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OpenAi enters the record-breaking IPO race: here is the confidential prospectus

Placement timing and valuations remain uncertain while the challenge with rivals, from SpaceX to Anthropic, rages on. Trepidation and doubts over SpaceX's landing on Friday on the Nasdaq

by Marco Valsania

 Il CEO di OpenAI, Sam Altman, partecipa a una sessione dell'AI Impact Summit 2026 al Bharat Mandapam di Nuova Delhi, in India, il 19 febbraio 2026. L'India ospita l'AI Impact Summit 2026 dal 16 al 20 febbraio 2026 a Nuova Delhi.  EPA/RAJAT GUPTA EPA

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

OpenAi takes the field in the artificial intelligence IPO race by submitting its confidential prospectus to the SEC. The company has made it known that it will pursue the opportunity but has not decided on the date and details of the deal, which has so far been speculated for the autumn and is now said to be subject to multiple variables.

"We haven't decided on the timing, it could be long because there are initiatives we want to take that are easier as an unlisted company," the Sam Altman-led company disclosed. "But we face a complex trading network and the current choice gives us the option to list more quickly if that becomes the best path."

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The company, a pioneer in generative artificial intelligence with its ChatGpt in 2022, may be attempting to rationalise and simplify its operations after missing a number of internal growth targets, according to observers. It is also reeling from internal earthquakes, with executives leaving. However, it recently won a lawsuit brought by Musk, at the time one of the group's co-founders, who accused it of betraying its initial non-profit mission.

OpenAI valutata 500 miliardi di dollari, superate SpaceX e Exxon

OpenAi, currently valued at around $850 billion, is the latest of the trio of unlisted Ai leaders to make a tangible move towards the stock market, to take advantage of an IPO fever and stocks related to the new technological frontier that is buoying the markets. This is despite controversy and doubts over overspending and techno-optimism, with critics questioning the claims of profitability and economic productivity gains promised and all to be proven, as well as social repercussions that remain to be assessed.

All the more so in a climate of poor regulation and often, in the US, of controversial intermingling of political power and new industry, with the spotlight shining on the closeness of figures such as OpenAi's Altman and SpaceX's Elon Musk to Donald Trump. The Google co-founder Sergey Brin is himself a recent and in his case very convinced convert to the Maga movement.

Target: rake in $75 billion

SpaceX will be the first to land on Wall Street, on the Nasdaq, with the appointment just around the corner on Friday 12 June. Musk's goal is to rake in a record 75 billion at a valuation of nearly 1.8 trillion. Investor demand appears strong, but so do the risks: Space X burns huge amounts of capital, has shown an opaque financial structure with huge transactions with other parts of the Musk empire, and equally opaque governance, with Musk retaining control of about 85 per cent of the voting rights.

Revenues are primarily guaranteed by the Starlink network of communication satellites, not by the more under-the-radar business of space rockets and Ai. Key are huge federal contracts, which are themselves controversial, with the Pentagon, US intelligence and the national security apparatus, sometimes from what has emerged designed specifically to favour it.

It also remains to be seen how it will perform on Wall Street, and not just on debut: many analysts are predicting a traditional rise in the first trading session. Musk has chosen to target a stock price of $135 instead of a traditional pricing range. In the longer term, however, the game on Spcx's performance is wide open, with last-minute investors, i.e. those who buy at the end of the session and do not have access to the landing prices, possibly getting burned.

Enrichment certain only for a few

The Wall Street Journal pointed out that over a three-year period, even average IPOs underperform a weighted market index by 21%. In short, they enrich the few with certainty, in the case of SpaceX a number of employees, initial partners and top executives of the group (Musk aspires to become the world's first trillionaire).

Anthropic, led by Dario Amodei, has for its part come close to a trillion valuation and is aiming for a placing perhaps in October, after exceeding

to OpenAi in innovation, with its Claude, as well as in presenting a confidential prospectus to the authorities for listing. Amodei has so far tried to present his company as a follower of a different strategy, capable of models that are more cautious when it comes to dangers and more business-oriented. An approach that has generated tensions with the Trump administration, although followed later by thawing efforts.

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