Pharmaceuticals

Novo Nordisk takes on Eli Lilly in China: application for weight-loss pill submitted

by Mo.D.

REUTERS/Hollie Adams/Brendan McDermid/Combination/File Photo REUTERS

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Key points

  • Conquering the Chinese market

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Novo Nordisk is stepping up its push into the Chinese anti-obesity drug market and is preparing to apply for regulatory approval for its weight-loss pill ‘very soon’, in an attempt to close the gap with its American rival Eli Lilly in what is now the world’s second-largest pharmaceutical market. The announcement was made by the Danish group’s CEO, Mike Doustdar, confirming the strategy of expansion in Asia within one of the most promising and profitable therapeutic areas in the entire industry.

The competition between Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly is, in fact, shifting increasingly from injectable drugs to oral formulations, which are seen as the sector’s next major growth driver. Both companies believe that a pill could significantly expand the patient base, attracting those who are reluctant to use injections and promoting wider uptake of weight-loss therapies which, in recent years, have revolutionised the treatment of obesity and shifted the competitive balance in the global pharmaceutical market.

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Conquering the Chinese market

The US-based company Eli Lilly has already made its move. In March, the group announced that it had submitted an application to the Chinese regulatory authority for marketing authorisation for orforglipron, its once-daily, non-peptide oral GLP-1 receptor agonist. The drug represents one of the company’s key strategic priorities, as it aims to replicate the success achieved with injectable treatments in the oral medication segment.

Novo Nordisk, for its part, can rely on the Wegovy pill, which has already been approved in the United States and the United Kingdom. The drug contains semaglutide, the same active ingredient used in the injectable version of Wegovy and in the antidiabetic drug Ozempic, two of the Danish group’s most successful products and among the world’s best-selling medicines. The expansion of the oral formulation’s marketing into the Chinese market would therefore represent a key strategic step towards consolidating the group’s leadership in a rapidly evolving sector.

China has, in fact, become one of the most sought-after markets for GLP-1 drug manufacturers. Growing concern about obesity and metabolic disorders, combined with the expansion of digital sales channels, is driving a sharp rise in demand. According to estimates by investment bank Jefferies, in the first quarter of the year, sales of GLP-1 drugs via the two main Chinese e-commerce platforms, Alibaba and JD.com, reached approximately 1.4 billion yuan, equivalent to around 207 million dollars.

These figures confirm the appeal and growth potential of the Chinese market. The race to develop oral treatments for obesity is not just about capturing new market share, but also about defining the next therapeutic paradigm in a sector set to generate tens of billions of dollars in revenue in the coming years. Whoever manages to be the first to establish themselves with an effective, safe and easily accessible pill could gain a decisive competitive advantage in one of the most dynamic and profitable segments of the global pharmaceutical industry.

Novo Nordisk on the Stock Exchange

On the stock market, 2026 is proving to be a challenging year for Novo Nordisk. Since the start of the year, the Danish group’s shares have fallen by 14.25%, reflecting growing investor concerns about intensifying competition in the anti-obesity drug market, particularly from Eli Lilly, and doubts about the company’s ability to maintain the exceptional growth rates recorded in recent years with Wegovy and Ozempic.

The decline appears even more pronounced when the time horizon is extended to the last twelve months, a period during which the share price has fallen by around 43%, moving significantly away from the all-time highs reached in 2024. Despite the recent recovery from its annual lows, the market continues to question the sustainability of the group’s leadership in an increasingly competitive sector and its ability to expand the business through new formulations, such as the anti-obesity pills currently being launched and seeking approval in major global markets.

By contrast, Eli Lilly is up 4.53% since the start of the year and by almost 40% over the last 12 months.

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