Climate

"Mr President, on climate you are wrong!" Physicist Buizza challenges Trump: 'Climate change is real, global effects'

One of the world's most accredited climate experts, the Italian scientist speaks on climate change and the urgency of decarbonisation. Italy is lagging behind, he warns, and does not invest in the green transition

by Donata Marrazzo

Clima, Arnold Schwarzenegger in Vaticano: "Trump e i negazionisti? Mai arrendersi"

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

"Mr President, on climate you are wrong!". Roberto Buizza, one of the world's most accredited climate experts and professor of physics at the Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies in Pisa, addresses Donald Trump directly after his remarks at the last UN assembly. "Is the climate change a scam? And no, the US president is wrong. This is proven by the reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which for 54 years has been reporting the results of science and updating the state of knowledge with contributions from the world's leading experts on the earth system - chemists, physicists, meteorologists, climatologists, oceanographers.

Clouds, ice and oceans reveal the state of the climate

"What is happening is something absolutely unique," explains Buizza, who for almost 30 years was a researcher at the European Meteorological Centre, an intergovernmental organisation founded in 1975 and supported by 22 member states. In the highly advanced technological centre in Reading, a few kilometres from London, the scientist developed new probabilistic forecasting systems, applied to weather phenomena and seasonal forecasts, which are still the best in the world. "We estimate uncertainties by studying the atmosphere and the actions of clouds, oceans, ice. Our planet is a complex system whose temperature has warmed by one and a half degrees in the last 150 years. This has never happened before. Man is the cause, we are the cause'.

Loading...

Climate change, man is the cause

.

Fossil fuels, coal, methane gas, but also the exploitation of the land with intensive livestock farming and the use of fertilisers, have produced a very high concentration of greenhouse gases, raising global warming: "Everything is happening very fast. The climate change affects the state of the climate, as is evident from the analysis of temperatures. But it also involves very intense local variations, at the Poles as well as in the Mediterranean, a sea whose temperature has risen twice that of the global average. And all this also leads to an increase in the intensity and frequency of extreme events'.

Global effects

.

This is proven by science but also history: post-war economies grew rapidly with oil as the dominant energy source. Thus, electricity, transport, heating and industry could no longer do without it. "By now, the effects are global," the scientist continues, "not only considering temperatures, but also variations in rainfall and their geographical location, with regions such as the Horn of Africa, for example, where there is less and less rain. And so in southern Italy, Spain and Greece, where there are clear signs of reduced rainfall. It is precisely those populations that have fewer resources and therefore less chance of adapting that are affected. They are usually precisely those who have contributed very little to greenhouse gas emissions'.

Extreme events and social justice

"But climate change is also being experienced by colder countries," adds Buizza, "such as Canada or Russia, which are witnessing the thawing of permafrost, the frozen ground of the earth. An issue that also becomes a problem of social justice. 'That is why,' comments the scientist, 'I was shocked by the speech of the president of the United States, so selfish and disinterested in the contribution that his country could make to the evolution of the human species'.

In a book the secrets of weather and climate

.

Buizza has explored the major climate issues in his book 'Il meteo e il clima' (Carocci editore), starting with weather phenomena and how and why the climate is changing. "First of all, I wanted to clarify what the difference is between weather, i.e. daily atmospheric conditions, and climate, i.e. long-term averages, of which greenhouse gas concentrations are a fundamental variable, because the current ones will influence the climate to come in 20, 30 years. I also wanted to talk about models created to study atmospheric phenomena, forecasts of weather phenomena such as hurricanes and floods, and also explain how to calculate the climate to come. In the 1980s, we looked at maps, now we integrate observations of the globe, equations and calculations, so that the models are more and more accurate.

Weather forecasts 10 days in advance

.

Today, for example, Katrina and Sandy, the hurricanes that devastated vast areas of the United States in 2005 and 2012 and equally vast neighbouring areas (New Orleans, Louisiana, Mississippi and Florida, the former, the east coast of the United States, and Jamaica, Cuba, the Bahamas, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic, the latter) could be predicted 10 days in advance. 'But until a few decades ago,' the physicist points out, 'forecasts were limited to two or three days in advance'.

Lobbies and politics hinder the transition

.

Technology and innovation aside, getting to zero emissions touches on huge interests, lobbies and politics. "The oil companies already knew in the 1980s how the climate would change and hid the results of their studies. They continued to promote the use of fossil fuels, increasing the emission of greenhouse gases. What is needed now,' explains Buizza, 'are mitigation and adaptation policies. Like in Germany or Great Britain. Keir Starmer's speech at the UN is proof of this, his climate targets are ambitious, clean energy by 2030'. Indeed, the Labour prime minister intends to adopt a system of technologies to capture carbon dioxide produced by industrial activities or fossil fuel combustion (Carbon Capture), before it is released into the atmosphere.

European Union slow, Italy lagging behind (watch out for China)

"The European Union had a very good programme with the Green Deal, but many countries, including Italy, are slowing down, although, nevertheless, emissions are decreasing. Even France and Spain are slowly moving towards Fit for 55. Italy, on the other hand, if it continues not to invest, will not reach its targets by 2030, not even net zero emissions by 2050. But emissions can actually be reduced,' warns Roberto Buizza, 'we have the technologies and the financial resources. Decarbonising would help stabilise the world, as demonstrated by the Nobel Peace Prize awarded in 2007 to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Countries that are now planning to increase military spending by 2-3% should invest that percentage in decarbonisation. China is the country that is surprising everyone with the speed at which it is reducing greenhouse gas emissions. It realised in advance that industrial processes pollute too much. It will reach the target by 2050. Today it is the country that produces the most electric cars, the best, and photovoltaic panels that dominate the markets'.

Copyright reserved ©
Loading...

Brand connect

Loading...

Newsletter

Notizie e approfondimenti sugli avvenimenti politici, economici e finanziari.

Iscriviti