Germany

Minor reshuffle for the Merz government: turmoil over the Transport Minister, Economy Minister’s position in the balance

Following the Spahn affair – in which the CDU parliamentary group leader in the Bundestag resigned after using surrogacy in the US – the Chancellor has appointed the current Health Minister, Warken, as Head of the Chancellery and has announced that further changes may take place in the near future. With the replacement of the Transport Minister called off at the last minute, rumours are rife that the Economy Minister, Reiche, may also be stepping down.

Il cancelliere tedesco, Friedrich Merz (EPA) EPA

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

A minor and confusing reshuffle today, which could herald a more significant shake-up in the near future. Perhaps, but for the moment it is merely speculation, following the departure from the government of the Minister for the Economy, Katherina Reiche. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has sought to capitalise on the opportunity presented by the resignation of Jens Spahn, the leader of the conservative bloc (CDU-CSU) in the Bundestag, to reshuffle certain posts. However, the attempt to revitalise the government risks fuelling discontent within his own party, with an effect contrary to that intended.

A Waltz between the Chancellery and the Ministry of Health

All the changes involve members of the CDU. To replace Spahn, who has been engulfed in controversy over his use of surrogacy in the United States (thereby circumventing the ban in Germany), Merz has chosen the staunchly loyal Head of the Chancellery, Thorsten Frei, thereby freeing up a key post. As announced on Friday 24 July, the current Health Minister, Nina Warken, will take on this role.

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She will be the first woman in Germany to hold this post, which acts as a link between the Chancellery, the ministries and members of parliament. Warken will have to do a better job than Frei at resolving conflicts and maintaining contact between the party leadership, the regional groups and the federal government. “She will be my most important support in the day-to-day work of government,” said Merz.

A year ago, Merz had, somewhat unexpectedly, entrusted Warken, a lawyer from Baden-Württemberg, with the task of leading the reform of the healthcare system. The task of seeing this through will now fall to another party heavyweight, Carsten Linnemann, who was left out of the government team in May last year after having led the healthcare negotiations during the coalition talks. Linnemann had also been in charge of the 2025 election campaign, which ended with the CDU’s second-worst result since the war, even though the party still secured government with a relative majority. It is now trailing Alternative für Deutschland in the polls.

A new man to liaise with the Länder

There is also a change at the Ministry for Relations between the Federal Government and the Länder, with Philipp Amthor – previously State Secretary for Digital Affairs – taking up the post. In the first year of his term, relations between Berlin and the regions have not been exactly rosy. Tensions came to a head in May, when the Chamber of the Länder rejected a measure proposed by the government and approved by the Bundestag, which would have allowed companies to offer their employees a tax-free bonus of up to €1,000 to help tackle the crisis.

Transport chaos

Further cabinet reshuffles are on the way. Merz himself said as much, without going into detail. Even in this first round, he had considered replacing the Transport Minister, Patrick Schnieder, but the candidate chosen to take his place is said to have withdrawn. This has fuelled discontent within the CDU, where there is talk of chaos and a lack of respect for poor Schnieder.

His ministry bears one of the most challenging responsibilities in Germany today: that of revitalising the rail network and modernising infrastructure that has fallen into disrepair due to decades of underinvestment by the state, in the name of fiscal discipline – a policy so dear to conservatives – even following the reform of the debt brake.

Train delays, in particular, have become a topic of discussion, jokes and frustration. The funding is finally in place: a substantial 500 billion euros has been earmarked for infrastructure, with the special fund launched in March. However, it will be necessary to be able to spend the money quickly and wisely, another responsibility that is no small matter.

The economy hangs in the balance

However, a much more high-profile figure is said to be on the brink of leaving: the Minister for the Economy. The Chancellor is dissatisfied with Reiche’s performance; in April, she publicly criticised the Finance Minister and Deputy Chancellor, Lars Klingbeil, leader of the SPD – the government’s coalition partners with whom relations have at times been stormy.

Reiche recently spoke of health issues that will keep her away from her duties throughout August, fuelling speculation about a possible ‘soft’ exit from the government. The German media are naming the Minister for Digital Affairs, Karsten Wildberger, as her possible successor.

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Approval ratings at an all-time low

Just a few months ago, however, rumours were rife of a possible vote of no confidence against Merz himself, whose popularity is at an all-time low for a chancellor. According to a recent RTL/ntv Trendbarometer poll, only 14 per cent of those surveyed are satisfied with his performance, compared with 85 per cent who disapprove. Back in May, on the day of the confidence vote in the Bundestag, Merz failed in his first attempt, having to resort to a second vote on the same day.

In the polls, the CDU has fallen from 28.5 per cent of the vote in the February 2025 elections to 20–24 per cent, having been overtaken for months by the AfD, which in some surveys is approaching 30 per cent. And in Saxony-Anhalt, where elections are due in September, the far right is polling at over 40 per cent and aims to form a single-party government. It would be a seismic shock, even in Berlin.

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