of a given task. While for someone who assembles windshields at the Safelite Glass Corporation this is rather simple, in other cases it can be much more complex. Think of a doctor, for example, or a teacher, a researcher or a civil servant. The tasks of each of these workers are manifold: dealing with users is one of the important aspects of what many public administration workers do, but they also have to be quick and precise in dealing with various paperwork and careful in respecting the privacy of each user; scientific activity is fundamental for a researcher, but so is teaching and the ability to attract funds and manage projects. Continuous updating, but also the ability to empathise and to be authoritative and inclusive are among the essential qualities of a teacher. The doctor then has to deal with patients by demonstrating listening skills and humanity, and at the same time has to be familiar with new technologies and drugs in order to make accurate diagnoses and prescribe appropriate therapies. In all these cases, in which work has a multitasking nature, there is a risk that if only some of the tasks are incentivised because they are perhaps easier to quantify, there is a risk of inducing workers to redistribute their resources. This means, for example, reducing the time and effort spent on non-incentivised tasks in order to focus more on incentivised ones. If researchers are rewarded for the number and quality of their scientific publications, they will be induced to devote a large part of their energies to research, perhaps taking time away from teaching and administrative work. If you incentivise a doctor on the basis of the number of patients he treats, you risk pushing him to reduce to the essentials the human relationship with each of them to whom he will devote less and less time and attention. If one rewards a teacher on the basis of the scores his students get on tests, there is a real risk of inducing him to concentrate on getting his students to pass the test, perhaps neglecting those parts of the syllabus that are not subject to assessment.

In all these cases where work is by nature multitasking, the use of incentive contracts may produce dysfunctional and even counterproductive results. That is why when we are in the presence of complex jobs involving a plurality of different tasks we rarely observe the application of contingent pay schemes. In fact, other forms of incentives are generally preferred in these areas. We will deal with this issue in next week's Mind the Economy , always keeping two things in mind: the first, as George Baker, Michael Jensen and Kevin Murphy state in an important essay published a few years ago in the Journal of Finance, is that "a thorough understanding of internal incentives is crucial to developing a sound theory of the firm, since they largely determine how individuals behave in organisations". The second, as the three authors again point out, concerns the fact that such an understanding 'is still far from complete'.

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