Research

Obesity and cancer: those who gain weight before the age of 30 risk up to five times more

Presented at the European Congress in Istanbul, a Swedish maxi-analysis of more than 600,000 people followed for decades: increase in liver, endometrial, pancreatic, colon and kidney cancers in particular

by Francesca Cerati

Doctor measuring obese man waist body fat. Obesity and weight to loose. JPC-PROD - stock.adobe.com

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

It is not only the weight achieved in adulthood that counts. It matters when you gain weight, how quickly the kilos pile up, and how long the body remains exposed to obesity. This is the conclusion of one of the most comprehensive analyses ever conducted on the relationship between excess weight and cancer, presented at the European Congress on Obesity (Echo 2026) currently taking place in Istanbul.

The study, co-ordinated by researchers Anton Nilsson and Tanja Stocks from the University of Lund, Sweden, followed over 630,000 people - more than 251,000 men and almost 379,000 women - reconstructing body weight trends from the ages of 17 to 60 and relating them to cancer occurrence until 2023.

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The risk of developing different types of cancer

The results show a definite relationship: the greater the weight gain during adult life, the greater the risk of developing various types of cancer already associated with obesity. Comparing the 20 per cent of people who accumulated the most weight with the 20 per cent who accumulated the least, the overall cancer risk increased by 7 per cent in men and 17 per cent in women. But it is on obesity-related cancers that the heaviest figures emerge: the risk increases by 46% in men and 43% in women.

For some malignancies, the increases are particularly marked. In men, those who gain the most weight have a 2.67 times higher risk of liver cancer and a more than double the risk of adenocarcinoma of the oesophagus. In women, on the other hand, the most striking figure concerns endometrial cancer, with an almost fourfold increased risk compared to those who maintain a more stable weight over time.

The study also shows significant increases for colorectal cancer, renal carcinoma, gastric cardia and pancreatic cancer, as well as a possible association with neoplasms hitherto less clearly linked to obesity, such as pituitary tumours, certain lymphomas and malignant melanoma.

Count the age of onset of obesity

But the most striking fact concerns the age of onset of obesity. According to researchers, developing obesity before the age of 30 further amplifies cancer risk. In men, early obesity is associated with a five-fold increased risk of liver cancer, a doubled risk of pancreatic cancer and renal carcinoma, and a 58% increased risk of colon cancer compared to those who have never been obese.

In women who develop obesity before the age of 30, the risk of endometrial cancer is 4.5 times higher, while pancreatic cancers increase by 67%, renal carcinomas double, and the risk of meningioma rises by 76%.

For the authors, these results indicate that the duration of exposure to obesity is a decisive factor in the development of cancer. The longer the metabolism remains altered, the greater would be the cumulative effect of the biological processes associated with excess weight.

The differences between men and women

The study also highlights significant differences between men and women. In women, weight gain after the age of 30 appears to be strongly linked to endometrial cancer, breast cancer after menopause and meningioma, all cancers influenced by sex hormones. In men, on the other hand, the strongest associations emerge when weight gain occurs before the age of 45, especially for liver cancer and oesophageal cancer.

According to researchers, the main biological mechanisms linking obesity and cancer include chronic inflammation, insulin resistance, alterations in insulin signalling and sex hormone metabolism. In the case of oesophageal cancer, gastro-oesophageal reflux, which is more frequent in obese people, may also contribute.

Obesity is now recognised as a major preventable cause of cancer. The International Agency for Research on Cancer (Iarc) already links excess weight to cancers of the oesophagus, colorectum, liver, pancreas, post-menopausal breast, endometrium, ovary and kidney.

The research presented in Istanbul further reinforces the idea that cancer prevention should start long before the onset of the disease and consider the entire life-long body weight history.

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