Automotive

Northvolt, goodbye to production in Sweden and the European battery dream

The final stop in Skellefteå highlights the fragilities of the continental project: limited public support, technological dependence and increasing pressure from Asian competitors

by Finance Review

(Imagoeconomica)

3' min read

3' min read

Northvolt, last act. An ambitious chapter in European industrial history has closed for good. The production of batteries for electric cars in Skellefteå in northern Sweden has stopped for good. It was supposed to be Europe's answer to Chinese dominance in the battery industry. Evidently, it did not go according to predictions and wishes.

The company, declared bankrupt on 12 March with a debt close to EUR 7.5 billion, represented much more than just a company. It was the symbol of a larger project: the idea that Europe could gain its own technological independence in a crucial sector for the energy transition. Founded in 2016 by former Tesla executives - including Italian Paolo Cerruti - Northvolt had managed to attract around €15 billion in European funds and private investment, from names such as Volkswagen and Goldman Sachs, becoming the most funded industrial startup in the entire European Union.

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But over time, what seemed like a shared dream turned into slow agony. Of the 900 employees in the Swedish factory before the bankruptcy, today about 300 remain, mostly workers. From tomorrow they too will stay at home, while a handful of technicians will maintain the machinery. In total, more than 5,000 workers have been directly or indirectly affected by the crisis, including about 1,800 members of the IF Metall union.

"Many things went wrong and now our members are paying the price," commented union leader Marie Nilsson bitterly. A melancholic epilogue for a project that, at least initially, had raised high hopes. The Skellefteå plant, located near the Arctic Circle, had been presented as the emblem of European ambitions for industrial and strategic autonomy.

For many observers, one of the main causes of the bankruptcy is the lack of adequate public support. Mattias Näsman, economic historian at Umeå University, is clear: 'If the Swedish state had supported Northvolt at the critical moment, we probably would not be talking about bankruptcy today. The comparison with other European countries does not play in Sweden's favour. In France, Germany, Poland and Hungary,' Näsman recalls, 'companies in the sector have received substantial state support. And China, which now controls more than 80 per cent of global battery cell production, continues to offer massive subsidies to its industrial giants, making competition objectively unequal.

In the specific case of Northvolt, two very hard blows weighed heavily: the cancellation of a $5 billion maxi-financing for a new plant, and above all, BMW's decision to rescind a $2 billion order due to delays in deliveries. Production that never really got off the ground, too dependent on Chinese supplies and expertise, did the rest. According to Evan Hartley, analyst at Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, the real blows were the rapid spread of lithium-iron-phosphate batteries, falling cell prices and the objective production difficulties encountered by the Swedish company.

Northvolt, at the time of bankruptcy, accounted for just 7% of the planned production capacity in Europe. Meanwhile, Asian giants such as CATL continue to increase their market share. This is not an isolated case: the entire European battery industry is going through a very delicate phase, bordering on a systemic crisis. Some Chinese manufacturers, such as SVOLT, have decided to abandon Europe altogether, cancelling projects in Germany. And European players such as ACC (Mercedes, TotalEnergies and Stellantis) have also stopped work in Italy and Germany.

While the most fragile leave the field, the Asian giants advance. CATL - the world's leading manufacturer - is building plants in Germany, Hungary and also in Spain, with Stellantis. Their domination of European territory is being consolidated, just as the dream of an independent continental industry is crumbling.

Northvolt's activities in Germany, Poland and North America are not affected by the bankruptcy process. The possibility of reorganisation still exists. Scania, for example, has indicated its intention to take over Northvolt Industrial, while in Germany the government is looking for new investors for the Heide factory.

But the real risk is that the idea of building a European industrial autonomy will be definitively shelved, and that the old continent will become even more dependent on external suppliers in a strategic sector for the mobility of the future.

The end of Northvolt is not just the closure of a company. It is the sunset of a dream: that of a Europe able to stand on its own two feet in battery technology, the beating heart of the energy transition and the ongoing electric revolution.

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